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July 2016 Observations & Discussions

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ak926
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Jul 21, 2016 8:09 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Here we go 

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 Gfs_z500a_us_14

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 Gfs_T2ma_us_13

not looking forward to it Sad Sad

it was hot today, but bearable because not humid...

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Post by algae888 Thu Jul 21, 2016 8:16 pm

Dtone wrote:Central Park, LGA and Newark all hit at least 90* today.
Heat wave begins..
Dew points at newark today as low as 54*. Rh in the 30's. Very comfortable. Heat indices are barely going to hit 95 for most of this heat wave. 80* with dews in the mid 70's are worse than this upcoming heat wave as dews remain below 70*.
Nws disco...
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure builds into the area Saturday night into Sunday.
Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s on Sunday and
Monday with dewpoints in the 60s, but heat indices at this time are
expected to be below 95 degrees.

Low pressure moving through the Great Lakes Monday...will push a
warm front through the area Monday morning followed by a cold front
Monday night. Scattered showers/thunderstorm are possible Monday,
with convection ending early on Tuesday. Dry conditions return as
high pressure builds across the area on Tuesday and remains in
control through Thursday. Temperatures on Tuesday will be in the
upper 80s to lower 90s with dewpoints in the mid 60s to around 70,
allowing heat indices to climb into the mid 90s once again.
Temperatures slowly fall back to near normal towards the end of the
week.

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Post by algae888 Thu Jul 21, 2016 8:26 pm

Temps this month are averaging about 2* above normal for area mainly due to dry conditions. Polar jet has mostly been south of us with frequent cold frontal passages but convection has consistenly been to our south. Trough has been parked in east with pieces of ridge out west breaking off and moving over us but quickly followed by cold frontal passage. Looks to be the same pattern moving forward. No prolonged ridge in east. If wet pattern develops we will get below normal.
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Post by Dtone Thu Jul 21, 2016 9:15 pm

algae888 wrote:
Dtone wrote:Central Park, LGA and Newark all hit at least 90* today.
Heat wave begins..
Dew points at newark today as low as 54*. Rh in the 30's. Very comfortable. Heat indices are barely going to hit 95 for most of this heat wave. 80* with dews in the mid 70's are worse than this upcoming heat wave as dews remain below 70*.
Nws disco...
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure builds into the area Saturday night into Sunday.
Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s on Sunday and
Monday with dewpoints in the 60s, but heat indices at this time are
expected to be below 95 degrees.

Low pressure moving through the Great Lakes Monday...will push a
warm front through the area Monday morning followed by a cold front
Monday night. Scattered showers/thunderstorm are possible Monday,
with convection ending early on Tuesday. Dry conditions return as
high pressure builds across the area on Tuesday and remains in
control through Thursday. Temperatures on Tuesday will be in the
upper 80s to lower 90s with dewpoints in the mid 60s to around 70,
allowing heat indices to climb into the mid 90s once again.
Temperatures slowly fall back to near normal towards the end of the
week.

I'll take dew in the moderate 60s
NWS forecast for me have mid and upper 90s starting tomorrow then down to low 90s into next week. Air temps alone are at advisory level.
but yeah, its not warning level heat without 70*+ dews

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Post by amugs Fri Jul 22, 2016 9:28 am

Get ready for storms this afternoon for our area:

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 Hrrr_ref_frzn_neus_12

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 Nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_18


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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 22, 2016 9:52 am

amugs wrote:Get ready for storms this afternoon for our area:

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 Hrrr_ref_frzn_neus_12

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 Nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_18


Man this year has been awesome so far for svr weather potential, and it seems ive been in or very close to the hotspots more times that I can remember. Usually these things have not worked out in past years but this year (even Frank who as far as I know only one here directly effected by tree damage) has been happening when SPC calls for it.

