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Post by algae888 Wed Jan 13, 2016 3:18 pm

Yes scott hopefully one of these can shake in our favor Very Happy
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 13, 2016 3:20 pm

This winter. Mad I wonder if it's possible we just don't end up getting one single snowstorm this season lol
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Post by sroc4 Wed Jan 13, 2016 4:27 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:This winter. Mad  I wonder if it's possible we just don't end up getting one single snowstorm this season lol
Go big or go home right? lol

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by Grselig Wed Jan 13, 2016 4:32 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:This winter. Mad  I wonder if it's possible we just don't end up getting one single snowstorm this season lol
Go big or go home right?  lol

If we only have 1 big storm - Godzilla or better, I will be happy. Right now I have to prepare myself for the worst. Not even 1 inch.
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Post by sroc4 Wed Jan 13, 2016 4:42 pm

@Grselig wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:This winter. Mad  I wonder if it's possible we just don't end up getting one single snowstorm this season lol
Go big or go home right?  lol

If we only have 1 big storm - Godzilla or better, I will be happy.  Right now I have to prepare myself for the worst.  Not even 1 inch.

By go big I meant If its going to suck give me nothing!!!

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by Grselig Wed Jan 13, 2016 4:49 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@Grselig wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:This winter. Mad  I wonder if it's possible we just don't end up getting one single snowstorm this season lol
Go big or go home right?  lol

If we only have 1 big storm - Godzilla or better, I will be happy.  Right now I have to prepare myself for the worst.  Not even 1 inch.

By go big I meant If its going to suck give me nothing!!!

I don't want to be nickel and dimed with 3 one inch snow showers. Just the thrill of a monster.
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Post by GreyBeard Wed Jan 13, 2016 5:03 pm

When I was a kid I remember we used to get a lot more Miller A bombs, but now, not so much. Why is that?

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 13, 2016 5:13 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@Grselig wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:This winter. Mad  I wonder if it's possible we just don't end up getting one single snowstorm this season lol
Go big or go home right?  lol

If we only have 1 big storm - Godzilla or better, I will be happy.  Right now I have to prepare myself for the worst.  Not even 1 inch.

By go big I meant If its going to suck give me nothing!!!

Lol, exactly!
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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 13, 2016 8:06 pm

I'll take one big storm. Like the '82-'83 El Nino that in an otherwise low-key winter produced the big February 11-12 blizzard that produced 1-2 feet of snow from DC up to Boston. But that's it. If it's just not going to be a snowy winter and we're just going to get rain and a few minor nuisance events then give me one classic storm to watch unfold, and then give me an early spring with warm temperatures by the beginning of March. Plus Mother Nature always evens things out so if we don't get a lot this winter, sometime in the next couple winters we're likely to get slammed anyway.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 13, 2016 8:24 pm

@GreyBeard wrote:When I was a kid I remember we used to get a lot more Miller A bombs, but now, not so much. Why is that?

February 2013 was probably our last true Miller A. The northern jet has been in a very La Nina-like state the last few years. Minimal blocking

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 13, 2016 8:54 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@GreyBeard wrote:When I was a kid I remember we used to get a lot more Miller A bombs, but now, not so much. Why is that?

February 2013 was probably our last true Miller A. The northern jet has been in a very La Nina-like state the last few years. Minimal blocking

February 2014?
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Post by Math23x7 Wed Jan 13, 2016 8:59 pm

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@GreyBeard wrote:When I was a kid I remember we used to get a lot more Miller A bombs, but now, not so much. Why is that?

February 2013 was probably our last true Miller A. The northern jet has been in a very La Nina-like state the last few years. Minimal blocking

February 2014?

