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November 2016 Observations & Discussions

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Post by 2004blackwrx Sun Nov 20, 2016 9:00 am

Unofficially a couple of inches of snow with flurries

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Post by dkodgis Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:23 pm

7:20 this evening, Sun, and temp=29 with flurrying.
Surprisingly high wind gusts, about 30 here and there. More like a steady 17 mph, gets quiet, and then blows hard.
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Post by Dtone Sun Nov 20, 2016 10:56 pm

First flakes of the season now..if you squint. Some flurries and drizzle back and forth..very light.
39*

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Post by amugs Mon Nov 21, 2016 2:16 pm

Euro says a little whiteness like the GFS for Turkey Day for us N of I 80

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Ecmwf_tsnow_3h_ne_26

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Post by amugs Mon Nov 21, 2016 2:18 pm

Snowpack builds to our North - good sign for when the cold air comes!

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Ecmwf_tsnow_3h_conus2_49


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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 21, 2016 10:28 pm

https://twitter.com/nj_strong_wx/status/800903207157383168

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 21, 2016 10:31 pm

Models trending colder Thanksgiving morning. Snow showers possible, especially N of NYC, before changing to rain.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Nov 21, 2016 10:34 pm

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_43.png.0ee0cfeacbc551149e736eed56e78aa2

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Post by amugs Mon Nov 21, 2016 11:10 pm

I said earlier I 80 North for sorry whiteness 
Bl cold enough

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Nam4km_T2m_neus_43.png.db04bfeaaf28a31fcbf3b65ad0f7bf73

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Post by snow247 Tue Nov 22, 2016 4:53 am

06z NAM for Thanksgiving day.

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_42


Last edited by snow247 on Tue Nov 22, 2016 11:42 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by frank 638 Tue Nov 22, 2016 6:10 am

37 * with snow flurries still very windy

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 22, 2016 9:12 am

Mood flakes Thanksgiving morning

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_9

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 22, 2016 9:13 am

Anyone going to the parade will freeze their whatever off

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Gfs_T2m_neus_10

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Post by RJB8525 Tue Nov 22, 2016 10:36 am

boy was that wind howling last night, woke me up a few times

still got good winds going on at 15mph

feels like 28 with the wind, temp 38
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Post by rb924119 Tue Nov 22, 2016 5:15 pm

My initial thoughts for the wintry threat Thanksgiving Day:

Start: Between 1-4AM Thanksgiving morning
End: Between 5-8PM Thanksgiving evening

For areas in white, expect mainly drizzle with a few light showers. Any updates will be issued as necessary.

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Slide111

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 22, 2016 6:44 pm

@rb924119 wrote:My initial thoughts for the wintry threat Thanksgiving Day:

Start: Between 1-4AM Thanksgiving morning
End: Between 5-8PM Thanksgiving evening

For areas in white, expect mainly drizzle with a few light showers. Any updates will be issued as necessary.

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Slide111

Agree with this. GFS isn't thrilled about any measurable precip but short range guidance is a bit more bullish.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Nov 22, 2016 6:55 pm

Thanksgiving Temps

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Ndfd_t2max_nj_3.png.423ce93d475235a80a485d313f8d720d

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Post by rb924119 Tue Nov 22, 2016 6:58 pm

Thanks Frank! Yeah, I feel like these overrunning events tend to over-achieve, and based on the isentropic lift between about 850-700mb and the nice connection to the left exit region of the 300mb jet, I feel that there will be a small window of relatively enhanced precipitation for upstate NY.

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Post by amugs Tue Nov 22, 2016 8:55 pm

November 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 5 Cx5OrFGUoAAcEHS

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Post by docstox12 Wed Nov 23, 2016 6:39 am

22.8, 84%, 29.99 R. Coldest morning of the Fall season.Still a few inches of snowpack up here, looks like a white Thanksgiving.
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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Nov 23, 2016 7:50 am

31.1°, finally no wind!

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Post by docstox12 Wed Nov 23, 2016 9:03 am

@Dunnzoo wrote:31.1°, finally no wind!

Yes, Janet, I have never seen a 3 day stretch with winds like that!
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Post by frank 638 Thu Nov 24, 2016 7:23 am

Happy Thanksgiving everyone

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Post by frank 638 Thu Nov 24, 2016 8:58 am

Happy Thanksgiving everyone and to ur family

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Post by amugs Thu Nov 24, 2016 9:01 am

HAPPY GOBBLE GOBBLE DAY!

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