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01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 7:54 pm

18z JMA insane 1.9-2.9 qpf for NYC suburbs and south, even north cases in over a foot.

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 18z_jm10
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Jan 20, 2016 7:55 pm

man oh man is tonight going to be critical..could be the official write off for NNJ. hope and prayers tonight
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 20, 2016 7:57 pm

Since were posting terrible models, 18z NAVGEM QPF, came north like 100 miles ahaha...

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277143
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 7:58 pm

Wow the Euro ensembles are encouraging many show a northern trend and higher snow totals.
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Post by Dtone Wed Jan 20, 2016 7:58 pm

TWC has 12 - 18" extending right through the middle of NYC.

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Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 7:58 pm

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:Since were posting terrible models, 18z NAVGEM QPF, came north like 100 miles ahaha...

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277143

Still looks screwy for anyone north of the city. I can't believe the insane tight cutoff.
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Jan 20, 2016 7:58 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Wow the Euro ensembles are encouraging many show a northern trend and higher snow totals.

cheers cheers
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 7:59 pm

ooz EPS

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 Eps_sn10
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:00 pm

00z eps 2nd set

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 Eps_sn11
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Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:00 pm

Meh ^ only one or two of those looks real good for all of us.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:01 pm

Now wow 12z EPS! Set 1

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 Eps_sn12

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:01 pm

@snow247 wrote:Meh ^ only one or two of those looks real good for all of us.

hang on a second i was posting last nights 00z versus the now 12z almost all!
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:02 pm

@snow247 wrote:Meh ^ only one or two of those looks real good for all of us.

That's 00z. 12z is great.

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Post by BARBIEFLY Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:03 pm

cat Omg....   You guys are killing me!!     Love all the Hard work that you all do... Just an Accountant Looking for a Saturday Off!!  lol cat

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Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:05 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@snow247 wrote:Meh ^ only one or two of those looks real good for all of us.

That's 00z. 12z is great.

I don't think I saw 12z, how good were they?


Last edited by snow247 on Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:06 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:05 pm

12z eps set 2

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 Eps_sn13
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:06 pm

@snow247 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@snow247 wrote:Meh ^ only one or two of those looks real good for all of us.

That's 00z. 12z is great.

I see lol, I don't think I saw the 12z ones.

I just posted them, the first two are the 00z, the 12z are the second two, look at the vast difference.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:06 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:06 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@snow247 wrote:Meh ^ only one or two of those looks real good for all of us.

That's 00z. 12z is great.

Frank is this still looking like a 24 hour event
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Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:06 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:12z eps set 2

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 Eps_sn13

LOL wow, I take back what I said then. Those look great!
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Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:07 pm

How much should we trust the EPS at this range?
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:08 pm

@snow247 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:12z eps set 2

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 Eps_sn13

LOL wow, I take back what I said then. Those look great!

There is another set too 51 in total, its posted also and they nearly all have a huge shift north.
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Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:09 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@snow247 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:12z eps set 2

LOL wow, I take back what I said then. Those look great!

There is another set too 51 in total, its posted also and they nearly all have a huge shift north.

Nice. Thanks jman.
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:10 pm

just wanted to throw this out at 8:45 Lee is holding a facebook live session if anybody wants to join him or listen
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Post by WeatherBob Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:11 pm

Too many maps and too many models, haha!!!
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Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:12 pm

SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell???

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 Image.jpg.e9f796b7ded9a07fa74193e47799dde4

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 2 Image.jpg.8af19e2e684eb852913ec6bf81cc6692


Last edited by snow247 on Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:13 pm; edited 1 time in total
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