They extended the slight area to include NYC and parts of northern NJ, it was more north yesterday. Its going to depend a lot on cloud cover though the discussion said. Right now its pretty sunny here which will add fuel to the fire.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 22, 2016 12:30 pm

So far the sun has been blazing here it is HOT & humid and oh so uncomfortable for me anyways. If it stays like this those storms later are go be rockin'.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Jul 22, 2016 2:12 pm

93* humidity 54% real feel 100*...

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Post by frank 638 Fri Jul 22, 2016 2:31 pm

92 *with a real feel of 98 degs

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Post by amugs Fri Jul 22, 2016 7:35 pm

95* here for my high today - scorcher - through Tuesday I am looking at low to high 90's for NNJ. Relatives in Alexandria Va are triple digits for highs the next 4 days - lucky them.

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Post by amugs Fri Jul 22, 2016 7:38 pm

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 20160719_northeast_trd

Real Feel was 101* - SAP Alert peeps for teh enxt 4 days - SAP = Swamp Arse Alert!!

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Post by amugs Fri Jul 22, 2016 7:41 pm

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 Screen_Shot_2016_07_20_at_8_45_46_PM

From JB - GFS went from this on teh right to this on teh left - WOW!! Euro ENS and OP have not wavered on the heat for us in the east.

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Post by ak926 Fri Jul 22, 2016 8:26 pm

What happened to this evenings thunderstorm threat ? Not much on radar ?

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jul 22, 2016 8:47 pm

ak926 wrote:What happened to this evenings thunderstorm threat ?  Not much on radar ?

It was always a very isolated event. Didn't make much out of it. Our next real chance of rain is Monday evening.

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Post by ak926 Fri Jul 22, 2016 9:03 pm

Thanks Frank

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Post by amugs Fri Jul 22, 2016 9:33 pm

Today's Highs:
LGA: 98
EWR: 97
TEB: 97
New Brnswick: 95
NYC: 94
PHL: 94
TTN: 93
ACY: 91
JFK: 90
ISP: 88

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 22, 2016 9:35 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
ak926 wrote:What happened to this evenings thunderstorm threat ?  Not much on radar ?

It was always a very isolated event. Didn't make much out of it. Our next real chance of rain is Monday evening.

Did you all see the monsters in CT and MA! One warning was for 80mph winds and half dollar hail. I am hearing a lot of damage from that random swath of storms. What made that area light up and not at all over here?
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Post by amugs Fri Jul 22, 2016 10:24 pm

LCJuly 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 8 Img_2014

2nd day of 90 heat.
4 more days to go. There ain't no stoppin this. No BDCF or ocean breezes.

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Post by Dtone Fri Jul 22, 2016 10:46 pm

Got below 90 the last hour or so. Down to 88 now. Heat index 95

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Post by frank 638 Fri Jul 22, 2016 11:41 pm

What a steambath outthere currently it's 88 degs with a real feel of 95 degs it's nasty out there I hope everyone stays safe in this heat I can't wait till this crap is over with

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Post by Dtone Sat Jul 23, 2016 6:31 am

Down to 82. The current low temp. Maybe a few places will hit 100. NWS now forecasting a high of 99* for me. 99 on monday as well but on a SW wind so that will be with some more humidity, that looks to be a very brutal day.

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Post by Dtone Sat Jul 23, 2016 6:38 am

..ok the forecast is changed to a high of 100*

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Post by RJB8525 Sat Jul 23, 2016 8:26 am

Stay cool everybody, don't forget that sunblock
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Post by ak926 Sat Jul 23, 2016 8:50 am

Dtone wrote:..ok the forecast is changed to a high of 100*
So who is likely to hit 100 degrees ? EWR, TEB

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Jul 23, 2016 8:56 am

currently 83* humidity 55%....stay cool guys!!
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Jul 23, 2016 9:32 am

RJB8525 wrote:Stay cool everybody, don't forget that sunblock

What sunblock? Won't find me outside in this heat! Razz Going to see the new Star Trek movie this afternoon, staying in the A/C as much as I can!

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Post by Snow88 Sat Jul 23, 2016 9:38 am

87 already

Forecast high of 98
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