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01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:58 am

The latest NAM outputs an inch or 2 for coastal NJ and LI this afternoon. Post all observations here. No snow map from me, my forecast is in the scroll.

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Image.thumb.png.78e567cd869eb8596039958cab04259e

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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:05 am

34* Heavy Clouds.

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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:06 am

HRRR has snow moving in by 3pm
01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Hrrr_r10

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:06 am

What is the timing on snow later today
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:13 am

Looks like 2-3pm it moves in, 

12z NAM

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Image.thumb.png.6330b8e31de542d3e66d3f18d11525cc

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:14 am

Models the last 3 days have ticked NW about 10 miles per day. The 12z runs today may try to tick it another 10 miles NW, which would put coastal NJ in moderate bands. If true, 2-3 inches possible.

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Post by billg315 Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:16 am

32* and Cloudy here. Probably will be too far west to see much, if anything, from this but I'll post just in case.
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Post by aiannone Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:26 am

33 and cloudy here on LI. Hoping for the ground to get coated.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:29 am

HRRR

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Hrrr_ref_nj_8


01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Hrrr_ref_nj_9

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:31 am

RAP

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  12Z-20160117_rapNE_prec_radar

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:35 am

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Rap_ref_neng_10

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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:37 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Rap_ref_neng_10
Hi

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Post by jake732 Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:37 am

frank, so coastal nj u think will get an inch out of this ?
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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:44 am

Current 500mb
01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  500mb

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:45 am

@jake732 wrote:frank, so coastal nj u think will get an inch out of this ?

Yes. Grassy surfaces. 

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  569ba6f4f27a7_RAD_KDOX_N0R_ANI(2).gif.0fd525013c469d60abcf28057518530a

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Post by Quietace Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:46 am

Salisbury U Webcam in that banding
http://www.salisbury.edu/webcam/hh/

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 9:47 am

RGEM

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Image.thumb.png.d66418af974dd24838d8bbfb0ab0d7d8

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Post by amugs Sun Jan 17, 2016 10:02 am

Touted this puppy whilst on my recovery bed yesterday here peeps and some here sayin' nay nay - just sayin!! Go into the other thread which we should lock.
Any snow is good snow - always remember that if you are a true weenie!!

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Post by Biggin23 Sun Jan 17, 2016 10:08 am

@Quietace wrote:Salisbury U Webcam in that banding
http://www.salisbury.edu/webcam/hh/

Wow, looks good there!! Tick northwest a bit more..... Very Happy

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Post by sroc4 Sun Jan 17, 2016 10:18 am

James to answer your question from the MLK thread, there is a chance, but I think its highly unlikely.  I would take a coating to an inch. Unexpected dynamics from an inverted trough setting up are possible here IMO, but will only be known in a now cast setting.  Models have hinted at this, albeit weakly, for days, although it will most likely set up a tad too far to our N and/or E if at all.


Last edited by sroc4 on Sun Jan 17, 2016 10:23 am; edited 1 time in total

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by amugs Sun Jan 17, 2016 10:18 am

RGEM 6Z - a tick NW - WOOP WOOP!!

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Image.thumb.gif.431fae2c52854f136d37d744aea87522

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 17, 2016 10:36 am

Latest HRRR

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Hrrr_ref_nj_7

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Hrrr_ref_nj_8

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Hrrr_ref_nj_9

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Post by Barroo78 Sun Jan 17, 2016 10:49 am

Smile

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Post by amugs Sun Jan 17, 2016 11:20 am

Welcome barroo78!!

HRRR latest - hmm about .5 - 1" for just about everyone

01/17/16 "Brush" Storm Observations  Image.thumb.png.67ba8efcb1596d69eb61a224840c0dde

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Post by Barroo78 Sun Jan 17, 2016 11:24 am

Thanks I really just come here to look at the weather you guys are always on point with it

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