NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

+31
Mathgod55
snowday111
Quietace
jimv45
WeatherJeff1224
devsman
snow247
Math23x7
docstox12
Grselig
GreyBeard
Joe Snow
oldtimer
Snow88
nutleyblizzard
essexcountypete
hyde345
NjWeatherGuy
CPcantmeasuresnow
SNOW MAN
algae888
skinsfan1177
SoulSingMG
amugs
jmanley32
sroc4
Dunnzoo
frank 638
billg315
weatherwatchermom
Frank_Wx
35 posters

Page 7 of 16 Previous  1 ... 6, 7, 8 ... 11 ... 16  Next

Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:29 am

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_17.thumb.png.c4aeaef26eb13653de11255b4964cf40

Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Join date : 2013-01-05

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:30 am

Remember we still have some time left for this puppy though the window of this is shrinking with this winter trend never give up

amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:31 am

amugs wrote:A 50-75 mile west shift will do us good - i think we can get it - positive juju

The frontogenesis factor is impressive. We don't need the dramatic shifts to get good snow into the area. Verbatim the NAM may be a 2-4" snowfall. We'll take it! With more to come on Tuesday we could see up to 6" by the end of the week. Let's see if NAM and SREFS and garner support from other models.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:32 am

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Image.thumb.gif.6b9ddc9ef8846ccf495ab277adde9190

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:32 am

No major changes on SREF, slightly less ballistic members

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_9z/srefloop.html#picture

Feel that wave one closes and is pushed east initally by wave two, perhaps a scrape or moderate event for the coast/SNE (again) but the real threat is the combination of the energies, how strong they phase and where the IVT forms, thats just my opinion
NjWeatherGuy
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:33 am

Frank_Wx wrote:February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_17.thumb.png.c4aeaef26eb13653de11255b4964cf40

Geez, this is water boarding type torture, so close to a monster and very little to show for it. If this could somehow take a 100 mile shift west, I know that's a lot to ask, we all get buried.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7265
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:33 am

I'm going with a coating to 3 inches for the area right now minus eastern PA. A coating means you're at least seeing some snow showers while 3 inches means you're under heavier returns from the enhanced frontogenesis over the area. This is most likely from Jersey Shore to Long Island.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:33 am

this was 300 miles ots a few days ago - now we are looking at 50-75 miles trek west do put us in a warning criteria, 100 -150 to crush us - it can be done and has been before, why in the world did my wife invite friends over for the sb tomorrow??? CCB is 75 miles off the coast.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:35 am

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_18.thumb.png.d0256321055be14aa5b79f7a3d8b0cd9

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_19.thumb.png.b606b632c2e7e41419ccd18804f3d5bc

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:36 am

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne4_f51

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:36 am

A sub 980mb bomb east of the BM. WHY WHY WHY

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:37 am

Look what the NAM does with wave 3

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_21.thumb.png.b2735098bab152eb907db18787122b80

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:38 am

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f72

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:39 am

are u kidding me - look at this IVT??

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM_CritThickRH_ne_f72

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:40 am

Inverted trough (wave 3) on the NAM is favored from CNJ-Jersey Coast-SNJ-Philly-DC

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM_CritThickRH_ne_f72

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:41 am

Hi-res NAM for wave 2. Sorry for the back and forth. 

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Image.thumb.png.14d70e6a4fd439bc86decf6fddd00c62

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:41 am

HI res says hi

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne4_f57

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:42 am

Inverted trough 

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:43 am

NAM expands the IVT to this - wow!

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM_CritThickRH_ne4_f81

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:43 am

amugs wrote:HI res says hi

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne4_f57

WOW!!!

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:43 am

Closer look at wave 2 hour 57

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne_f57

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:44 am

I'll stay with the C-3" forecast for now. This is ONLY for Monday. I may have a snow map late today.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:44 am

HI RES still on wave 2 giving HV and NNJ some mod snow here

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne4_f60

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:45 am

This, once again, has the look of a HV screw job that has defined the winter up here. Strike 1, strike 2, strike 3. You're out!!
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1082
Reputation : 48
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:47 am

wave 2 still producing snow in hv and nnj HI RES nam

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne4_f60

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:48 am

hyde345 wrote:This, once again, has the look of a HV screw job that has defined the winter up here. Strike 1, strike 2, strike 3. You're out!!

hyde - wave 2 brings you some snow maybe moderaste since it throw a good amount of moisture back inland as it goes up the coast and Gulf of Maine.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by algae888 Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:54 am

Frank aren't inverted troughs tough to pinpoint this far out and they can shift hundreds of miles even a day before a storm
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 7 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 7 of 16 Previous  1 ... 6, 7, 8 ... 11 ... 16  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum