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February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

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February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 1:22 pm

CMC AGREES!!

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 CMC-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f120

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 CMC-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f126

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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Feb 04, 2016 1:38 pm

EURO is coming around too. Laughing
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 04, 2016 1:42 pm

I know it's 5 days out but need the 32 line further south for me
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February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Empty Re: February 9th Possible Inverted Trough

Post by sroc4 Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:14 pm

Euro Ens are coming in with an amazing run for all for the 9th. 50/50 LP Strong HP to the north and LP centered on or just inside the BM in a Miller B set up.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by sroc4 Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:18 pm

Forget the operationals for now. The Ens will lead the charge on this one too.

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Eps_sl21
February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Eps_sl22
February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Eps_sl23

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:26 pm

@sroc4 wrote:Forget the operationals for now. The Ens will lead the charge on this one too.

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Eps_sl21
February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Eps_sl22
February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Eps_sl23

Nice : )
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Post by algae888 Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:28 pm

scott that is nice. a lot of sleepless nights ahead! Very Happy
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Post by sroc4 Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:33 pm

@algae888 wrote:scott that is nice. a lot of sleepless nights ahead! Very Happy

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Quagmire

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by sroc4 Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:33 pm

@algae888 wrote:scott that is nice. a lot of sleepless nights ahead! Very Happy

And workless days..

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by SNOW MAN Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:39 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:scott that is nice. a lot of sleepless nights ahead! Very Happy

And workless days..

Boy isn't that the truth LOL !!!
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Post by algae888 Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:40 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:scott that is nice. a lot of sleepless nights ahead! Very Happy

And workless days..
yes.lol every chance I get I'm checking my phone. days like today i'm hoping i'm not busy even though I'm the owner.
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Post by sroc4 Thu Feb 04, 2016 3:44 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:scott that is nice. a lot of sleepless nights ahead! Very Happy

And workless days..
yes.lol every chance I get I'm checking my phone. days like today i'm hoping i'm not busy even though I'm the owner.

ME TOO!!!!...lol Im having a slow day today and thinking thank God its slow right now..I can track the sh-- out of these storms

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Feb 04, 2016 4:19 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:scott that is nice. a lot of sleepless nights ahead! Very Happy

And workless days..

lol! lol!

or house not cleaned or dinner not on time
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 04, 2016 5:16 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@algae888 wrote:scott that is nice. a lot of sleepless nights ahead! Very Happy

And workless days..
yes.lol every chance I get I'm checking my phone. days like today i'm hoping i'm not busy even though I'm the owner.

Ditto Al. I charge by the hour so if my clients ever knew they would not be happy campers.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 04, 2016 5:28 pm

GFS

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=280495
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 04, 2016 6:05 pm

GFS 6 panel 

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GFS13PA_18z/gfsloop.html#picture
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 04, 2016 6:28 pm

I cannot even concentrate on this thread now. Will update after tomorrow's storm. UGH!!

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 04, 2016 6:48 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:I cannot even concentrate on this thread now. Will update after tomorrow's storm. UGH!!

No point things may change big time once this is out of the way! Starting off a good Feb!
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Post by sroc4 Thu Feb 04, 2016 7:01 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:I cannot even concentrate on this thread now. Will update after tomorrow's storm. UGH!!

Start with the euro ensembles Frank. They are lucious

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by amugs Thu Feb 04, 2016 8:54 pm

Hell of a signal on the GEFS and EPS from 114-126!!! Lock in step here peeps this is awesome to see.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 04, 2016 11:13 pm

Wow, we could be looking at a Godzilla Tuesday. I took a glance at today's model runs and my jaw is still touching the ground. This would be a high ratio event too. Timing is late Monday into all of Tuesday. Long duration potential too. FEBRUARY IS DELIVERING AS EXPECTED! Fantastic month ahead!

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Post by SNOW MAN Fri Feb 05, 2016 12:30 am

All the local Mets in my area have already wrote Tuesday's storm off as OTS. It just makes me shake my head. Their call is that there will be a clipper type system that will slip down from the North and push the main Low off the coast and OTS and the clipper will give us a light snowfall. I think it's way to early to make that kind of call already wouldn't you all agree ?
 
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Post by hyde345 Fri Feb 05, 2016 12:46 am

@SNOW MAN wrote:All the local Mets in my area have already wrote Tuesday's storm off as OTS. It just makes me shake my head. Their call is that there will be a clipper type system that will slip down from the North and push the main Low off the coast and OTS and the clipper will give us a light snowfall. I think it's way to early to make that kind of call already wouldn't you all agree ?  
 


I'm not sure how a pro met could write anything off 5 days out with the way this winter has gone and with the poor performance of the models beyond 48 hours. It's pretty irresponsible if you ask me.
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Post by sroc4 Fri Feb 05, 2016 7:03 am

@SNOW MAN wrote:All the local Mets in my area have already wrote Tuesday's storm off as OTS. It just makes me shake my head. Their call is that there will be a clipper type system that will slip down from the North and push the main Low off the coast and OTS and the clipper will give us a light snowfall. I think it's way to early to make that kind of call already wouldn't you all agree ?  
 

This is an atrocious approach. The possibility of a Miller B storm and the "main low" acting as a 50/50 block is a plausible as what they describe. With the way the Jan 23 and current systems such a definitive statement is less than ideal to put it PC.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 05, 2016 8:25 am

SREF for WAVE 2 which is trending NW - this could mess up the Tuesday storm - not give it enough space to amplify! OR it be a big storm.

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Sref_namer_087_precip_p24

February 9th Possible Inverted Trough - Page 2 Sref_namer_075_mslp

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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