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Wx Banter Thread 2.0

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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 7 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by Dtone Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:24 pm

I was impressed at it being a subtropical system in Jan. Now a hurricane that was fast.
Its the first Atlantic Jan hurricane since 1938.
Can it effect our weather pattern in any way?

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Post by Dtone Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:34 pm

Anyone ever heard of this before?
A frost quake in WI.

"Reports of a "frost quake" over parts of the area. Water in the soil expands as it freezes. Produces a boom and some shaking of the ground."

http://www.aol.com/article/2016/01/13/cold-weather-causes-possible-frost-quake-in-wisconsin/21296592/

http://www.channel3000.com/news/NWS-Frost-quake-reported-over-parts-of-south-central-Wisconsin/37404792

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:36 pm

Oh baby, just for fun but a coastal special : ) Sorry NW guys but you still do pretty good, but hell who knows with whats been happening hence why I put this in banter. After whats been going on I will be lucky to trust a map like this the day before lol

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 7 Gfs_6h15
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Post by devsman Thu Jan 14, 2016 12:55 pm

I'm surprised. Most of the time those maps start at 30 inches then go to rain. This one is more reasonable at around a foot before next week's maps show rain.
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Post by RJB8525 Thu Jan 14, 2016 2:06 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Oh baby, just for fun but a coastal special : ) Sorry NW guys but you still do pretty good, but hell who knows with whats been happening hence why I put this in banter.  After whats been going on I will be lucky to trust a map like this the day before lol

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 7 Gfs_6h15

it would be glorious even if the region was slated for 2-4"
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jan 14, 2016 2:48 pm

The CMC is quite different but still snow but like 4-10 the higher in a smaller area. Euro has a coastal coming up at 240 hrs, so we have a lot of consensus at a week out.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Jan 14, 2016 3:41 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Oh baby, just for fun but a coastal special : ) Sorry NW guys but you still do pretty good, but hell who knows with whats been happening hence why I put this in banter.  After whats been going on I will be lucky to trust a map like this the day before lol

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 7 Gfs_6h15

Eye candy, would I like 15", hell yeah, will it happen as shown 200 hours from now, no. Where's our 27" from this coming storm, screw the LR teases.... Im done with it.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Jan 14, 2016 5:34 pm

I'll sign for the 10 inches I get from that storm right now. It won't bother me in the least that some areas to the south get 15. Unfortunately I put the odds at 75-1 against right now that this happens.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 14, 2016 5:39 pm

Vinnydula wrote:I'm ready for spring and camping! I'm so over this winter

It hasn't started yet!

weatherwatchermom wrote:Interesting National Hurricane Center:
ALEX BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE AZORES...
 

I find this fasniating. It's the middle of winter and El Nino is present and strong. What the hell?

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Post by Vinnydula Thu Jan 14, 2016 6:38 pm

Hope your right frank I never doubt you
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Post by frank 638 Thu Jan 14, 2016 6:59 pm

we have a new hurricane called alex first one of the year is this june or jan lol.but wow i wonder what kind blizzard will that be in greenland as she weakens

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Post by sroc4 Thu Jan 14, 2016 7:22 pm

frank 638 wrote:we have a new hurricane called alex first one of the year is this june or jan lol.but wow i wonder what kind blizzard will that be in greenland as she weakens

I think someone mentioned this earlier today as well. Pretty amazing. Top right corner of the sat water vapor loop. Top left corner of the full disk image

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 7 Wv-animated

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 7 GMIR

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by billg315 Thu Jan 14, 2016 7:51 pm

Maybe at the November get together instead of picking the date of the first Godzilla we should have picked the date of the first named Hurricane!
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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 7 Empty Lol ur right about that can you imagine if Alex came here as a tropical storm or a hurricane with the cold air in plac . I know that will never happen but can you imagine that OMG

Post by frank 638 Thu Jan 14, 2016 8:32 pm

billg315 wrote:Maybe at the November get together instead of picking the date of the first Godzilla we should have picked the date of the first named Hurricane!

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Post by Snowfall Thu Jan 14, 2016 8:59 pm

So no threat or is something still on the table

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Jan 14, 2016 9:08 pm

frank 638 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Maybe at the November get together instead of picking the date of the first Godzilla we should have picked the date of the first named Hurricane!

lol! lol! Excellent lol! lol!
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Post by Quietace Fri Jan 15, 2016 10:53 am

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 15, 2016 11:42 am

H cane season is going to be fun since it started already and Nino is going away.

A friend of mine said he saw an article about the Northern Jet stream that it is weakening, would be interesting to read and how valid this is.

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Post by Quietace Fri Jan 15, 2016 11:53 am

No one will be complaining when summer starts the second week of march party
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 15, 2016 12:12 pm

I won't, I am a yard sale picker/reseller on ebay as a side job and I do quite well to supplement my income but the wx has a big part in this the sooner it warms up and the later it cools down and snows effects how long of a yard sale season it is. Also how many storms fall on Saturdays. This past year was amazing almost no Saturdays where I couldn't go out.
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Post by Abba701 Fri Jan 15, 2016 12:42 pm

I'm really concerned no snow at all this winter.Anyone agree?

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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 15, 2016 12:52 pm

Abba, as Yogi Berra used to say..."It ain't over til its over"!

I'll be concerned if it's late February and we are in the same situation as now.Then I'll be thinking it was a repeat Hellnino of '97-'98, which frankly we were due for after the last couple of snowy winters.
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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 15, 2016 12:57 pm

Abba701 wrote:I'm really concerned no snow at all this winter.Anyone agree?
I think it's very unlikely that New York City will have no measurable snow this year. With a very strong and active subtropical jet we should have our chances and eventually one of these have to time out right. However it is highly unlikely at this point that we will see anything close to the last three years. And remember February is the snowiest month for our region and all it takes is one storm to get half of New York City snow total. Things don't look promising right now and this winter will probably go down as one of the worst but I do think we see some measurable snowfall before all is said and done
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Post by sroc4 Fri Jan 15, 2016 12:59 pm

Im still going with my 50+...even if it ends up down in a blaze of glory....which despite what most of you think is far from over.

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Post by Math23x7 Fri Jan 15, 2016 1:05 pm

In various weather discussions for the next seven days in NYC, the lowest temperatures for next week are in the upper teens and it's being considered "bitter cold." Uhhhhhh, do any of them remember last year, specifically last February. Numerous nights in the single digits and wind chills -15 to -20 degrees Fahrenheit. it got to the point where on February 22nd last year (when it was sunny in the low 40s in the afternoon) I was sweating like crazy.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 15, 2016 1:15 pm

And the CMC has a huge coastal on the 22nd, temps bit issue coast but that's not important. As frank said the models will waffle, so maybe the GFS losing it this run was a good thing.
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Post by algae888 Fri Jan 15, 2016 1:15 pm

Math23x7 wrote:In various weather discussions for the next seven days in NYC, the lowest temperatures for next week are in the upper teens and it's being considered "bitter cold."  Uhhhhhh, do any of them remember last year, specifically last February.  Numerous nights in the single digits and wind chills -15 to -20 degrees Fahrenheit.  it got to the point where on February 22nd last year (when it was sunny in the low 40s in the afternoon) I was sweating like crazy.
Mike I think that's the biggest factor in our winter this year the lack of cold air. More specifically the lack of a cold high pressure to our North. Imagine if we had a 1040 millibar high sitting in southern Canada right now. we would be talking about a nice snow storm for tomorrow
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