Snow Showers Saturday?
+21
Dtone
docstox12
jmanley32
frank 638
Grselig
sroc4
Bkdude
skinsfan1177
sabamfa
jake732
Math23x7
snow247
algae888
Quietace
nutleyblizzard
Dunnzoo
RJB8525
dkodgis
amugs
Snow88
Frank_Wx
25 posters
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
The ukie slams and I mean slams Coastal central New Jersey. Right over skins and ace house. Ukie spits out almost 2" le there.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Join date : 2013-02-05
Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Do we have your mapsalgae888 wrote:The ukie slams and I mean slams Coastal central New Jersey. Right over skins and ace house. Ukie spits out almost 2" le there.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
ARW likes central Jersey. NMM is further North into the NYC area.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Location : Brooklyn, NY
Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Skins click on snow88 map. You are in the red. I belive thats 40 to 50mm. And thats just in 6 hrs more before it. Not on my computerskinsfan1177 wrote:Do we have your mapsalgae888 wrote:The ukie slams and I mean slams Coastal central New Jersey. Right over skins and ace house. Ukie spits out almost 2" le there.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
GEFS has 0.75 line touching southern areas of NYC lol
These troughs usually trend north
These troughs usually trend north
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
The vertical velocities are quite impressive. This system has some surprises for anyone under the highest vv in the form of hail or heavy snowfall rates or flooding.
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Location : Wading River, LI
Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Isotherm has stated this about the Euro:
The sad sack Euro now depicts a closed low at 500mb traversing the northern mid Atlantic tomorrow afternoon. The Euro to me is simply just another model. While it has the highest verification scores overall, its projections for individual storms have been worse than the GFS in recent months. Not sure what they've done to the physics of that model, but its life of royalty has transitioned into an existence of mediocrity.
Me personally have lost a great amount of faith in this model - amazing how it went from deadly within 5 days to run of the mill. I do not care what teh verification say it has been atrocious this winter!
The sad sack Euro now depicts a closed low at 500mb traversing the northern mid Atlantic tomorrow afternoon. The Euro to me is simply just another model. While it has the highest verification scores overall, its projections for individual storms have been worse than the GFS in recent months. Not sure what they've done to the physics of that model, but its life of royalty has transitioned into an existence of mediocrity.
Me personally have lost a great amount of faith in this model - amazing how it went from deadly within 5 days to run of the mill. I do not care what teh verification say it has been atrocious this winter!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Ukie map - can't make this up - CNJ coast gets hammered with .......white rain? BL issues may be a problem but if yuo get enough dynamics and heavy white gold it will eventually stick.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Euro - CAVES TO THE GFS - AMERICA WINS AGAIN!!!!
Last edited by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:03 pm; edited 1 time in total
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
amugs wrote:Euro - CAVES TO THE GFS - AMERICAN WIN AGAIN!!!!
Grselig- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
At what time will it start
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Temperatures are running 5 to 10 degrees below forecast this afternoon. Nyc forecast high temp is 52. Only 44 at 2 p.m. dew points in the low to mid twenties.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
SREFS have taken a good 20 mile tick N now - good trend
If we can get a few more of these at 18 and 21z I think most here woudl be happy and call uncle and move onto true spring
15Z
12Z run for comparison
If we can get a few more of these at 18 and 21z I think most here woudl be happy and call uncle and move onto true spring
15Z
12Z run for comparison
Last edited by amugs on Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:12 pm; edited 1 time in total
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
I am heading to LI tomorrow is that a bad idea or should roads be okay? I will be driving around not just staying in one place.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
What time does this all start I will mostly be out earlier in the day.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
jmanley32 wrote:I am heading to LI tomorrow is that a bad idea or should roads be okay? I will be driving around not just staying in one place.
Going to rain on LI. Or wet snow. You'll be fine
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Here a few miles North of I-84, at 8 am so far so clear.
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
45.1, 58%, 29.49 R. Partly cloudy with sun.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Mostly sunny 41*
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Location : Bronx, NY
Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
38° and overcast now. Not expecting much...
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
SREF has NYC in the bullseye later on but surface temps are warm. Most likely white rain.
http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/dougsimo/SREFUS24Precip09027.gif
Upton mentioned how NYC should watch out for the banding to the south to see if it trends northward
http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/dougsimo/SREFUS24Precip09027.gif
Upton mentioned how NYC should watch out for the banding to the south to see if it trends northward
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
PA getting slammed
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
cloudy and chilly looks like its going to snow soon i hope we get little snow today even a coatong i will be happy lol
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
It will be rain here for sure temp at 45°
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Location : Point Pleasant Boro
Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Temp up to 43° here now....
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Snow Showers Saturday?
Snowing now... what a weird flip floppy year so far, 80s in March and Tstorms, and back to winter in April, whats going on here?
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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