NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Page 6 of 12 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 5, 6, 7 ... 10, 11, 12  Next

Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by rb924119 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:22 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Busts for who? Obs look right on track lmao

On Facebook people in Allentown area said they have coatings to 1 inch. I definitely thought more for them. NJ/NYC seem to be on track.

Ooooooo ahahaha ok. I didn't know to whose map(s) or observations you were referring to ahaha

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5354
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:23 am

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 IMG_20161217_071936.jpg.fad05343a8da7b13f6a0a43e687f7b01

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:24 am

@rb924119 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Busts for who? Obs look right on track lmao

On Facebook people in Allentown area said they have coatings to 1 inch. I definitely thought more for them. NJ/NYC seem to be on track.

Ooooooo ahahaha ok. I didn't know to whose map(s) or observations you were referring to ahaha

Haha,.no not talk about anyone's map really. Just an observation from the complains via Facebook.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by sroc4 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:27 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Busts for who? Obs look right on track lmao

On Facebook people in Allentown area said they have coatings to 1 inch. I definitely thought more for them. NJ/NYC seem to be on track.

Ooooooo ahahaha ok. I didn't know to whose map(s) or observations you were referring to ahaha

Haha,.no not talk about anyone's map really. Just an observation from the complains via Facebook.

By and large all three maps are on track thus far. Well done fellas

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6866
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by docstox12 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:27 am

22.4, 86%, 29.77 F

Moderate snow, looks like 1 1/2 eyeballed here.Looks like its mixing near Jersey Shore and LI so maybe a few hours more of snow up here.Probably gonna be on the low side of that 3 to 6 forecast for here unless rates bump up.Plows coming through as I type this.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7241
Reputation : 214
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 70
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:29 am

Upton says mix line will hit NYC at 8:45

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:29 am

Madonne, snowing good now.

R/S line is close. You can tell it's fighting off boundary level cold. It's probably 30 to 40 minutes early though. Let's see if it keeps fighting.

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 82eb2fbd-55ef-413e-a9ff-8399e1948e5c.gif.6ff2b1898201ec251b2050124444daca

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by billg315 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:30 am

26* and I can now hear the telltale patter of sleet or freezing rain mixed in with the snow.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 3625
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:30 am

@Scott - in the app I had the option to save as GIF

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by sroc4 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:31 am

Likely the beginning of the end but huge blow up of intense snaowfall rates over eastern Suffolk. Very heavy rates right now.

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Img_4017

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6866
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by rb924119 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:31 am

@sroc4 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Busts for who? Obs look right on track lmao

On Facebook people in Allentown area said they have coatings to 1 inch. I definitely thought more for them. NJ/NYC seem to be on track.

Ooooooo ahahaha ok. I didn't know to whose map(s) or observations you were referring to ahaha

Haha,.no not talk about anyone's map really. Just an observation from the complains via Facebook.

By and large all three maps are on track thus far.  Well done fellas

Agreed, though I didn't expect the cold to hold this long for the eastern half of LI, so I failed there. I'm also cutting it close up here because it's been heavy snow here for a little while now and we may eclipse my 3" limit. But you're right, the bigger picture is pretty close Smile

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5354
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:32 am

There is the surface low...

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Pmsl

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Dunnzoo Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:33 am

2" here so far, heavy snow still, 25°. Not going to shovel until all is done, since I don't want the freezing rain on blacktop...

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4365
Reputation : 66
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 59
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by rb924119 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:33 am

@sroc4 wrote:Likely the beginning of the end but huge blow up of intense snaowfall rates over eastern Suffolk. Very heavy rates right now.

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Img_4017

"We've never seen such incredible snowfall rates!! We're eclipsing the 'Smiley Face' rate seldom seen but often dreamed of!!"

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5354
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by sroc4 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:34 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:There is the surface low...

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Pmsl

If that could just move NE a little that would be great...head to the BM please

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6866
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by algae888 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:37 am

2+" of snow and snowing mod. right now. models did well as 3-5" should fall across metro area.
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 58
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by sroc4 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:38 am

You've got excellent surface frontogenesis and 850mb frontogenesis. Likely why there are these two very heavy dbz bands developing.

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Sfnt
December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 8fnt_sf
December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 WUNIDS_map?station=OKX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6866
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:42 am

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 20161217_074036.png.b1874f34ec91d86be77dd79cf0302745

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:43 am

850mb temps

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 58553237eee72_12-17-20167-37-43AM.jpg.a951620a0bbc6197ff91ba247ba3d7b6

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by rb924119 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:45 am

Anybody have dual-pol? Frank?

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5354
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:46 am

Someone wake up mugsy. Dude runs around on here all but sleeps through best part of the storm

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:47 am

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Screen10

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by sroc4 Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:49 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Someone wake up mugsy. Dude runs around on here all  but sleeps through best part of the storm

lol! Mugs your missing the party !!

party party party party party

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6866
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:50 am

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 585533fdba15d_ScreenShot2016-12-17at7_47_31AM.png.f7b0705c6fa91760699398f0f9446395

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20002
Reputation : 311
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 28
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Guest Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:50 am

3" on the ground and really ripping right now easy 1.5" per hour. If that surface low can slow down the advancement of the R/S line another 2 hours then party party party party

another thing to consider is the back edge of the precip is approaching Eastern Pa. If there's not a lot of precip. left after the changeover, the snow might actually stick around all day.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations - Page 6 Empty Re: December 17th "Front-End Thump" Storm Discussion & Observations

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 6 of 12 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 5, 6, 7 ... 10, 11, 12  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum