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January 2017 Observations & Discussions

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 09, 2017 8:13 am

Going into today even after three days of decent cold January is still 0.8 - 2.0 degrees above normal in Central Park, LGA and JFK.

It's an early call but an easy one, January will be the 19th month in a row with above normal temperatures. I know it's not for this thread but I'm very curious and frustrated why this unprecedented streak of above normal temperatures for going on two years.

A strange question on a morning that it's currently -0.4 here.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jan 09, 2017 8:24 am

10*.....brr...but its winter Very Happy and white out
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:05 am

bottomed out at -0.6.

First sub zero morning of winter and from the looks of the long range the last one for at least a couple of weeks.
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:27 am

Move that decimal CP and me temp - 6*

I think we break the string in Feb and why because we have had a Godzilla ENSO positive state, Hotlantic this year with a massive Bermuda High, unfavorable QBO and the malookia from Frank's Grandmother!!

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:41 am

definitely one of the coldest mornings to date

was 4* early this morning now 14*
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:07 am

@amugs wrote:Move that decimal CP and me temp - 6*

I think we break the string in Feb and why because we have had a Godzilla ENSO positive state, Hotlantic this year with a massive Bermuda High, unfavorable QBO and the malookia from Frank's Grandmother!!

-6 ??? I'd like verification from Janet on that, this sounds like a snowman reading.
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Post by aiannone Mon Jan 09, 2017 11:52 am

5.7 was the low here in St. James, LI
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Post by Dtone Mon Jan 09, 2017 1:15 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Going into today even after three days of decent cold January is still 0.8 - 2.0 degrees above normal in Central Park, LGA and JFK.

It's an early call but an easy one, January will be the 19th month in a row with above normal temperatures. I know it's not for this thread but I'm very curious and frustrated why this unprecedented streak of above normal temperatures for going on two years.

A strange question on a morning that it's currently -0.4 here.

It'll end when the new normals come out in 2020

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Jan 09, 2017 2:29 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@amugs wrote:Move that decimal CP and me temp - 6*

I think we break the string in Feb and why because we have had a Godzilla ENSO positive state, Hotlantic this year with a massive Bermuda High, unfavorable QBO and the malookia from Frank's Grandmother!!

-6 ??? I'd like verification from Janet on that, this sounds like a snowman reading.

Haha yeah I think he meant just 6°, I recorded 4.8°

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 09, 2017 2:30 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@amugs wrote:Move that decimal CP and me temp - 6*

I think we break the string in Feb and why because we have had a Godzilla ENSO positive state, Hotlantic this year with a massive Bermuda High, unfavorable QBO and the malookia from Frank's Grandmother!!

-6 ??? I'd like verification from Janet on that, this sounds like a snowman reading.

No CP I am not your friend the CPK Zoo NumNuts - it was a hyphen - sorry for the confusion.
6* - better? Twisted Evil

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 09, 2017 2:32 pm

Janet really O had 6 on the nose and some Wunderground stations had 12* which I cant figure while most had 5-6*
Inquiry is needed on these temp station readings!

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 09, 2017 2:35 pm

Every state except FLA has snow depth - impressive - let's not be debbie downers etc - it is what it is - meant by DD we'll after we thaw we'll see most of that wiped out - until then enjoy it

January 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 4 Nsm_depth_2017010805_National

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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 09, 2017 5:13 pm

on a side note it looks like dr Cohen's theory with the SAI is in peril. if any year should have a neg AO it was this year however the AO has not been neg so far this winter (dec1st +). latest forecast is slightly + much different from a few days ago where guidance had it dropping sign. neg. my guess is that there is some correlation to the AO and SAI however it's not 1 to 1. other factors must over ride his index. hopefully his research can help in the years to come with forecasting the AO out in time.
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Post by aiannone Mon Jan 09, 2017 8:04 pm

Currently 11.6 degrees in St. James, LI. Going to be hard to get this cold air out of here!
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Post by Joe Snow Mon Jan 09, 2017 8:21 pm

12° here in Stony Brook, LI, nice and chilly out side..............
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Post by Guest Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:23 pm

13 degrees here in Syosset. Clear skies, no wind and deep fresh snowpack. Someone out in central/eastern LI near Riverhead/Ridge area will flirt with 0 tonight.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:27 pm

west hampton hit -9 this morning. Wonder if they'll top it tomorrow?

9.1 here, I imagine below zero is a given again unless we get some kind of cloud cover before dawn.
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Post by dad4twoboys Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:30 pm

8.4* Brewster, NY
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:45 pm

Some snow or ice N&W of NYC tomorrow night. Then you'll change to rain early Wed. morning. Rain for everyone else. Should come to an end by mid-morning Wednesday.

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 09, 2017 10:45 pm

12* here now

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Post by aiannone Mon Jan 09, 2017 11:09 pm

Westhampton Beach already down to 3*
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Jan 10, 2017 5:04 am

Currently 7° dewpoint 6° I'm curious to see if this week high temps actually verify with this snowpack
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Post by billg315 Tue Jan 10, 2017 6:30 am

7* and the radar shows the leading edge of the precipitation in Central PA. If that gets here around midday that will be ahead of schedule and probably while we're still below freezing so I think we could see a brief period of light snow and then maybe some freezing rain, before it goes to rain showers this evening.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 10, 2017 8:02 am

Wow Bill. You're right. Models not picking up on that band of snow working through central PA. If it survives could begin snowing here at some point in the early afternoon. Then there will be a break before the main batch of precip arrives late tonight. NEPA, NNJ, and southern NY should be careful for ice tomorrow morning

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 10, 2017 8:02 am

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/WxMap.aspx

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