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July 2016 Observations & Discussions

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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Jul 10, 2016 5:04 pm

Love it!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:57 pm

Man o man. Today was a fabulous day. The rest of the week will not be like today. Heat and humidity returns with temps in the upper 80s to low 90s. We'll probably see a heat wave by the middle of the week into the weekend.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jul 10, 2016 8:43 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Man o man. Today was a fabulous day. The rest of the week will not be like today. Heat and humidity returns with temps in the upper 80s to low 90s. We'll probably see a heat wave by the middle of the week into the weekend.

Frank do you think this will be the pattern going forward rest of summer
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Post by algae888 Mon Jul 11, 2016 5:11 pm

Just another perfect day today high of 80 degrees low humidity can't get better than this for the middle of July. Expect more of the same the next 7 days except for Friday when temperatures May reach the low 90s with falling dew points though. all other days highs in the mid-to-upper 80s with comfortable dew points except Thursday. Even if we do get some heat towards the end of the month really can't complain about this July fantastic so far and definitely unexpected. Very Happy
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Post by frank 638 Mon Jul 11, 2016 6:30 pm

it has been a great summer we only had couple days of heat and humidity i will take this i hope it stays like this

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Post by Radz Tue Jul 12, 2016 6:05 am

56.7° nice cool morning
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jul 13, 2016 8:51 pm

It got really muggy tonight. Going to be a hot one tomorrow. Damn and I'm running a 5K. 

"Running"

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Post by frank 638 Wed Jul 13, 2016 9:43 pm

Its very muggy right now .frank good luck with ur run tom and stay safe make sure u drink water and Gatorade

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Post by Dtone Wed Jul 13, 2016 10:00 pm

Heat Advisory for tomorrow issued for all of NJ except the northwestern corner of the state.

NWS discussion is considering the same for NYC but so far no.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 8:55 am

Ugg its so gosh awqeful humid out, wait till the sun comes out. I think though the SPC feels the area is low chance there will be some big storms here and there. Just north of city is in slight area. Cape index is already over 1500 in southern jersey and around 600 around nyc. shear is also moderate. We will see, not expecting any big outbreak but I think with this kid of atmosphere someone will see a good storm later.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 8:56 am

I am very surprised there is no heat advosry for NYC or Westchester but across on the other side of the Hudson river it is? So if you cross the Hudson its go be much cooler than on the NJ side, I love the NWS.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 8:59 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:It got really muggy tonight. Going to be a hot one tomorrow. Damn and I'm running a 5K. 

"Running"

Frank be really careful even in your young age this weather is dangerous to do that kind of thing, surprised they not holding off honestly. I had heat stroke twice when I was a landscaper, drink as much as possible, like a ridiculous amount water and yes Gatorade, and not the G2, as much as its got less sugar its not as hydrating. And if you must run it WIN!
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Jul 14, 2016 9:49 am

Working outside in this is tough
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Jul 14, 2016 10:41 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Ugg its so gosh awqeful humid out, wait till the sun comes out.  I think though the SPC feels the area is low chance there will be some big storms here and there.  Just north of city is in slight area.  Cape index is already over 1500 in southern jersey and around 600 around nyc.  shear is also moderate.  We will see, not expecting any big outbreak but I think with this kid of atmosphere someone will see  a good storm later.

Jman can you explain Cape index
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Post by algae888 Thu Jul 14, 2016 11:26 am

The cloud cover making today more bearable then if the sun was out. The high dew points are making it uncomfortable. temperature is not too bad 82* dp 72.
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Post by Dtone Thu Jul 14, 2016 11:27 am

@jmanley32 wrote:I am very surprised there is no heat advosry for NYC or Westchester but across on the other side of the Hudson river it is? So if you cross the Hudson its go be much cooler than on the NJ side, I love the NWS.

This side of the Hudson is where a south wind becomes an ocean breeze. Not a strong sea breeze is expected but a degree or two is probably enough to keep heat index below advisory threshold. You need heat index of 100+, or 95+ for consecutive days.
NWS had 100* heat index forecasted for my zip but they often have upper Manhattan, most of Bx into very southern Westchester as a localized hotspot. Further removed from the Atlantic than the rest of NYC but still relatively flat and highly urbanized..but 90% of NYC will fall short so no point in issuing an advisory. SW instead of S wind would of done it.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 11:39 am

Well I know it has much to do with the potential for severe weather and the higher the number the greater the potential here is information about cape.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convective_available_potential_energy
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 11:40 am

Al looks like the sun is starting to peak, it is the humidity and that's what I cannot stand, the actual temperature is not obscene, but the humidity is unbearable to me anyways. especially in long pants.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 11:43 am

NAM shows a strong to svr line coming through around 4-5pm, great timing for rush hour. I tried to post the NAM but it says my file is not allowed, that's odd.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 11:48 am

Wow HRRR has cape values getting near 3000 j/kg for some areas around city. Also shows STP (significant tornado potential) elevated north of the city into Hudson valley.

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Hrrr_c10
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Post by amugs Thu Jul 14, 2016 3:30 pm

INCOMING !!!!!!!!!!!!!

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Image.thumb.gif.a3693433d6c3f7f6d455e4d37cbbb319

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Post by amugs Thu Jul 14, 2016 3:30 pm

July 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Inxr1Knyca_h

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 3:45 pm

Looks bad, warning up for Bronx, 60mph winds radar indicted per NWS.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 14, 2016 3:54 pm

NWS says its causing widespread wind damage in jersey can anyone confirm this?
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Post by 1190ftalt Thu Jul 14, 2016 3:57 pm

Looking out from the 24th floor west in ft lee, black clouds coming in over teterboro airport, looks even darker by giant stadium, now thunder and lightning, no rain no wind!
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