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September 2016 Observations & Discussion

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Post by docstox12 Sat Sep 10, 2016 6:56 am

Heavy T Storm an hour ago, no wind, little thunder but heavy downpour. .83 in the bucket. 67.8 degrees, 93% 29.79 R.Notice some nights in the 40's coming up next week.Seeing some trees changing color up here now.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Sep 10, 2016 7:23 am

all I can say is this weather is DISGUSTING!!! 76* 91% humidity RF 84 at 7:25 am.....ARRRRR when will fall weather arrive and stay?!!!!
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Sep 10, 2016 11:56 am

Nearing moderate drought status in my area. CMC has been on and off showing tropical influenced rain come over the area after a gulf storm but many variables remain at play to see if this comes to fruition. Has shown up on GFS from time to time as well.
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Post by amugs Sat Sep 10, 2016 1:32 pm

91* with 70% humidity - July or Sept??

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Sep 10, 2016 4:22 pm

I expect yet another hot fall with indian summers and 70s thru Oct like last year. Just my gut feeling.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Sep 10, 2016 9:15 pm

The NWS should consider adding a swamp ass emoji to their 7-day forecasts

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Post by frank 638 Sat Sep 10, 2016 11:41 pm

its 1140 pm almost midnight and its still 82 deg what the hell Evil or Very Mad Mad

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Post by Radz Sun Sep 11, 2016 7:07 am

7AM temp 76.8° DP 74.1° Humidity 91% makes for a gross real feel of 82° on this 15year anniversary...
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Post by Dtone Sun Sep 11, 2016 12:01 pm

Cold front passed through dew pt dropped dramatically. 70's to 50's just like that. Ahhh

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 11, 2016 4:00 pm

Enjoy the cool down peeps - here come the ridge building again - Bermuda High doing some dirty work and like I said in teh LR post summer is going to continue its parade through the fall/October - may be shore like weather into early Oct and SST being still warm barring no other upwelling

September 2016 Observations & Discussion - Page 2 Eps_control_t2anom_by7_conus_61(9)

September 2016 Observations & Discussion - Page 2 Gfs-ens_z500a_us_10

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Post by frank 638 Sun Sep 11, 2016 9:40 pm

Great another warm fall it feels like every time when we get to spring its raw chilly and cold then when we get into fall its hot humid crazy I just hope we have a cold snowy winter with lots of blizzard who is with me

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Sep 12, 2016 1:26 am

Much nicer tonight, 63 deg and low humidity but know it aint gonna last.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Sep 12, 2016 6:21 am

43.8 Degrees, 91%, 29.99 R and looks like clear skies.Welcome break from the constant hot humid weather.
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 12, 2016 6:51 am

Absoluetly Doc, 54 * here

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Post by snow247 Mon Sep 12, 2016 7:00 am

49 here this morning
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Post by Dtone Mon Sep 12, 2016 7:27 am

Low 62 here
dew point 49.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Sep 12, 2016 7:47 am

According to car therm (usually pretty close) down to 48 here at a low. Actually felt cold.
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Post by sroc4 Mon Sep 12, 2016 8:36 am

This time of year I tend to be jealous of all you mainlanders. My Low was 61. Still felt nice with dew points in the mid fifties. With the waters as warm as they are it's going to take some time.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 12, 2016 7:35 pm

Get out the blankets peeps - Thursday night- Fall will be in the air!!

