NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Page 3 of 29 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 16 ... 29  Next

Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by WeatherBob Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:12 pm

In my day there was one model, count it, one operational model. The LFM. haha!
WeatherBob
WeatherBob
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 598
Reputation : 82
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Caldwell, NJ - NW Essex County - Altitude 480 ft

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:12 pm

Frank what do you make of the change in the Euro ensembles? Is this big for a change north?
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17946
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:13 pm

@snow247 wrote:SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell???

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.e9f796b7ded9a07fa74193e47799dde4

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.8af19e2e684eb852913ec6bf81cc6692

BUMP.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:15 pm

@snow247 wrote:
@snow247 wrote:SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell???

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.e9f796b7ded9a07fa74193e47799dde4

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.8af19e2e684eb852913ec6bf81cc6692

BUMP.

At 84 hrs its not even over and that has 10-15 for large area.  As stated a day or so ago maybe the short range models will actually do a better job! What exactly does the second map demark? And why did you say wth? whats wrong with them they look gr8.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:16 pm; edited 1 time in total
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17946
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:15 pm

Huge bump north! This isn't over guys!

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.29a504df23bc489f7c98a1afdb10193e
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by frank 638 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:16 pm

what time does the euro comes out

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2318
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:17 pm

@snow247 wrote:Huge bump north! This isn't over guys!

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.29a504df23bc489f7c98a1afdb10193e

wheres the DC jackpot huh? lol
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17946
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:18 pm

Yeah but does the sref hold any ground 2 days out? well 1 1/2 when they come into gr8 range.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17946
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by frank 638 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:19 pm

@snow247 wrote:Huge bump north! This isn't over guys!

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.29a504df23bc489f7c98a1afdb10193e

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2318
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:19 pm

@frank 638 wrote:what time does the euro comes out
starts around 1am yawn....i made it last night.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17946
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:21 pm

To compare:

newest SREFS
01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.29a504df23bc489f7c98a1afdb10193e

last run

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 SREFNE24Precip15087
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:23 pm

I'm telling you...this storm is not done trending.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20007
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:24 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Frank what do you make of the change in the Euro ensembles? Is this big for a change north?

They were huge. Then again, I don't take ensembles seriously in the short range.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20007
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by frank 638 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:27 pm

frank do you think we will have a blizzard watch or winter storm watch by tom afternoon in our area

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2318
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:28 pm

@snow247 wrote:To compare:

newest SREFS
01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.29a504df23bc489f7c98a1afdb10193e

last run

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 SREFNE24Precip15087

UMMM YEAH

That is a HELLUVA jump north. Very Happy
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2739
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:29 pm

@frank 638 wrote:frank do you think we will have a blizzard watch or winter storm watch by tom afternoon in our area

I mentioned this earlier: A friend of mine with a contact at UPTON said they are planning on (I'm assuming if things continue as-is guidance wise or trend better) releasing a Blizzard Watch for the NYC metro tomorrow afternoon and in turn, warnings around 18:00 on Friday.
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2739
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:30 pm

Does anyone know an esti.ate on how long of event we are looking at I k,ow its starting later now
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:31 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Does anyone know an esti.ate on how long of event we are looking at I k,ow its starting later now

18-22 hours

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20007
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:32 pm

The 00z SREFS started a positive trend last night too. Don't forget, the 12z runs were actually really nice for most people here. I think the 00z will make people happy. Can't wait to do it in the chat!!

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20007
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty yessssssssss thank you

Post by frank 638 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:33 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:
@frank 638 wrote:frank do you think we will have a blizzard watch or winter storm watch by tom afternoon in our area

I mentioned this earlier: A friend of mine with a contact at UPTON said they are planning on (I'm assuming if things continue as-is guidance wise or trend better) releasing a Blizzard Watch for the NYC metro tomorrow afternoon and in turn, warnings around 18:00 on Friday.
:

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2318
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by frank 638 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:35 pm

i am going try to stay up for the chat i have a early atart tom for work by 530 am

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2318
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:35 pm

If anyone can find Lee Goldbergs snow map, please post it here so I can add it to the snow maps thread Scott started. Same for TWC, Accuweather, and other news casts. I like to see as many perspectives as possible

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20007
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:35 pm

@frank 638 wrote:i am going try to stay up for the chat i have a early atart tom for work by 530 am

I wake up at 5:30. It's called coffee ha!

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20007
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:38 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:Does anyone know an esti.ate on how long of event we are looking at I k,ow its starting later now

18-22 hours
Thank you so a little less than originally thought but still a long event
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:39 pm

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 SREFNE24Precip21087
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 3 of 29 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 16 ... 29  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum