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01/12 Arctic Front Observations

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 10, 2016 10:59 pm

Gfs shows less than an inch

01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 Gfs_asnow_us_9.thumb.png.4bf610f2debb1a386982c0653e382b3d

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Post by Guest Mon Jan 11, 2016 7:58 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Gfs shows less than an inch

01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 Gfs_asnow_us_9.thumb.png.4bf610f2debb1a386982c0653e382b3d

Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:22 am

Who wants to see SNOW!! This system is getting into a better sampling area of CAN so it will be interesting if it can pop a small coastal off the coastal.

01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 Gei6r7m

01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 5kjhf1g

Umm, anyone being a well thats all - then I will delete your post cause this is as good as it gets right now so go with it if you like,love snow and hope for more.

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Post by Grselig Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:32 am

Mugs I would love to see some flakes. The grass is too green.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 11, 2016 10:43 am

NAM is showing C-2" event, less at coast and south, more north and west in NJ and in NEPA.
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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 11, 2016 10:52 am

same for rgem...
01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 Rgem_asnow_neus_12
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 11, 2016 10:54 am

I'll take 2 inches and run with it.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 11, 2016 1:57 pm

@algae888 wrote:same for rgem...
01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 Rgem_asnow_neus_12

NAM has snow down to about Seaside Heights so its quite a bit juicier, 1" line by me on NAM, on GEM about a coating here nothing at coast. But ill take any measurable snowfall atm just hoping for the best but expecting the worst...
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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 11, 2016 3:44 pm

nws snow map for tomorrow....
01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 StormTotalSnowFcst
it almost matches my avatar. Rolling Eyes Razz
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 11, 2016 3:49 pm

Mt. Holly

http://www.weather.gov/images/phi/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb1.png
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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 11, 2016 3:53 pm

@algae888 wrote:nws snow map for tomorrow....
01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 StormTotalSnowFcst
it almost matches my avatar. Rolling Eyes Razz

It went up for LI..woooohoooo!!!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by Guest Mon Jan 11, 2016 4:15 pm

I even miss out on the 1 to 2" for this event.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 11, 2016 4:18 pm

Its really sad to say this but I will enjoy seeing the first flakes even if it doesn't add up. People have gotten so used to the warmth I hope that people drive safe, first snow always a lot accidents even with little to no accumulation.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 11, 2016 5:28 pm

1-2 inches in my area. I'm concerned about roof collapses. I'm hoping people shovel their roofs.
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 11, 2016 5:31 pm

I'm right on the border of 1 inch or less and 1-2. Good enough I suppose.

Better than nothing at all.
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 11, 2016 6:32 pm

If only this came in a bit later at night. My low is supposed to be 18.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:19 pm

18z RGEM

01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 PT_PN_030_0000

01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 PT_PN_033_0000


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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:22 pm

4k NAM thinks there will be intense snow squalls

01/12 Arctic Front Observations  - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne_f26

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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:22 pm

Feel like this will have some surprises.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:33 pm

@snow247 wrote:Feel like this will have some surprises.

Maybe, I wish the transfer would happen at our latitude. Perhaps the squall line surprises us with blizzard-like conditions for those lucky enough to be under those cells.

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Post by hyde345 Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:37 pm

Hoping for 1-2" in the mid-Hudson valley.
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:40 pm

@hyde345 wrote:Hoping for 1-2" in the mid-Hudson valley.

Possible for anyone north of the Rockland/Westchester snow hole imo. We'll see.
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:40 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@snow247 wrote:Feel like this will have some surprises.

Maybe, I wish the transfer would happen at our latitude. Perhaps the squall line surprises us with blizzard-like conditions for those lucky enough to be under those cells.

Any chance that it still could? Probably not right?
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:57 pm

This could be an awesome 29 minutes for some, trending looks good so far for this light event.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 11, 2016 10:22 pm

@snow247 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@snow247 wrote:Feel like this will have some surprises.

Maybe, I wish the transfer would happen at our latitude. Perhaps the squall line surprises us with blizzard-like conditions for those lucky enough to be under those cells.

Any chance that it still could? Probably not right?

Not enough digging. The PV is in total control of any vort that breaks off from it.

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