Long Range Thread 13.0
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Oh it's gotta be a roidzilla ahahahaha god I can't wait to see this map lmfao snows the whole time north and west of 287 ahaha love this model
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Yep inland like albany area sees 24+, even down to coast sees a little snow. I posted snow map in banter 1 sec.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
I said this earlier to Al; of all of the operationals, I like its overall depiction of the evolution of H5 best. Anything regarding more detail than that with a setup like this this far out is playing with Fire, ESPECIALLY with operational runs. That said, it's great to gawk at and dream. Remember, I did mention the Blizzard of 1888 lmfao




rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
DEf I think we need a thread for this looks like there will be SOME type of big storm. True can't take them verbatim but the keep showing stronger and stronger, I HOPE you are right this time, I do not see why this is not ALL snow, it bombs out.@rb924119 wrote:I said this earlier to Al; of all of the operationals, I like its overall depiction of the evolution of H5 best. Anything regarding more detail than that with a setup like this this far out is playing with Fire, ESPECIALLY with operational runs. That said, it's great to gawk at and dream. Remember, I did mention the Blizzard of 1888 lmfao![]()
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jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
And after this storm I still think our area wide snow comes Feb. 1, Their are many vorts around
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Bring it on bring it all on.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
New thread for the 23rd-25th potential
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
@sroc4 wrote:New thread for the 23rd-25th potential
We started a thread at the same time. Merged them.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
It's coming February


skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
It is apparent a MAJOR pattern change is coming on the 27th. Every single piece of guidance shows this. Put on your hard hats, it's coming.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
From Joe B. about 45 minutes ago.
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/821749937130061824
And my apologies if I have put this in the wrong place.
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/821749937130061824
And my apologies if I have put this in the wrong place.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
@TheAresian wrote:From Joe B. about 45 minutes ago.
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/821749937130061824
And my apologies if I have put this in the wrong place.
Nope, all good. Wow that is nuts!
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Wow! That's got HECS potential written all over it. Hope models don't back off on this major pattern change.@TheAresian wrote:From Joe B. about 45 minutes ago.
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/821749937130061824
And my apologies if I have put this in the wrong place.
nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Today's guidance insists the Wave 1 warming event that will take place late this month will lead to a full on SSWE in early February. So far, we're not seeing any one piece of guidance completely destroy the vortex. However, if the Wave 1 event keeps trending stronger then I can see future model runs begin to obliterate the PV by displacing completely off the Pole. 1hPa mean zonal winds are expected to reverse easterly and 10hPa is now inching closer to doing so as well. It remains far from certain, but it seems Strat forecasts keep trending more bullish by the day. If a SSWE occurs, it will be between February 5th and 10th.






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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
So for us Frank at the coast it will be like a tropical storm?
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
@Frank_Wx wrote:Today's guidance insists the Wave 1 warming event that will take place late this month will lead to a full on SSWE in early February. So far, we're not seeing any one piece of guidance completely destroy the vortex. However, if the Wave 1 event keeps trending stronger then I can see future model runs begin to obliterate the PV by displacing completely off the Pole. 1hPa mean zonal winds are expected to reverse easterly and 10hPa is now inching closer to doing so as well. It remains far from certain, but it seems Strat forecasts keep trending more bullish by the day. If a SSWE occurs, it will be between February 5th and 10th.
Lets hope the QBO numbers finally start dropping off too. That would help the cause
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WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"
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Feb 7th 6"
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
The two snow threats are 1/28-1/30. Then 2/1 -2/3. Is this correct
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
The EURO is close to showing a Roidzilla January 28th. This falls in the January 27th - February 5th time frame I've liked for our next widespread snow event. Like I said earlier, put your hard hats on. This pattern change is going to hit us hard.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Most likely, this would change to snow for almost everyone. But temps, especially this far out, mean nothing.


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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
There she is Frank... Fits in nicely with the tropical forcing/SOI evolution and the overall pattern change.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
i just cant imagine having 3 inches of rain on the 23rd and 5 days later get another huge storm. i just have a feeling that the 2nd storm will sort of ease out.. have we ever seen 2 big storms in 5 days??
Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
@jake732 wrote:i just cant imagine having 3 inches of rain on the 23rd and 5 days later get another huge storm. i just have a feeling that the 2nd storm will sort of ease out.. have we ever seen 2 big storms in 5 days??
Idk but I saw Sandy and the a week later a foot of snow. This pattern that's coming up is epuc
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
@skinsfan1177 wrote:@jake732 wrote:i just cant imagine having 3 inches of rain on the 23rd and 5 days later get another huge storm. i just have a feeling that the 2nd storm will sort of ease out.. have we ever seen 2 big storms in 5 days??
Idk but I saw Sandy and the a week later a foot of snow. This pattern that's coming up is epuc
100% right
Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
@Frank_Wx wrote:Most likely, this would change to snow for almost everyone. But temps, especially this far out, mean nothing.
This one better be a "Northwest Special" for those of us that reside on the northwestern fringes of this board's membership zone, because we've paid our fair share of dues these last several years ahahaha I'd have a breakdown if this ends up as a repeat of last year's, and I'm sure I wouldn't be alone lmao five straight days of jackpot only to watch it drift 60-80 miles south within the last 24 hours; how does that even happen anyway??? Ahahaha
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Your map man has got his wxbell back haha : )As frank already pointed out, oh baby LR Euro roidzilla anyone!! Do not let this badass winter TS get you down things are coming!


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