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March 2016 Observations and Discussions

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GreyBeard
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Post by snow247 Tue Mar 08, 2016 10:53 am

Already 60 here
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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 08, 2016 11:15 am

@snow247 wrote:Already 60 here
I would expect temperatures to bust high for the foreseeable future at least till the El Nino is gone. with such a warm Pacific Atlantic and Gulf I don't think models or climo will have a handle on temperatures. they haven't all winter. this was probably the strongest El Nino on record and they are rare so really can't blame the models or forecasters. never wanna see a strong El Nino again. what works for us is weak or neutral enso. we need the polar jet to be the dominant driver in winter.
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Post by snow247 Tue Mar 08, 2016 12:33 pm

Agree al. Up to 68 now!
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Post by Dtone Tue Mar 08, 2016 12:48 pm

65* here.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Mar 08, 2016 1:00 pm

Forecast busted way low, up to 72 today!!! Forecast was 65, beautiful out.
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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 08, 2016 1:06 pm

the Central Park temperature dropped 3 degrees in the last hour as the winds have shifted south so we now have an offshore flow. We have sea breeze development in early March unbelievable. Long Island still has temperatures in the upper 40s and low 50s
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Mar 08, 2016 1:44 pm

65* degrees!! sunny
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Post by Quietace Tue Mar 08, 2016 1:48 pm

I always found early season sea breezes to be awesome. Here is how far today will push per HRRR before surface cooling begins and it pushes even farther inland...
March 2016 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 Hrrr_t2m_nyc_6

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Post by Quietace Tue Mar 08, 2016 1:52 pm

4km NAM temps valid 19z Wed prior to sea breeze....similar on Thursday
March 2016 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 Hires_11

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Mar 08, 2016 2:18 pm

Forecast calls for near 80 thurs, love it! If its not gonna snow, bring the heat baby
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Mar 08, 2016 2:18 pm

73 now getting outside stuff done and definately car wash today
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Post by Dtone Tue Mar 08, 2016 2:44 pm

@Quietace wrote:I always found early season sea breezes to be awesome. Here is how far today will push per HRRR before surface cooling begins and it pushes even farther inland...
March 2016 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 Hrrr_t2m_nyc_6

Me too, I find them interesting..esp around here with our unique shoreline.
They can be fustratung too. Sea breeze is making its presence felt somewhat now here temps falling back a few degrees into low 60s.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Mar 08, 2016 3:33 pm

@Dtone wrote:
@Quietace wrote:I always found early season sea breezes to be awesome. Here is how far today will push per HRRR before surface cooling begins and it pushes even farther inland...
March 2016 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 Hrrr_t2m_nyc_6

Me too, I find them interesting..esp around here with our unique shoreline.
They can be fustratung too. Sea breeze is making its presence felt somewhat now here temps falling back a few degrees into low 60s.

C/W NJ is a good place to be for early heat and severe season, in the coastal plain but far enough from the coast.
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Post by snow247 Tue Mar 08, 2016 5:30 pm

High of 69 here today. Wonder how high we will go tomorrow.
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Post by frank 638 Tue Mar 08, 2016 5:53 pm

a gorgeous day today made it up to 67 degrees currently I am at 56th degrees. I think tomorrow I'm going to be at 75 for the high but I won't be surprised to see if South Jersey and Western PA will see near 80 degrees unbelievable

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Post by Dtone Tue Mar 08, 2016 6:01 pm

High 65 today. Dropped into the 50s soon after. 53 now

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Post by Radz Tue Mar 08, 2016 6:20 pm

High today 68.7°... what a difference a year makes, Lee said last year CP had 16" of snow on the ground and temps upper 40's
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Mar 08, 2016 7:16 pm

Just missed! 69.6° today! We should get there tomorrow. Cool

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 08, 2016 7:39 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@snow247 wrote:Already 60 here
I would expect temperatures to bust high for the foreseeable future at least till the El Nino is gone. with such a warm Pacific Atlantic and Gulf I don't think models or climo will have a handle on temperatures. they haven't all winter. this was probably the strongest El Nino on record and they are rare so really can't blame the models or forecasters. never wanna see a strong El Nino again. what works for us is weak or neutral enso. we need the polar jet to be the dominant driver in winter.

Amen to that Al. I said this winter would suck and so did you, when I heard the phrase strong super El Niño back in late summer. One storm does not a winter make. This March the way it's going may make this the worst winter ever. I had it ranked as third worst going into March. Only 97/98 and 2001/02 beat it.
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Post by frank 638 Wed Mar 09, 2016 6:06 am

Very mild morning I am at 43 deg and kinda humid out

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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 09, 2016 6:42 am

I'm at 37° right now but the humidity is at 95°
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Mar 09, 2016 8:26 am

it's BEAUTIFUL OUT!

50* didn't need no stinking heavy jacket very light if any sweater that will be taken off by 9pm seems like
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Post by Quietace Wed Mar 09, 2016 8:45 am

Near 42 already, going into mid to upper 60s!!

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Post by algae888 Wed Mar 09, 2016 8:45 am

i think frank may need a boat to travel in Arkansas this week...
March 2016 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 Gfs_apcpn_scus_16
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Post by Dtone Wed Mar 09, 2016 9:37 am

58* and sunny.
was in the mid 40s just a couple hrs ago.

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