Hurricane Hermine Discussion
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kaos00723
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
dolphins222 wrote:please let this go ots. this looks devastating.
do not want a repeat of sandy. losing power for a week when its going to get really hot again would stink
I agree with you if this was snow I would say bring it on....water is scary...and we lost power for 13 days...
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
weatherwatchermom wrote:dolphins222 wrote:please let this go ots. this looks devastating.
do not want a repeat of sandy. losing power for a week when its going to get really hot again would stink
I agree with you if this was snow I would say bring it on....water is scary...and we lost power for 13 days...
After seeing the model runs today and waiting for the Euro to be done I said to my students on the way out the door "see you guys in 10 days" And i wasn't kidding.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Holy cow................. I am speechless.
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
I'm assuming this is a mostly non-event for N/NW Jersey judging by all the current forecasts and models, correct?
kaos00723- Posts : 13
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
kaos00723 wrote:I'm assuming this is a mostly non-event for N/NW Jersey judging by all the current forecasts and models, correct?
HUH? Winds will extend 500 Miles out.................
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
kaos00723 wrote:I'm assuming this is a mostly non-event for N/NW Jersey judging by all the current forecasts and models, correct?
Probably not much affects from this for areas north & northwest of the city imo. Rain and strong winds etc. will mostly be confined to the coast.
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Joe Snow wrote:kaos00723 wrote:I'm assuming this is a mostly non-event for N/NW Jersey judging by all the current forecasts and models, correct?
HUH? Winds will extend 500 Miles out.................
This will effect on the same scale as sandy if Euro plays out, meaning the amount of people and possibly intensity, though I do not think the storm surge will be anywhere near as big. But if this comes in even stronger than modeled like Nutley said, and I agree with then it really could be worse than sandy with winds, especially southern areas from Hudson valley south and East. Tonight I WILL be getting up for the Euro, probably go to sleep and set my alarm.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
snow247 wrote:kaos00723 wrote:I'm assuming this is a mostly non-event for N/NW Jersey judging by all the current forecasts and models, correct?
Probably not much affects from this for areas north & northwest of the city imo. Rain and strong winds etc. will mostly be confined to the coast.
snow I disagree, as joesnow said the wind field is huge. And could trend stronger.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
JB raging bull video, says euro is on with the idea and THIS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO SANDY MAYBE WORSE SINE IT WILL ENCOMPASS SEVERAL HIGH TIDES, BARRIER ISLANDS FROM FIRE TO OC MD WILL BE DEVASTATED IF THIS RUN VERIFIES.
I AM NOT HYPING TJIS BUT THIS IS NOT TO BE POO POOED!!
THE NYC METRO IF EURO VERIFIES IS UNDER THE GUN TOO.
I AM NOT HYPING TJIS BUT THIS IS NOT TO BE POO POOED!!
THE NYC METRO IF EURO VERIFIES IS UNDER THE GUN TOO.
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
At work today in point pleasant beach their where no signs a storm was coming no one talking about it. No preparedness or anything. Like everything will be ok. No one saying much at all really disturbs me
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
snow247 wrote:Probably not much affects from this for areas north & northwest of the city imo. Rain and strong winds etc. will mostly be confined to the coast.
That was my thinking, nothing like Sandy up here with this one, thanks!
kaos00723- Posts : 13
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
I gotta go grocery shopping, do you guys think tomorrow afternoon will be too late and people will go crazy by then as usual hearing TS watch or maybe warning by then, or dare I say hurricane advisories? Or should I go tonight, I really don't wanna go tonight me tired lol
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
i really hope you end up being wrong and see your students on tuesday as scheduled.syosnow94 wrote:weatherwatchermom wrote:dolphins222 wrote:please let this go ots. this looks devastating.
do not want a repeat of sandy. losing power for a week when its going to get really hot again would stink
I agree with you if this was snow I would say bring it on....water is scary...and we lost power for 13 days...
