Hurricane Hermine Discussion
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
frank 638 wrote:How much rain will we get for NYC and long island
Thinking 2" but will be more if track is closer to coast
Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Frank_Wx wrote:Wait - that is in meters. Holy crap.
7 meters is like 20 feet
Holy crap, I am gonna have to try to get down there to see that, may never see that again! But probably not a good idea, nor would they probably allow me onto the beaches. I remember when I was in Bermuda and I cannot recall what hurricane it was but we snuck onto the beach when it closed (hurricane was a cat 3+ I think, and the waves were incredible even inside the reef, outside looked scary. If was only after I tried to go into one and almost got sucked out to sea that I ran back to the resort, I am smarter than that now, I was about 13. It was my cousins fault lol
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Thanks frank it's going to be an interesting weekend
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Latest 00z's - more leaning N&W
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Frank_Wx wrote:frank 638 wrote:How much rain will we get for NYC and long island
Thinking 2" but will be more if track is closer to coast
your posting so much might as well do your blog, I am dying to know your rain and wind forecast for my area, though as models seem now it won't be crazy unless its closer to the coast. But then again I can see why you wanna wait on 00z runs, especially with that 250 setup you posted and ya wow, could def pull Hermine back.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Im watching live HH recon, they found 983mb
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Frank_Wx wrote:Latest 00z's - more leaning N&W
giddy up! still a mess of tangled sgetti
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Is it me or do we do this dance - 18Z a tick East, 0Z comes back West, 6Z A td more west and 12Z shazam!!
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
jmanley32 wrote:Im watching live HH recon, they found 983mb
I know and must be feedback issues casue there is a gap in the winds of purple - maybe its black HAHAHA
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Mugs
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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
I dunno just compared 18z sgetti with 00z and it looks like 00z majority are a bit further S & E, but a few more do recurve back toward coast on 00z. Still a lot of uncertainty. Does this frustrate anyone else lol
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
I hate to ask but which storm was the worst the blizzard of 2016 or this one
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
must b different site ur look at cuz mine is 3D and the top color is orange, but there is a big gap.amugs wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Im watching live HH recon, they found 983mb
I know and must be feedback issues casue there is a gap in the winds of purple - maybe its black HAHAHA
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
LOL hwrf does about 5 loops but bit more west is the main jist.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p®ion=09L&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016090118&fh=3&xpos=0&ypos=200
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf-p®ion=09L&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016090118&fh=3&xpos=0&ypos=200
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Doesnt really look NW to me, most look well off to sea to me.
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Any bands that get into the Jersey Shore and LI are likely to contain enhanced rainfall. Very moist atmosphere PWAT + tropical rain / convection = flooding
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
NjWeatherGuy wrote:Doesnt really look NW to me, most look well off to sea to me.
On second look it does look like more members are S&E, but there are more members that are west too. In other words, toss.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Looks like Hermine is about to make landfall, will we have a reading to upgrade it before it does so?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Frank_Wx wrote:NjWeatherGuy wrote:Doesnt really look NW to me, most look well off to sea to me.
On second look it does look like more members are S&E, but there are more members that are west too. In other words, toss.
"S&E" hey mugsy, where have we heard that before! Lol Better not be a sign of things to come! In this case I hope it is more south and east, the shore doesn't need more grief.....it's so quiet here now, can't imagine what it is going to be like this weekend
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Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
NAM is east so far at hr 24.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
here in ocean county which is around 15 miles of the coast am i in danger zone??
Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
F
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
jake732 wrote:here in ocean county which is around 15 miles of the coast am i in danger zone??
Jake, Ocean County is in a TS watch, going to be tough if you are near the coast. What town?
Last edited by Dunnzoo on Thu Sep 01, 2016 10:28 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
NAM looking great so far if you want a nice weekend, if you want a stoorm hr 42 is heading almost due east into ocean, unless it gets turned back may be OTS.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
SREFS are west
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
You will probably see a lot of rain, but you are far enough away from the coast to get the worst of the winds. Was at the Blueclaws game last week, down here on vaca.
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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Image Frank? I cant seem to find sref on wxbell.
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