September 2016 Observations & Discussion - Page 2 Gfs_T2m_neus_15

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Tue Sep 13, 2016 5:42 pm

For what its worth busted high today, expected max of 83 and hit 87... typical.
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Post by algae888 Wed Sep 14, 2016 9:12 am

@NjWeatherGuy wrote:For what its worth busted high today, expected max of 83 and hit 87... typical.
yes even our cold shots only get us to normal now. I would be very hesitant to go with a below temp profile for this winter, any season for the matter, as we have had one above normal month after another. dry conditions should be highly weighted as I feel this along with a warming planet has contributed to this AN temp departure which seems endless. also mean skewed by 30 year ave. we may not see a below normal season until the 2020's.
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Post by Dtone Wed Sep 14, 2016 2:11 pm

@algae888 wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:For what its worth busted high today, expected max of 83 and hit 87... typical.
yes even our cold shots only get us to normal now. I would be very hesitant to go with a below temp profile for this winter, any season for the matter, as we have had one above normal month after another. dry conditions should be highly weighted as I feel this along with a warming planet has contributed to this AN temp departure which seems endless. also mean skewed by 30 year ave. we may not see a below normal season until the 2020's.

Imagine 14+ straight months of below normal temps instead of above. Seems unfathomable. I have a hard time remembering 3 days in a row below normal much less a single month.
Aug 2016 was warmest Aug ever at many urban stations, 3rd warmest at Central Park. These top 10 warm months with regularaity makes normal feel like the new cold.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Sep 14, 2016 2:47 pm

@Dtone wrote:
@algae888 wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:For what its worth busted high today, expected max of 83 and hit 87... typical.
yes even our cold shots only get us to normal now. I would be very hesitant to go with a below temp profile for this winter, any season for the matter, as we have had one above normal month after another. dry conditions should be highly weighted as I feel this along with a warming planet has contributed to this AN temp departure which seems endless. also mean skewed by 30 year ave. we may not see a below normal season until the 2020's.

Imagine 14+ straight months of below normal temps instead of above. Seems unfathomable. I have a hard time remembering  3 days in a row below normal much less a single month.  
Aug 2016 was warmest Aug ever at many urban stations, 3rd warmest at Central Park.  These top 10 warm months with regularaity makes normal feel like the new cold.

Parts of July and August were hotter than I can remember, reminded me of the weather in Florida in summer of which Ive visited multiple times in the past few years, its been brutal.
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Post by amugs Wed Sep 14, 2016 3:37 pm

@Dtone wrote:
@algae888 wrote:
@NjWeatherGuy wrote:For what its worth busted high today, expected max of 83 and hit 87... typical.
yes even our cold shots only get us to normal now. I would be very hesitant to go with a below temp profile for this winter, any season for the matter, as we have had one above normal month after another. dry conditions should be highly weighted as I feel this along with a warming planet has contributed to this AN temp departure which seems endless. also mean skewed by 30 year ave. we may not see a below normal season until the 2020's.

Imagine 14+ straight months of below normal temps instead of above. Seems unfathomable. I have a hard time remembering  3 days in a row below normal much less a single month.  
Aug 2016 was warmest Aug ever at many urban stations, 3rd warmest at Central Park.  These top 10 warm months with regularaity makes normal feel like the new cold.


AA - American Amnesia

Feb March 2015 ring a bell???? People were crying on this forum about how cold it was and can't wait for it to stop and have a spring which was delayed that year as it was in 2014 .

AS per the warmth, not starting a fight at all, facts - solar minimum to be reached near 2020 as the ball of fire starts to retract and our heat source says hold on bombarding us with flares and radiation - it is happening already (20 days of no solar flares - most in 6 years). Effects can take months and last for months once they take hold as was evident in the 1950's/60's and from late 80's through about now with an active sun. 76-77.78-79 cold and BN months with low solar activity the previous year(s) and talk of a mini ice age.
September 2016 Observations & Discussion - Page 2 Global_cooling

Did I jump out of my skin when I saw this cover page as a young boy - hells yes!!!

Interesting how this in and of itself can shape our weather, the oceans are the other but what fuels this massive fluid - the ball of fusion  - if you do not believe this then I do not know what to tell you except this picture:
September 2016 Observations & Discussion - Page 2 Earth-Compared-To-Sun-Size-1

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by 1190ftalt Wed Sep 14, 2016 4:02 pm

stillwater nj, sky black torrential winds, thunder lightning little rain, pretty cool burst!
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