HomeFebruary 9th Possible Inverted Trough
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February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 03, 2016 8:30 pm
Since we're under a week away lets use this thread to discuss next weeks storm threats. Please read my latest blog to get an understanding of the set-up and what needs to happen in order to get one of these storm systems to pan out for the area.
http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2016/02/models-completely-lost-february-8th.html
http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2016/02/models-completely-lost-february-8th.html
Last edited by Frank_Wx on Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:51 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by weatherwatchermom Wed Feb 03, 2016 8:35 pm
good write up!! good music...here is to some fun tracking!!
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by billg315 Wed Feb 03, 2016 8:50 pm
excellent write-up. At risk of being tarred and feathered here, this is one of the few times I'm not looking for a snowstorm to come to fruition. I have a lot on my plate Monday through Wednesday of next week. I therefore request Frank that you speak to the atmospheric powers-that-be and put a hold on waves 2 and 3 and set up a major snowstorm for the timeframe of Feb. 14-16. That's much more convenient for me. Thanks! 
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 03, 2016 8:54 pm
@billg315 wrote:excellent write-up. At risk of being tarred and feathered here, this is one of the few times I'm not looking for a snowstorm to come to fruition. I have a lot on my plate Monday through Wednesday of next week. I therefore request Frank that you speak to the atmospheric powers-that-be and put a hold on waves 2 and 3 and set up a major snowstorm for the timeframe of Feb. 14-16. That's much more convenient for me. Thanks!
Actually, I love the Feb 14th-16th time frame. More so than next week.
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 03, 2016 8:55 pm
@weatherwatchermom wrote:good write up!! good music...here is to some fun tracking!!
Thank you!
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by frank 638 Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:44 pm
excellent writer Frank and good music. This is a strangest el nino I ever seen but I think we are going to get hit pretty good with a snow storm I think Feb will be our monthjust like Frank said
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by frank 638 Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:46 pm
And thank you u frank for ur excellent post looking forward for next week storms Bring the snow
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Dunnzoo Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:51 pm
Excellent write up Frank, funny how we went from nothing to waves so close together it affects what we will see.... feast or famine!
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Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Guest Wed Feb 03, 2016 10:54 pm
Nice analysis Jersey Shore Frank! 
Wave 2 and 3 remind me of the Hurricane from the fall that busted almost every forecast track. I forget the name but it was forecast to come up the coast and take possibly even a Sandy like track, but instead it traveled s/sw and crushed the Bahamas before moving due east. These 2 waves if they do remain separate are similair in that 1 might pull the other. I'm thinking if the latest Euro holds wave 3 back and the H5 stays over the Great Lakes, it might pull wave 2 much further N/NW towards it, just like the low pressure out in the Atlantic pulled the Hurricane towards it. JUST SAYING. What do you mets think? Plus all storms have trended significantly NW this winter so far. Heck just look at Friday.
Wave 2 and 3 remind me of the Hurricane from the fall that busted almost every forecast track. I forget the name but it was forecast to come up the coast and take possibly even a Sandy like track, but instead it traveled s/sw and crushed the Bahamas before moving due east. These 2 waves if they do remain separate are similair in that 1 might pull the other. I'm thinking if the latest Euro holds wave 3 back and the H5 stays over the Great Lakes, it might pull wave 2 much further N/NW towards it, just like the low pressure out in the Atlantic pulled the Hurricane towards it. JUST SAYING. What do you mets think? Plus all storms have trended significantly NW this winter so far. Heck just look at Friday.
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Dunnzoo Thu Feb 04, 2016 5:10 am
Monday night, it has closed off and starting to move SE.....
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Dunnzoo Thu Feb 04, 2016 5:14 am
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by sroc4 Thu Feb 04, 2016 7:23 am
Keep in mind folks with the storm right in front of us changes/trends are still occurring, so don't get too caught up in the details of this one until Friday is up and out of the way.
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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
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Dec 16th/17th 7.25"
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Feb 7th 6"
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Guest Thu Feb 04, 2016 8:38 am
sroc4 Frank. Any thoughts on what I posted a few frames up?
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by jmanley32 Thu Feb 04, 2016 8:42 am
That was Joaquin syo.
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by sroc4 Thu Feb 04, 2016 9:02 am
syosnow94 wrote:sroc4 Frank. Any thoughts on what I posted a few frames up?
JMan is right about the name. Honestly I am not going to say much more than the signal for significant snow next week is def still there. I've been saying for awhile now each of these systems will affect the next. We have to get Friday up and out first.
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 9:39 am
GEFS LIKE WAVE 3 CATCHING ON BUT LET;S GET THROUGH THIS SNEAKY WAVE FIRST.
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Guest Thu Feb 04, 2016 10:15 am
@amugs wrote:GEFS LIKE WAVE 3 CATCHING ON BUT LET;S GET THROUGH THIS SNEAKY WAVE FIRST.
OK Paisan! No love on my Frank Jersey Shore comments huh?
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 10:25 am
syosnow94 wrote:Nice analysis Jersey Shore Frank!
Wave 2 and 3 remind me of the Hurricane from the fall that busted almost every forecast track. I forget the name but it was forecast to come up the coast and take possibly even a Sandy like track, but instead it traveled s/sw and crushed the Bahamas before moving due east. These 2 waves if they do remain separate are similair in that 1 might pull the other. I'm thinking if the latest Euro holds wave 3 back and the H5 stays over the Great Lakes, it might pull wave 2 much further N/NW towards it, just like the low pressure out in the Atlantic pulled the Hurricane towards it. JUST SAYING. What do you mets think? Plus all storms have trended significantly NW this winter so far. Heck just look at Friday.
COULD BE BUT NEED TO LOOK AT H5 MAPS FOR SUCH. LOTS ON THE TABLE WITH THIS AMAZING HOW WE HAVE 3 STORM THREATS IN A SHORT TIME FRAME HERE. SPACING IS GIONG TO BE KEY - JUST LIKE IN ALL SPORTS!!!!!!!!!!!
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by jmanley32 Thu Feb 04, 2016 10:31 am
syosnow94 wrote:@amugs wrote:GEFS LIKE WAVE 3 CATCHING ON BUT LET;S GET THROUGH THIS SNEAKY WAVE FIRST.
OK Paisan! No love on my Frank Jersey Shore comments huh?
Covering my head but I thought it was hilarious.
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 11:07 am
GFS 12 Z RUN SO MUCH BETTER - TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SW AND SHOWS A VERY GOOD STORM UP THE COAST RIGHT NOW - EXCELLENT TREND - IT IS COMING AROUND FOR WAVE 3 FOR TUESDAY
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 12:03 pm
UKIE LEADING THE WAY WITH A FRICKING BOMB - MOTHER OF KABOOOOOOOOOMMMM!!
1006mb to 981 in 24 hours. classic bombo genesis.
1006mb to 981 in 24 hours. classic bombo genesis.
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 12:03 pm
Meteograms are 21mm for KNYC on the ukmet!
That's .75"+
That's .75"+
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Mugs
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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 12:04 pm
FROM HERE STRAIGHT UP THE COAST TO THE GULF OF MAINE - WOW!!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 12:44 pm
GEFS SAY .....................HELLLLOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough
by Guest Thu Feb 04, 2016 1:18 pm
This looks like it may finally be the interiors storm. 
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