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February 2016 Observations & Discussions

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2016 10:21 pm

We are 2 months through Meteorological Winter with only 1 month left. February.

January finished around normal in Central Park. Maybe slightly above.

February 2016 Observations & Discussions  MonthTDeptNRCC

So far, my Winter Outlook is playing out exactly as expected. Warm December, normal-ish January, and hopefully a cold February. I pegged NYC to finish with 30-40" of snow and I am confident we'll fall in that range when all is said and done. Heck, we may finish above 40" but we'll see.


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Post by SNOW MAN Mon Feb 01, 2016 5:46 am

39*
85% humidity
29.70 baro steady
calm wind
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Post by Radz Mon Feb 01, 2016 7:38 am

32.2° with heavy frost on the windshields this AM
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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 01, 2016 8:58 am

+22 for our low temp departure today
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Post by snow247 Mon Feb 01, 2016 2:55 pm

High of 57 here today
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 01, 2016 3:26 pm

High of 65° today and more rumbling bri,g ft up and down the coast no confirmation to what it is yet
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Post by Math23x7 Mon Feb 01, 2016 3:35 pm

The highest temperature in Central Park all of last February was 43 degrees. On the first day of this February, the Morning LOW was 49 degrees...

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Feb 01, 2016 4:45 pm

@Math23x7 wrote:The highest temperature in Central Park all of last February was 43 degrees.  On the first day of this February, the Morning LOW was 49 degrees...

A tale of two cities. In this case the same city in two very different winters.
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Post by frank 638 Mon Feb 01, 2016 5:06 pm

53 now and light rain feels like first day of April instead of Feb please bring winter back

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Post by Dtone Mon Feb 01, 2016 6:03 pm

Got up to 61* today

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2016 6:40 pm

Rain should end within next hour or two

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Post by Radz Mon Feb 01, 2016 7:28 pm

Hit 59° here today...
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Post by frank 638 Tue Feb 02, 2016 6:16 am

38 and clear I wonder what the groundhog will tell us

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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Feb 02, 2016 6:49 am

Happy Groundhog Day!! 34*
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Post by Radz Tue Feb 02, 2016 7:03 am

25.5°
Baro 29.99
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 02, 2016 8:58 am

Bottomed out at 27* last night - prediction was 30* - still have some snow pack left around my house I say about 60% albeit a few inches but still hanging on

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 02, 2016 10:26 am

The models have the heaviest rain falling between 1pm-8pm tomorrow. There will be localized flooding in flood prone zones. 1-2 inches of rain and snow melt is not a good combination.

February 2016 Observations & Discussions  ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f45

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Post by Guest Tue Feb 02, 2016 1:19 pm

Areas that face the afternoon sun (west) have NO snowcover left. Areas that face the morning sun (east) still have about 4-6" What a rapid melt of over 2 feet of snow in a little over a week with little to no rain and mostly nighttime freezing temps.

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Post by frank 638 Tue Feb 02, 2016 5:25 pm

had a high of 50 deg my snow pack is almost gone at one point i had a pile of 5 ft now its down to 10 inches Sad Mad i thought my snow pile would last till march like last year i guess not please let there be a another godzilla

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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Feb 02, 2016 5:52 pm

High of 54* currently 39* most of snow is gone and definetly will be tomorrow
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Feb 02, 2016 9:30 pm

21z SREFs seem to come back west with the 5th system a bit... Not sure this threat is totally dead.

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_21z/srefloop.html#picture
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Feb 02, 2016 9:33 pm

Actually the mean is a lotta bit west... Hmmm.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Feb 02, 2016 9:36 pm

OP 0z NAM is significantly further west as well (not entirely surprising given the 21z SREF)

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/WRF_0z/wrf54.html
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Post by Guest Tue Feb 02, 2016 9:50 pm

I asked earlier today about Friday and Frank said it would be very minor at best and a little warm, so don't hold out too much hope.

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Post by Dtone Wed Feb 03, 2016 6:39 am

Snow depth down to 0" at LGA, JFK.
Trace at Central Park.

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