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Hurricane Matthew Southeast Coast Discussion Thread

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Oct 06, 2016 10:39 pm

Unbelievable freakish image

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Post by Snow88 Fri Oct 07, 2016 12:43 am

CMC and GFS shifted a little north and brings heavy rain to Hatteras

Hurricane models also shifted north and have less of a loop
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Post by Snow88 Fri Oct 07, 2016 12:49 am

0z Ukie is slightly more north for the mid atlantic people. Matthew gets to Hatteras. Never did on the 12z run

0z

http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=072&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060

12z

http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=060&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=072
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Post by Snow88 Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:29 am

0z JMA has a lot of rain further north on this run compared to last run

http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_SFC_ACCUM-PRECIP_72HR.gif
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Post by Snow88 Fri Oct 07, 2016 2:08 am

Euro is further north with Matthew into Hatteras. A lot of rain for Hatteras compared to 12z.
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Post by WeatherBob Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:39 am

Looks like the devastating winds will stay offshore in Florida. They are looking like they will dodge a bullet.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Oct 07, 2016 7:29 am

While the eye is offshore, Hurricane force winds extend to the coast. Eye is very close.

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Post by Guest Fri Oct 07, 2016 8:36 am

Looks like Florida is going to dodge a MAJOR BULLET. The northern and eastern eyewall looks super strong but should remain offshore it's entire way up the coast. The west side not nearly as bad. Tons of rain and gusts to maybe 100 at times is bad enough, but it could have been SO MUCH WORSE.

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Post by RJB8525 Fri Oct 07, 2016 9:38 am

syosnow94 wrote:Looks like Florida is going to dodge a MAJOR BULLET.  The northern and eastern eyewall looks super strong but should remain offshore it's entire way up the coast.  The west side not nearly as bad.  Tons of rain and gusts to maybe 100 at times is bad enough, but it could have been SO MUCH WORSE.  

Yes, hopefully Jacksonville can dodge and get spared from storm surge watching TWC they haven't had any sort of hurricane damage since the 70's
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Post by Snow88 Fri Oct 07, 2016 9:44 am

Cape hatteras might get it much worse than Florida ( Rain wise )
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Post by amugs Fri Oct 07, 2016 10:02 am

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Post by amugs Fri Oct 07, 2016 10:18 am

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Post by amugs Fri Oct 07, 2016 10:39 am

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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Oct 07, 2016 10:43 am

Have not been in touch can someone tell me how it will be around beaufort NC...thanks
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Oct 07, 2016 10:47 am

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Have not been in touch can someone tell me how it will be around beaufort NC...thanks

They could get 10+" of rain. Destructive flooding with winds possibly between 60-80mph. All day Saturday into early Sunday.

Not good.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Oct 07, 2016 10:49 am

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Oct 07, 2016 11:08 am

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Post by amugs Fri Oct 07, 2016 11:28 am

Jacksonville getting smoked and Ga adn Sc will later too - the coastal flooding will be worse in the areas as he moves parallel to the coast just piling up water with 100mph plus winds.

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Post by amugs Fri Oct 07, 2016 11:38 am

Speedway or Speed boat way?!!

Hurricane Matthew Southeast Coast Discussion Thread - Page 6 CuLN_1_WYAATAsp

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Post by Snow88 Fri Oct 07, 2016 12:38 pm

We need the rain up here
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Post by Snow88 Fri Oct 07, 2016 12:51 pm

Ukie has the storm right near Hatteras

[url="http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=042&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=048"]http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur....test&hh=048[/url]

Then goes ENE from there and slams into Nova Scotia, north of Maine
[url="http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=096&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=144"]http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur....test&hh=144[/url]
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Post by amugs Fri Oct 07, 2016 12:52 pm

Hurricane Matthew Southeast Coast Discussion Thread - Page 6 Captur13

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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Oct 07, 2016 12:55 pm

@amugs wrote:Speedway or Speed boat way?!!

Hurricane Matthew Southeast Coast Discussion Thread - Page 6 CuLN_1_WYAATAsp


That is not a flat surface either, that is a steep incline up from the infield grass, and is all from rainfall, they are not close enough to the beach for surge.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:04 pm

Hearing from FL family one didn't lose power, Daytona did, vero beach did but winds were not nearly as bad as was thought.
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Post by amugs Fri Oct 07, 2016 1:27 pm

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947mb

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