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August 2016 Observations & Discussion

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Post by snow247 Mon Aug 01, 2016 12:12 am

Go Smile
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Post by docstox12 Mon Aug 01, 2016 1:35 am

65.8, 94%, 29.82 R. Rain has stopped for now. 5.60 inches in the bucket.
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Post by algae888 Thu Aug 04, 2016 5:33 pm

WOW beautiful weather this week with 80* highs and lows in the 50's and 60's. looks like we warm up some next week followed by more cool weather. the one thing this summer will not be remembered for is the heat!...
August 2016 Observations & Discussion Gfs-ens_T2ma_us_30
August 2016 Observations & Discussion Gfs-ens_T2ma_us_62
August 2016 Observations & Discussion Gfs-ens_z500a_us_59
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Aug 04, 2016 9:30 pm

Yep, real nice! Except for a little rain Saturday this next week is a beut!

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Post by algae888 Sat Aug 06, 2016 12:01 pm

82*dp73* heat index 88 horrible outside. I will take 95 with dew points in the fifties over this. Thank God back to the fifties with dew points Sunday Monday and Tuesday. The Dewless summer continues.
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Post by frank 638 Sat Aug 06, 2016 12:40 pm

it is horrible outside very sticky humid tropical feel like83 deg  with a real feel of 89at what time are we starting to see showers and storms to come through

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Post by algae888 Sat Aug 06, 2016 3:53 pm

There are reporting stations in our area with temperatures in the upper 80s dew point in the mid-70s and heat index near a hundred. You do not need 90 degree days to feel very uncomfortable in summer. Days like today make me long for winter Sad
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Aug 06, 2016 4:16 pm

This line doesn't look too bad 

August 2016 Observations & Discussion Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Aug 06, 2016 4:17 pm

Tomorrow looks like a great day. Sunshine, upper 80s, lower humidity. I'm heading to the beach. Spending the day there. How's everyone's summer going?

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Post by nutleyblizzard Sat Aug 06, 2016 4:40 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Tomorrow looks like a great day. Sunshine, upper 80s, lower humidity. I'm heading to the beach. Spending the day there. How's everyone's summer going?
Hasn't been too bad of a summer heat wise Frank. Lot's of thunderstorms to track. Heading up to Mystic and Foxwood casinos in Connecticut with the wife and our two dear friends on Wednesday for several days. Already looking forward to see how everything shakes out for the upcoming winter. I know, too soon for that.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Aug 06, 2016 4:46 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Tomorrow looks like a great day. Sunshine, upper 80s, lower humidity. I'm heading to the beach. Spending the day there. How's everyone's summer going?

Have fun at the beach!! Our summer is going great..(went up to Lake Champlain for 19 days on the boat once school was out)...came home and did some local stuff and some vegging in the pool...and in 2 weeks will head to Disney for 5 days(nuts to go in August..but don't want to take my son out of school to go...I will probably regret it..lol)..Hope you are enjoying your summer and I hope to meet all of you at one of these get meet ups!
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Aug 06, 2016 4:52 pm

Wasn't a strong line of storms here in NNJ. A few rumbles of thunder and a few pockets of heavier rain around me. No measurable rain for me this go-round. SPC is wrong again.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Aug 06, 2016 6:47 pm

we had a couple rumbles of thunder and 2 minutes of rain..nothing really
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Post by algae888 Sat Aug 06, 2016 10:35 pm

with a little over 70% (june 1-august 5th) of summer gone cpk is 1.2* above normal and Newark at +1.1* which if 2000 to 2015 temps were used instead of 1981-2010 averages then we would probably be below normal. considering how warm our planet has gotten over the years this summer is anything but hot. of all the mets summer outlooks I saw only steve d called for near normal temps.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Aug 07, 2016 9:34 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Tomorrow looks like a great day. Sunshine, upper 80s, lower humidity. I'm heading to the beach. Spending the day there. How's everyone's summer going?
Hasn't been too bad of a summer heat wise Frank. Lot's of thunderstorms to track. Heading up to Mystic and Foxwood casinos in Connecticut with the wife and our two dear friends on Wednesday for several days. Already looking forward to see how everything shakes out for the upcoming winter. I know, too soon for that.

Yes, the thunderstorm activity has been impressive. I don't track those very much mainly because I like spending my time in the summer doing other things. But it's been fun. Lots of lightning. And yea, we've had a couple of heat waves but it has not been as bad as I thought it could get. 

@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Tomorrow looks like a great day. Sunshine, upper 80s, lower humidity. I'm heading to the beach. Spending the day there. How's everyone's summer going?

Have fun at the beach!! Our summer is going great..(went up to Lake Champlain for 19 days on the boat once school was out)...came home and did some local stuff and some vegging in the pool...and in 2 weeks will head to Disney for 5 days(nuts to go in August..but don't want to take my son out of school to go...I will probably regret it..lol)..Hope you are enjoying your summer and I hope to meet all of you at one of these get meet ups!