I think you're right Tom. I believe it was February 13th, 2014.  Frank archived the storm thread so future posts can be made:

https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/t239-archived-2-13-14-godzilla-storm

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 13, 2016 9:04 pm

Just saw that archive too thanks math. On the side note what the hell is with that timestamp on the radar? Feb 2015 rain? I dont seem to remember that unless it was the one where there was snow sleet and ice first and it was some SWFE that pushed north eventually turning us to rain. I thought that was in March though.
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Post by Math23x7 Wed Jan 13, 2016 9:30 pm

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:Just saw that archive too thanks math. On the side note what the hell is with that timestamp on the radar? Feb 2015 rain? I dont seem to remember that unless it was the one where there was snow sleet and ice first and it was some SWFE that pushed north eventually turning us to rain. I thought that was in March though.
Well, anything that came directly from a link will have it's date changed.  In fact, take a look at any stormvista image and the date will change accordingly.  So if someone posts the stormvista image of hr 42 of the 12Z ECMWF from 2/12/14 and you go back to the thread at that same post at this moment, you will find the stormvista image of hr 42 of the 12Z ECMWF from 1/13/16.  As far as the first post, my guess is that weatherbell underwent a change after 2/9/15 so that's why the timestamp is still.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 13, 2016 9:48 pm

@Math23x7 wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:Just saw that archive too thanks math. On the side note what the hell is with that timestamp on the radar? Feb 2015 rain? I dont seem to remember that unless it was the one where there was snow sleet and ice first and it was some SWFE that pushed north eventually turning us to rain. I thought that was in March though.
Well, anything that came directly from a link will have it's date changed.  In fact, take a look at any stormvista image and the date will change accordingly.  So if someone posts the stormvista image of hr 42 of the 12Z ECMWF from 2/12/14 and you go back to the thread at that same post at this moment, you will find the stormvista image of hr 42 of the 12Z ECMWF from 1/13/16.  As far as the first post, my guess is that weatherbell underwent a change after 2/9/15 so that's why the timestamp is still.

I know, most images will change with the date. But that one is weird. Like the NOAA and most model links will be todays dates runs onward as you said or a static image from the frozen date so it would be like a still from 2/12/2014 but not a random loop from 2015 in a 2014 thread.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 13, 2016 11:50 pm

0z has a godzilla around 220 hours, paying no mind.....
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:02 am

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:0z has a godzilla around 220 hours, paying no mind.....

one of these days somethings gotta give. looks like gfs even backing away from mlk.
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Post by Vinnydula Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:04 am

I'm ready for spring and camping! I'm so over this winter
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:55 am

Hmm cmc also has Godzilla near roid up north same timeframe. If euro has it I will b interested even 9 days out.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:59 am

It's funny how fantasy land used to.b 240+ now it seems it's 3 to 5 days or less lol
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 14, 2016 9:41 am

I think we have a good shot at late next week, GFS and CMC are already in line, inland on CMC scores big time ill leave it at that, pushing roidzilla level, GFS is a Godzilla and Euro has something but its slower, but I remember that Euro has tendancy to hold back so I wonder if in the coming lets say 5 days the Euro will fall in line and boom we have all 3 models on board for the big one. Wasn't this sroc timeframe? If he gets this right wow. I really wish this would come another time because Friday afternoon (22nd) I have to drive 120 miles to eastern CT, lucky I can cancel my hotel up to 11:59pm the night before so if need be I will cancel my plans and enjoy the snow instead, though I will miss out on visiting my friend haven't seen a while. I can always reschedule my plans thank goodness.

So lets go and get this baby going!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Jan 14, 2016 9:59 am

Interesting National Hurricane Center:
ALEX BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE AZORES...
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 14, 2016 11:51 am

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Interesting National Hurricane Center:
ALEX BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE AZORES...
 

I didn't even knoiw Alex had formed, on math when was the last time our first named storm was in January?!!
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Post by Dtone Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:24 pm

I was impressed at it being a subtropical system in Jan. Now a hurricane that was fast.
Its the first Atlantic Jan hurricane since 1938.
Can it effect our weather pattern in any way?

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Post by Dtone Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:34 pm

Anyone ever heard of this before?
A frost quake in WI.

"Reports of a "frost quake" over parts of the area. Water in the soil expands as it freezes. Produces a boom and some shaking of the ground."

http://www.aol.com/article/2016/01/13/cold-weather-causes-possible-frost-quake-in-wisconsin/21296592/

http://www.channel3000.com/news/NWS-Frost-quake-reported-over-parts-of-south-central-Wisconsin/37404792

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