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December 2016 Observations & Discussions

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Post by aiannone Sun Dec 11, 2016 10:24 am

19* here in Binghamton, NY. WWA for 2-4" this evening through tonight ending with a bit of rain late tomorrow morning. About a dusting here on the ground from LES streamers this weekend.
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Post by docstox12 Sun Dec 11, 2016 11:35 am

Wow, temps up over 22 degrees from the morning lows. Now 34.1

Amazing since its been cloudy all morning.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Dec 11, 2016 1:33 pm

35° here and rising even with the cloud cover. Not expecting anything here at this point, just too warm and the humidity is only 53%
So we wait again....

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Post by aiannone Sun Dec 11, 2016 1:50 pm

Precip shield is filling in and moving east. Snow is becoming steady now and picking up in intensity. Temp rose to 29 before the snow started under thick cloud cover, now down to 24 after a quick drop once the snow started.
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Post by frank 638 Sun Dec 11, 2016 2:39 pm

No snow yet cloudy and 35 *

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Post by rb924119 Sun Dec 11, 2016 2:44 pm

Put my observation from earlier in the wrong thread lol about 2:15pm light snow started with a temperature of 26°.

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Post by snow247 Sun Dec 11, 2016 3:08 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Put my observation from earlier in the wrong thread lol about 2:15pm light snow started with a temperature of 26°.

still in the wrong thread lol

https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/t758-sun-mon-12-11-12-12-discussions-and-observations
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Post by oldtimer Sun Dec 11, 2016 3:37 pm

Snow flurries just broke out here. Good to see. At least it's something. 35*.

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Post by Dtone Sun Dec 11, 2016 3:59 pm

Cloudy 36

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 8:06 pm

Check out the high temps Thursday, Friday, and Saturday this week.

nooooo

December 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Temp_310


December 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Temps_10

December 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Temps110

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Post by dkodgis Mon Dec 12, 2016 9:20 am

This morning I see 34 on the Iphone, 34 on the weather station, and 28 on the mercury on two different thermometers outside. The 1.5 inches we got is wet and heavy.
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Post by amugs Mon Dec 12, 2016 12:04 pm

Could be another light snow event Tuesday into Wednesday
UKIE and RGEM say so

December 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 SN_024-048_0000


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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Dec 12, 2016 12:39 pm

RGEM had us in a bigtime snow event for last night, I think I'll stick with the HRRR. There are so many chances of precip this month, all a matter of timing. Snow to rain to snow, rain to snow, snow to rain.... UGH!

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Post by Guest Mon Dec 12, 2016 12:45 pm

Cold Thursday, Friday, Saturday maybe? then.....................NWS has us for 1.25" qpf. Saturday into Sunday with temps rising through the 30's into 40's. Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

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Post by docstox12 Mon Dec 12, 2016 12:59 pm

41.9, 85%, 29.54 F

Yep, crappy pattern all storms are snow to rain right now.Looks like the North Central USA jackpotting now
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Dec 12, 2016 7:14 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Cold Thursday, Friday, Saturday maybe?  then.....................NWS has us for 1.25" qpf. Saturday into Sunday with temps rising through the 30's into 40's. Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

Saturday morning it's going to be 16 degrees.

Saturday 11pm it's going to be 43 degrees rising into the 50's Sunday.

facepalm

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Dec 13, 2016 7:59 am

I am keeping an eye on the snow threat for this Saturday. The EURO has warm air rushing in faster than the GFS so there are only minor snow accumulations before switching to rain. The GFS has it snowing, moderately, for a long period of time before it switches to rain. Either way we're switching to rain but it's a matter of determining how much front-end snow will fall. At the moment, thinking 2 to 4 inches for almost everyone, except central and coastal NJ. More like 1 to 2 inches there.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Dec 13, 2016 8:01 am

And if you're wondering "how can it be in the 20's Saturday morning then temps rise into the 40's by the evening"

It is because of an unfavorably positioned High Pressure system. Once it moves off the coast, winds turn from the east to the south. Living along the coast, that will do a number on your chances for snow. Those southerly winds are sneaky!

Notice the wind contours showing the southerly winds.

December 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Gfs_mslp_wind_neus_17

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Dec 13, 2016 8:08 am

And on a larger scale, the reason we're seeing these unfavorably positioned High Pressure systems is because the pattern sucks. La Nina, no blocking, active Pac jet. UGH!

ALSO

One last thing

Can you tell I am on 2 shots of espresso this morning?

With the Polar Vortex swinging through New England the end of this week, not only will it be frigid, but there may be snow squalls on Thursday. Coatings to 1" possible across the area.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Dec 13, 2016 8:10 am

Wind Chills Friday morning. Enjoy!

December 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Wind_c10

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Post by HectorO Tue Dec 13, 2016 9:35 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Wind Chills Friday morning. Enjoy!

December 2016 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Wind_c10

A couple days ago those were supposed to be the lows in the mornings. Looks like the Temps have gone up a little bit since.
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Post by Dtone Tue Dec 13, 2016 1:13 pm

Cold and dry, warm and wet. Back to how it always seemed to happen growing up in the 90s.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Dec 13, 2016 1:43 pm

Today's model continue showing a snow, ice, and rain threat for Saturday. At this time, I am thinking 2 to 4 inches of snow will accumulation for much of the area Saturday morning (beginning around 4am). It will change to a mix or freezing rain later Saturday morning then a plain rain by Saurday afternoon. The timing is still uncertain and exactly how much snow falls before the changeover is also iffy. GFS shows 3 to 6 inches while EURO is less bullish.

Either way, a storm is coming on Saturday. Clouds and rain will linger into all day Sunday. A miserable weekend ahead.


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Post by jake732 Tue Dec 13, 2016 2:15 pm

Lakewood Weather ‏@lakewood732
READ ABOUT THIS WEEKS COLD AS WELL AS A STORM ON ITS WAY. PLZ SHARE!!
LAKEWOOD WEATHER: SATURDAY DECEMBER 17TH http://lakewood732weather.blogspot.com/2016/12/saturday-december-17th.html?spref=tw …
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Post by HectorO Tue Dec 13, 2016 3:50 pm

So we hate it when it's el Nino and we hate it when it's la Nina, so is there anything in between? El perro? El gato? La mujer?
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