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Feb 9th-10th IVT Update 2.0

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Vinnydula
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Post by Biggin23 Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:35 pm

Massive flakes as well

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:55 pm

This is the band of snow that we'll have to track how far north it gets. Then once the trough pulls out, the secondary low may pop off the coast even though I think it will be too far east to bring any impact to our area. I'm sticking with my snow map for a general 1-3 inches area wide, with 3"+ for those who get trapped under the IVT band. 

Feb 9th-10th IVT Update 2.0  - Page 4 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:58 pm

There's another band coming from the west. This will help bring snow to those in NEPA and HV overnight. 

Feb 9th-10th IVT Update 2.0  - Page 4 56ba695d4b76e_RAD_MOS_STATE_NY_N0R_ANI(1).thumb.gif.4c4eeeb6e72fd5e6c1f3f91b1a1dc6f7

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Post by snow247 Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:59 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:There's another band coming from the west. This will help bring snow to those in NEPA and HV overnight. 

Feb 9th-10th IVT Update 2.0  - Page 4 56ba695d4b76e_RAD_MOS_STATE_NY_N0R_ANI(1).thumb.gif.4c4eeeb6e72fd5e6c1f3f91b1a1dc6f7

You think that will hold together?
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:04 pm

snow247 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:There's another band coming from the west. This will help bring snow to those in NEPA and HV overnight. 

Feb 9th-10th IVT Update 2.0  - Page 4 56ba695d4b76e_RAD_MOS_STATE_NY_N0R_ANI(1).thumb.gif.4c4eeeb6e72fd5e6c1f3f91b1a1dc6f7

You think that will hold together?

The 500mb energy will track east regardless. While the surface may break apart it could redevelop once it cross the mountains.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:02 pm

Coming down at a better clip here now, temp 31F RH 100% Dew Point 31F
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:03 pm

Skins/ace what are you reporting? Wet snow or rain? Looks like returns over your area as well and seems like CNJ has pivoted into the zone for now.
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Post by snow247 Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:16 pm

28° cloudy
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:19 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:Skins/ace what are you reporting? Wet snow or rain? Looks like returns over your area as well and seems like CNJ has pivoted into the zone fo
Very light snow before nothing now
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Post by Quietace Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:28 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:Skins/ace what are you reporting? Wet snow or rain? Looks like returns over your area as well and seems like CNJ has pivoted into the zone for now.
Cloudy, 21.2 degrees.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:36 pm

Flurries, temp 34.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:37 pm

32* but feels a lot colder just started snowing lightly..
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Post by Teetghhuhnbhj Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:37 pm

Nothing here in Wall which is a few miles north of skins and Ace

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Post by frank 638 Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:38 pm

No snow yet cloudy and 32 Neutral pale

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Post by Vinnydula Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:43 pm

Nothing 30. Looks like it keeps falling apart?
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Post by Biggin23 Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:52 pm

Is the area of where it keeps breaking up between Philly and the coast is that because the IVT is beginning to transfer to the coastal. Just curious why the bands keep breaking up...and yes I'm just learning.

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Post by Grselig Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:53 pm

bone dry in Wayne.
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:56 pm

upton taking the Petty Road here

...SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ069>075-176-178-100600-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160210T1700Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
628 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...AND ROCKLAND
AND WESTCHESTER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. SNOW AMOUNTS
WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHERE BANDING SETS UP. SOME AREAS
MAY ONLY GET AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:03 pm

amugs wrote:upton taking the Petty Road here

...SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ069>075-176-178-100600-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160210T1700Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
628 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...AND ROCKLAND
 AND WESTCHESTER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. SNOW AMOUNTS
 WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHERE BANDING SETS UP. SOME AREAS
 MAY ONLY GET AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

I'm a little slow, but the Petty Road meaning, "They won't back down"?
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:17 pm

To me it looks like we will not see the coastal low pop. Instead, the IVT is actually chugging north. HOW FAR NORTH IT GETS AND WHERE IT STALLS BEFORE HEADING OUT TO SEA WILL DETERMINE WHO GETS WHATS. I'M THINKING THIS IVT SETS UP OVER NORTH-CENTRAL NJ BARELY TOUCHING NYC. 

We'll see.

Feb 9th-10th IVT Update 2.0  - Page 4 February_9_2016_81429_PM_EST

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Post by WeatherBob Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:18 pm

I think everyone is trying to squeeze a quarter out of a penny with this pathetic storm Laughing
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:19 pm

The last couple of frames show the band sliding east a bit. Not much northern progression is likely. We knew this was going to be a difficult forecast and localized event. It's coming to fruition tonight 

Feb 9th-10th IVT Update 2.0  - Page 4 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:21 pm

Ugly

Feb 9th-10th IVT Update 2.0  - Page 4 RAD_KDIX_N0R_ANI.gif.79473e8fd4d66519fb7e4051d6a4fafe

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Post by snow247 Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:24 pm

light snow just started here 29°
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:29 pm

Done with this storm - 1 for 3 - so much potential just 5 days ago for NNJ, Friday was a true surprise and this is done.

See you all tomorrow peeps Mugs over and out!

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Post by Vinnydula Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:30 pm

Ok I seen a flake lol
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Post by snow247 Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:30 pm

Yup mugs. On to the next chance!
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