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July 1st 2016 Severe Threat Observations

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Dtone
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Post by snow247 Fri Jul 01, 2016 1:20 pm

July 1st 2016 Severe Threat Observations Image12
July 1st 2016 Severe Threat Observations Image12
July 1st 2016 Severe Threat Observations Image11
July 1st 2016 Severe Threat Observations Image10


Last edited by snow247 on Fri Jul 01, 2016 10:41 pm; edited 5 times in total
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 01, 2016 1:22 pm

Spc also has a mesoscale discussion half hr ago that watch is likely. Should see in the hr prolly.
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Post by snow247 Fri Jul 01, 2016 1:39 pm

Tornado watch for most of the area until 10PM.
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Post by snow247 Fri Jul 01, 2016 1:44 pm

July 1st 2016 Severe Threat Observations Image13
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Post by Snow88 Fri Jul 01, 2016 1:50 pm

Tornado Watch issued for the NYC area until 10pm
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 01, 2016 2:03 pm

Ya yikes that's pretty rare.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 01, 2016 2:04 pm

I was surprised was think only svr watch. Frank what u think there go b a decent outbreak?
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Jul 01, 2016 2:08 pm

Looking at the short-range models, it looks like most of the action will be in the Hudson Valley area and north, with a few stray cells in NNJ and the city. SPC puts out these watches, but it seems the marine influence knocks them down pretty regularly. Interior NY and western CT seem to get the good storms. I guess we'll see later, as I drive across the GW at 4:00!

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Post by Math23x7 Fri Jul 01, 2016 2:17 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:I was surprised was think only svr watch. Frank what u think there go b a decent outbreak?

Frank is on vacation until tomorrow.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 01, 2016 2:22 pm

Left the windows wide open hopefully can beat any storms. Been watch the SPC live update parameters and things are pretty unstable for most the area, I think that line forming is really going to blow up once they hit the area, dunzoo actually looks like coastal areas are more unstable, that's interesting.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 01, 2016 2:42 pm

Parameters current for NYC area

Cape 1101 and rising
Bulk shear 37 and rising
helicity 64 and rising
ML LCL 709 and rising

Those numbers are well decent enough for some rough storms especially if we can see some sun, but its cloudy right now.
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Post by UnionWX Fri Jul 01, 2016 2:54 pm

Sun is out here, temp is rising. Today is the day.
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Post by frank 638 Fri Jul 01, 2016 3:00 pm

Mostly cloudy and muggy does anyone know what time in NYC and long island will see the thunderstorms because I am going to masspaqua at 6

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 01, 2016 3:20 pm

I'd say at any given time something could pop, thaqt main line go take a while.
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Post by frank 638 Fri Jul 01, 2016 3:26 pm

It looks like around 430 or 5 we should see our storms in heart of rush hour I hope everyone leaves early from work and get home safe

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Post by UnionWX Fri Jul 01, 2016 3:26 pm

Dark with Thunder.
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Post by 1190ftalt Fri Jul 01, 2016 3:47 pm

Storm over me in Stillwater nj, thunder, lightning, raining good, seems like the storm is high up or south closer to the delaware water gap!
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Post by Dtone Fri Jul 01, 2016 3:53 pm

tornado Warning in Duchess county

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Post by 1190ftalt Fri Jul 01, 2016 4:04 pm

Really poring pretty good now but I am starting to see the sun again coming over the mountain from Pennsylvania , think this might be a short storm , could use some water in my pool though!
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Post by 1190ftalt Fri Jul 01, 2016 4:10 pm

Sun out, storm over, hear rumblings east of me, storm heading east!
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Post by frank 638 Fri Jul 01, 2016 4:22 pm

we just missed a heavy thunderstorm that's going north and east of the Bronx now the sun is trying to come out but more storms will be coming to us by 5:30 or earlier

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Post by Dtone Fri Jul 01, 2016 4:23 pm

Severe T storm warning on that for Bronx, Westchester, Rockland, Putnam, SE Orange counties. Fairfield, CT, NE NJ

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Post by snow247 Fri Jul 01, 2016 4:25 pm

Pouring here, under a severe warning.
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Post by 1190ftalt Fri Jul 01, 2016 4:39 pm

Sun out and not a cloud in the sky, crazy weather.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Jul 01, 2016 4:40 pm

Heavy rain here, nothing exciting, hail reported in Mahwah, about 10 miles NW of me.

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