Re: February 9th-10th IVT Update

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:45 pm

@amugs wrote:UKIE, GFS, NAM, HI RES NAM, RGEM, GEM LAM ALL HAVE COASTALS - GAME ON NOW??!!

Yes. You win. But I'm staying conservative until 12z tomorrow.

by **amugs** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:45 pm

ALL THAT MATTERS WAS THAT WE HAVE A COASTAL -

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:46 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:It looks like there is decent concensus the IVT snow will be contained to southern PA - DC - SNJ. Maybe as far north as Allentown PA through CNJ. Then a weak coastal in conjunction with the 500-700mb lift will bring widespread snow from NEPA - NNJ - NYC - HV - LI - CT.

Looks to me like everyone wins if it works out this way.

Agreed. However, I looks like coastal and southern sections are going to have issues if this verifies.

by **amugs** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:47 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@amugs wrote:UKIE, GFS, NAM, HI RES NAM, RGEM, GEM LAM ALL HAVE COASTALS - GAME ON NOW??!!

Yes. You win. But I'm staying conservative until 12z tomorrow.

WE ALL WIN FRANCIS NOT ME NOT A COMPETITION HERE PAISAN I WANT US TO ALL WIN AND A SNOW DAY HAHAHAHA!!!!

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:47 pm

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:49 pm

Wow to GFS, move that area of purple east so it covers all our area: )LOL never wanted a area to move east LOL

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:50 pm

@rb924119 wrote:

Coastal and southern sections are actually pretty warm per GFS.

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:50 pm

Whats withe gap from NNJ then LI blue in between, thats odd.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:50 pm

@amugs wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@amugs wrote:UKIE, GFS, NAM, HI RES NAM, RGEM, GEM LAM ALL HAVE COASTALS - GAME ON NOW??!!

Yes. You win. But I'm staying conservative until 12z tomorrow.

WE ALL WIN FRANCIS NOT ME NOT A COMPETITION HERE PAISAN I WANT US TO ALL WIN AND A SNOW DAY HAHAHAHA!!!!

Never call me Francis.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:51 pm

More snow Thursday

February 9th-10th IVT Update - Page 5 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f69

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:53 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Whats withe gap from NNJ then LI blue in between, thats odd.

Not odd

February 9th-10th IVT Update - Page 5 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f33

February 9th-10th IVT Update - Page 5 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f39

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:55 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:

Coastal and southern sections are actually pretty warm per GFS.

Yup, that's why I said that. Extremely low-level warm nose......sub-925 hPa.

by Guest Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:55 pm

See what happens here. CP creates an excuse to come down and hang out on LI today within 1/4 mile of where I work just to see the snow. Then he goes back home and what happens..........snow showers all day and the very same night a coastal storm pops up on all the models looking like it brings him 6". If you want snow you know where to come to now. The MECCA

by **jimv45** Mon Feb 08, 2016 10:57 pm

Still looks south of us dutchess county people does this have a chance to surprise?

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:01 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Whats withe gap from NNJ then LI blue in between, thats odd.

Not odd

I see, well at least the 32 line stays just south of me the majority of the time and even that spike in there is to my west a bit. What is with that spike i nthe 32 line?

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:01 pm

I have flurries here in PA!!!! lol

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:04 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@amugs wrote:UKIE, GFS, NAM, HI RES NAM, RGEM, GEM LAM ALL HAVE COASTALS - GAME ON NOW??!!

Yes. You win. But I'm staying conservative until 12z tomorrow.

WE ALL WIN FRANCIS NOT ME NOT A COMPETITION HERE PAISAN I WANT US TO ALL WIN AND A SNOW DAY HAHAHAHA!!!!

Never call me Francis.

LOL

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:05 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@amugs wrote:UKIE, GFS, NAM, HI RES NAM, RGEM, GEM LAM ALL HAVE COASTALS - GAME ON NOW??!!

Yes. You win. But I'm staying conservative until 12z tomorrow.

THIS.

I am sick of this week already. Lol

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:05 pm

@rb924119 wrote:I have flurries here in PA!!!! lol

Congrats it's your winter

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:07 pm

Incidentally, Lee Goldberg just said that new information may lead him to up snowfall totals in NYC for tomorrow night...

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:08 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:I have flurries here in PA!!!! lol

Congrats it's your winter

LMFAO!! Too bad our seasonal total to date is about 11 or 12" thus far this season.....not even HALF of where most members are on this board (save the few others that call the mountains home) haha It doesn't help when we have Syo stealing our snow, which I'm glad that he at least finally admitted to Evil or Very Mad

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:10 pm

GEM develops the coastal, but it's too late. It keeps the IVT as the dominant feature. Still gets I-78 and points south pretty well though.....

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:11 pm

Like I said ahaha

February 9th-10th IVT Update - Page 5 Snowfall_total_accum_lwwratio_NECONUS_hr042

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:20 pm

It's bedtime for this boy. I'll see what we have to work with in the morning. Night all!!

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 08, 2016 11:20 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Like I said ahaha

Oh I so hope the pink moves north and a bit east....

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