Awesome! Yea I've been down the Jersey Shore multiple times. Water is clear and fairly warm. Highlight was the cruise to the Bahamas for sure. Maybe I'll go away around Labor Day, we'll see. Have a great time in Disney. I need to get back there. Drink LOTS of water. Disney in August could be brutal. Ask me what the weather will look like in about a week. I'll try put together a forecast.

@algae888 wrote:with a little over 70%  (june 1-august 5th) of summer gone cpk is 1.2* above normal and Newark at +1.1* which if 2000 to 2015 temps were used instead of 1981-2010 averages then we would  probably be below normal. considering how warm our planet has gotten over the years this summer is anything but hot. of all the mets summer outlooks I saw only steve d called for near normal temps.

Yea, hasn't been bad. June was average and July was above average. July was actually pretty warm for much in the northeast according to the chart below. If August finishes above normal, it'll probably be +2 or higher which would be an above normal temp seson.

August 2016 Observations & Discussion Jun16TDeptNRCC


August 2016 Observations & Discussion Jul16TDeptNRCC

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Aug 07, 2016 9:44 pm

I gotta see another round of model runs for the weather late this week into the weekend. All over the place from dryness to washout

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Post by docstox12 Mon Aug 08, 2016 5:39 am

Nice cool 55 degrees and its still dark at 5:35 AM.A portend of the coming Fall.92%, 29.80 R
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Post by algae888 Mon Aug 08, 2016 7:07 am

Yes doc a nice cool morning however it looks like we will be going through a very uncomfortable stretch starting Thursday especially with the humidity. Not uncommon for August. we are almost at the end and can see the light at the end of the tunnel now.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Aug 08, 2016 12:38 pm

Yes, Al usually around now you get a few peeks of some cool nights but the dog days are still here.Very nice 77.7 degrees, 65%, 29.84 R and calm.Mostly sunny, a few puffy summery Cumulus Clouds.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Aug 08, 2016 5:30 pm

Thank you Frank I will ask in a week..and yes...prepped mentally for the heat of Florida...this was the only time my son and I could do this..(dad bowed out...he prob is lucky one...just has to pay for it..lol)I hope you get to go away over Labor Day!! can not believe it is around the corner! As much as I hate the heat I love having my child home and not having a schedule!!
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Post by algae888 Mon Aug 08, 2016 6:54 pm

Pretty impressive dew points coming up Thursday through Sunday on most models. Mid seventies looks like the average with some places getting close to 80 uggh!!! The flow will come straight from the Gulf of Mexico which has record sea surface temperatures right now. can't get more tropical air than this.


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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Aug 08, 2016 8:15 pm

@algae888 wrote:Pretty impressive dew points coming up Thursday through Sunday on most models. Mid seventies looks like the average with some places getting close to 80 uggh!!! The flow will come straight from the Gulf of Mexico which has record sea surface temperatures right now. can get more tropical air than this.

Hit 80 not long ago and it was awfull
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Post by amugs Mon Aug 08, 2016 10:17 pm

This is from a met from another board:
For the NYC Metro Region, there are still many unanswered questions about a possible up and coming heatwave. The first question obviously, is how hot will it be and how long will it last. Technically, the criteria for a heatwave is 3 or more consecutive days of 90 degree or hotter weather. While it is possible we hit 90 briefly this afternoon or Wednesday, the real 90 degree stretch would most likely begin on Thursday if it is to happen. Now, the big questions about whether or not this happens are 1) Exactly how much tropical moisture will be involved in the air mass and result in possibly widespread thunderstorm activity and thunderstorm debris cloudiness? 2) How close will a cold front to the north get to us as this front could also trigger more thunderstorm activity or debris cloudiness and temporarily kick our winds to the northeast or east? These are still the BIG unanswered questions and the computer forecast models are having difficulty wrestling with them and going back and forth with different answers it seems each run cycle. The Canadian models seem to offer at this point, the hottest and longest duration scenario with the Euro and UKMET following closely behind. The GFS American model
has the cold front closest to us and for sure is the most active with thunderstorm activity. I will take a closer look at this tomorrow morning as the potential at least exists for either a long duration heatwave lasting from perhaps Thursday into the middle of next week or some intermittent heat conditions interspersed with very strong to severe thunderstorms and perhaps one or two cooler days.

Going to be utterly disgusting from Thurs to Sun sorry ya'll I brought thus back from Mehico with me!!! Razz

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Post by docstox12 Tue Aug 09, 2016 6:08 am

LOL, Mugs, along with the Aztec Two Step?

Guess the last cool morning before the heat wave models are struggling with concerning lenght and duration.

55 degrees, 92% 29.94 R

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Post by frank 638 Tue Aug 09, 2016 6:26 am

73 * muggy out

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