Long Range Thread 10.0
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Long Range Thread 10.0
Larry Cosgrove
Super active storm track along the eastern seaboard coupled with frequent Arctic intrusions for nearly all of February and the first half of March.
Super active storm track along the eastern seaboard coupled with frequent Arctic intrusions for nearly all of February and the first half of March.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
This is showing not a splitting but a total dislodging of the PV - where this set ups is going to be key for the month of Feb into March. My idea is just West of Hudson Bay and a tad North -= that would be ideal BUT fACT BEING IT IS BEING DISLODGED WHICH IS GREAT NEWS.
fROM OUR STRAT EXPERT ISOTHERM:
Displacement SSW looking more and more likely at this point. I think the coupling process will be fairly rapid with this event. The lower stratosphere is very perturbed as well, and should initiate the -AO next week.Right now, I like the direction the Euro's headed.
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
0z GFS has the superbowl storm. It's a miller b like the euro but further north. NYC gets a few inches but SNE gets more. It really gets going in SNE. Long way to go. 500 looks great.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
0z gfs runs for my storms
5th very close
7th into the 8th - so close - LI gets a good Miller B
5th very close
7th into the 8th - so close - LI gets a good Miller B
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
WOW LOOK AT THE ENERGY DIGGING WAY SOUTH ON THE GFS AT 231 AND 234
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
THIS LOOKS LIKE A BOMB IS READY TO GO OFF AFTER THIS HR 240 MADONNE
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
I just checked the 0Z GFS for the February 7th. While the precipitation is over Eastern LI, surface temperatures are in the upper 30s to near 40...
Math23x7- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
YOU HAVE A -EPO, BIG PNA, -AO AND 50/50 SET UP
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
A BEAST WITH TREMENDOUS INTENSITY - BLIZZ WRITTEN ALL OVER THIS ONE
Last edited by amugs on Sun Jan 31, 2016 12:10 am; edited 1 time in total
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
Very explosive pattern on the GFS
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
14-17th peeps
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
Holy storminess and coldness setting up here as shown by the 0z gfs tonight - what until it picks up on the dynamics from our trop forcing and the GOA LP retrograding - showed signs with a huge pna spike and N epo and but still more work to be done in teh few days here.
Another Mugstradamus prediction - we are about to encounter one of the snowies feb/march couplets on record - I thing we eclipse last years couplet of snowfall for F/M
PS - All my storms are their in the call I made last night Mugs the Animal Steel coming through
Another Mugstradamus prediction - we are about to encounter one of the snowies feb/march couplets on record - I thing we eclipse last years couplet of snowfall for F/M
PS - All my storms are their in the call I made last night Mugs the Animal Steel coming through
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
I know you can't put any faith in individual runs, but I'd love to see the 0z GFS play out just like that for the Feb 10-12.
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
Euro has a coastal snowstorm for Feb 8.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
I know their are all storms showing up but does it become an issue with spacing?
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
Wow at EURO for next Sunday!
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
GFS is too late with the phase. Northern New England is in the bullseye for this storm.
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
Plenty time to get it where we need it
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
Frank_Wx wrote:GFS is too late with the phase. Northern New England is in the bullseye for this storm.
A lot of solutions coming up
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
I wouldn't rule out the Friday storm just yet. GFS is really close.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
Math23x7 wrote:I just checked the 0Z GFS for the February 7th. While the precipitation is over Eastern LI, surface temperatures are in the upper 30s to near 40...
Way too far out to worry about those types of details Mikey.
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
I wouldn't rule anything out 5 days out the pattern is going to shift into a volatile one.Snow88 wrote:I wouldn't rule out the Friday storm just yet. GFS is really close.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
I know it's only the long range op runs so don't kill me here but.................
All these solutions so far look like a repeat of last year where Boston gets absolutely destroyed every 3 or 4 days while we just miss out, and they also look a little warm. Let me see the ensembles and I'll get excited. Hopefully the NW trends as we get closer continue.
All these solutions so far look like a repeat of last year where Boston gets absolutely destroyed every 3 or 4 days while we just miss out, and they also look a little warm. Let me see the ensembles and I'll get excited. Hopefully the NW trends as we get closer continue.
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
I don't know about warm the PV is going to elongated and the the cold air will be pumping into the NE.syosnow94 wrote:I know it's only the long range op runs so don't kill me here but.................
All these solutions so far look like a repeat of last year where Boston gets absolutely destroyed every 3 or 4 days while we just miss out, and they also look a little warm. Let me see the ensembles and I'll get excited. Hopefully the NW trends as we get closer continue.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 10.0
https://youtu.be/ntITkhITzvA
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