After seeing the model runs today and waiting for the Euro to be done I said to my students on the way out the door "see you guys in 10 days" And i wasn't kidding.
im all for a good storm, but this is the worst possible timing ( not that there is ever a good time really for such a catastrophic storm) just remembering sandy, being without power for 10 days, gas lines extending blocks and blocks, that was depressing as could be.
imagine now how much worse it would be without power for days when they r expecting temps in the highs 80s again by wed?
is there any chance this does not turn out as bad as it seems now?
i am hoping just like all the winter storms that looked so promising ended up being duds, i am hoping this one turns out like that, bc while i love a monster snowstorm, this has the potential to be devastating for many people.
dolphins222- Posts : 26
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
amugs wrote:JB raging bull video, says euro is on with the idea and THIS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO SANDY MAYBE WORSE SINE IT WILL ENCOMPASS SEVERAL HIGH TIDES, BARRIER ISLANDS FROM FIRE TO OC MD WILL BE DEVASTATED IF THIS RUN VERIFIES.
I AM NOT HYPING TJIS BUT THIS IS NOT TO BE POO POOED!!
THE NYC METRO IF EURO VERIFIES IS UNDER THE GUN TOO.
well when that hit social media (soon) all hell is gonna break loose.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
kaos00723 wrote:snow247 wrote:Probably not much affects from this for areas north & northwest of the city imo. Rain and strong winds etc. will mostly be confined to the coast.
That was my thinking, nothing like Sandy up here with this one, thanks!
It's not good to think like that, no one expected the damage Sandy was going to do, and it did. Everyone thought the same and looked what happened, at least be prepared, you never know.
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
I don't wish damage on anyone. It's horrible, but nature is in control. Living by the water whether ocean or river is Russian roulette. Eventually you will be flooded or ruined. Just a fact of life. Hope it doesn't happen to anyone, but after Sandy if I was bay or beachfront I would have moved.
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
If euro is right hermine will make landfall very close where Sandy made landfall. Devastating for the Jersey Shore especially Southern Jersey but not that big of a deal for New York City north and west
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Being a HAM operator I was just put on notice to be available to help out with emergency communications between hospitals and the RED CROSS.
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Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
jmanley32 wrote:This will effect on the same scale as sandy if Euro plays out, meaning the amount of people and possibly intensity, though I do not think the storm surge will be anywhere near as big. But if this comes in even stronger than modeled like Nutley said, and I agree with then it really could be worse than sandy with winds, especially southern areas from Hudson valley south and East. Tonight I WILL be getting up for the Euro, probably go to sleep and set my alarm.
Everything I've seen shows almost no rain and light to moderate gusts up here. If it turns out like Sandy or worse, god help us all...
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
FWIW 18z NAM is west of 12z through 18.......
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Garrett Bastardi (related to JB?) says its very much like Sandy, some are tweeting this could top Sandy, scary thought. I for one realized its still hot out and losing power for 7 days would be aweful compared to cold with sandy. Plus even more foliage than October. Yikes.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Joe Snow wrote:kaos00723 wrote:snow247 wrote:Probably not much affects from this for areas north & northwest of the city imo. Rain and strong winds etc. will mostly be confined to the coast.
That was my thinking, nothing like Sandy up here with this one, thanks!
It's not good to think like that, no one expected the damage Sandy was going to do, and it did. Everyone thought the same and looked what happened, at least be prepared, you never know.
Yeah I hear you. After Sandy it would be stupid to not be somewhat prepared at the very least.
kaos00723- Posts : 13
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Can someone look for me and see when the euro winds down the brunt of the storm, so I can see if I can travel back monday evening? I am mobile right now
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
It will Top Sandy in Southern New Jersey and with the long duration coastal flooding even up into the bays of New York City and Long Island Sound. The wind maps that everyone posted were 850 Maps we would need some strong conviction to mix those winds down to the surface however models are not showing strong conviction New York City Metro north and westjmanley32 wrote:Garrett Bastardi (related to JB?) says its very much like Sandy, some are tweeting this could top Sandy, scary thought. I for one realized its still hot out and losing power for 7 days would be aweful compared to cold with sandy. Plus even more foliage than October. Yikes.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
algae888 wrote:If euro is right hermine will make landfall very close where Sandy made landfall. Devastating for the Jersey Shore especially Southern Jersey but not that big of a deal for New York City north and west
Really Al? What town are you in? I lost power for 7 days, the gas shortage caused chaos, yes it wasn't the devastation of the shore but I wouldn't say it wasn't a big deal. This could also trend stronger giving even more wind up this way. I know your the last person that wants this but like syo said its out of our control.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Hermine Discussion
Precip. shield already up into Virginia!!!!! It is reasonable to expect precip to break out in our southern Jersey areas by this time tomorrow??
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