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January 7, 2017 Storm Observations

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:28 am

oldtimer wrote:300 miles of the Jersey coast late this afternoon   That's half way to Bermuda lol
close 758 miles to bermuda and bermuda is way se of NJ, so 300miles east of nj will give us a good swath of snow, if it was 200 miles or less this would be a crazy storm.

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:34 am

oldtimer wrote:Mugs  Is 6" a lock for me?  Central Suffork County
Yup old timer if I fall short first 2 drinks fir you on me at get together !

Well well well those who ride the gfs is the last one to the paerty and now snowiest let's see what upton and the tv pro mets do!

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 IMG_7511.GIF.484c824410b82702b5fc1d8eadadd639

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Post by Guest Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:34 am

Nearing 1" here on the Nassau/Suffolk border. Only really started in earnest about 9:30. Last 20 minutes became moderate. 21 degrees with what looks like 1/2" per hour+ rates moving in

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Post by SoulSingMG Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:35 am

GFS JUST CAVED—over half a foot, NYC!

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 Img_1818
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:37 am

H eck nd that map is 10:1 ratios . Put it at 15:1 and boom baby!!

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:38 am

syosnow94 wrote:Nearing 1" here on the Nassau/Suffolk border.  Only really started in earnest about 9:30.  Last 20 minutes became moderate.  21 degrees with what looks like 1/2" per hour+ rates moving in

You will see a 6 -10 out there.

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Post by Spacemanspiff99 Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:40 am

Here's Forked River currently

https://imgur.com/Csa63ln

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:41 am

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 IMG_20170107_102707602_HDR (1)
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Post by Biggin23 Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:42 am

Latest HRRR has basically at least 4-6 still to come (10 to 1) for all of NJ just south of the city and NYC east if I am looking at it correctly with it still snowing at 0z tonight north if I-195...looking like a pleasant surprise!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:42 am

700mb frontogenesis looks good. We're seeing enhanced DBZ bands spread through the area now.

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 700mb.thumb.PNG.da827baeb747279b985c1f9ce256b78a

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:45 am

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 IMG_4063.thumb.GIF.f6a1a6351bdf05d0e7ac9e7df29b9e9a

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Post by docstox12 Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:46 am

18.6, 70% (went up) 29.99 R

steady light snow, blowing around.Ground starting to coat.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:47 am

This upper level jet northeast of the area is putting in work

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 Jesus.thumb.PNG.bf24c2cb32bac6ff4f155fda058d221b

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:48 am

Flood gates just opened here moderate snow !

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:49 am

Incredible. Parts of eastern LI will see a Godzilla.

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Post by oldtimer Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:49 am

24* 18*dew Visibility down light to mod now

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Post by Dtone Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:49 am

Windy, mod snow 23*


Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
1029 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-071630-
Eastern Union-Eastern Passaic-Western Essex-Western Bergen-Eastern
Essex-Hudson-Western Union-Eastern Bergen-Bronx-Kings
(Brooklyn)-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Northwest
Suffolk-Northern Nassau-Richmond (Staten Is.)-Northern
Queens-Southern Queens-Southeast Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southern
Nassau-Southwest Suffolk-
1029 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2017

...HEAVIER SNOW MOVING IN...AVOID TRAVEL...

As of 1015 AM...Heavier snow was moving in and travel conditions are
quickly deteriorating. Snowfall rates of an inch per hour are likely
through the afternoon.

Travel should be avoided to allow road crews to clear the snow.

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Post by Math23x7 Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:52 am

Been snowing for about two hours now. Looks like a pretty decent event for today!

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:52 am

Nice 

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 20170110
January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 20170111

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:54 am

HRRR at Noon today

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 Hrrr.thumb.png.ca53ec7f294d252e06aae634f3926bd7

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Post by snow247 Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:55 am

Light snow, light dusting so far.

Congrats to coastal areas, 6"-9"+ looking likely now for you guys. Take pics.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:55 am

HRRR qpf

January 7, 2017 Storm Observations  - Page 12 Qpf.png.7dc6af8ce0473c30415a02ae9f06193a

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Post by amugs Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:55 am

Math23x7 wrote:Been snowing for about two hours now.  Looks like a pretty decent event for today!
Math I don get it u are expecting 1/2 foot to 8/10" under a wsw and u call it pretty decent. Heck we all want godzillas and roudzillas but in this set up this maybe the first time in histor of keeping records NYC session a 6" snowfall with a positive AO.  Love ya kid but this is awesome as to where we were tis time yesterday!

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by RJB8525 Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:56 am

Starting to stick now 19*
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:57 am

Hrr ticked west beautiful gives another 20 mile shift please hahaha

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 07, 2017 10:59 am

Madonne in 10 minutes went from light to kod to heavy YIPPPEEEEE. Got love this from where we were at this time yesterday. SO many throwing in the towel.  And I love that new chat room Frank. Paisan u know who stayed steafast on tis and what about the gfs? Sucks and these Miller A conext I've systems. Too complex for it like trig and calc, can only do Alg uno and dos. 
STJ for the win.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 07, 2017 11:01 am

amugs wrote:Madonne in 10 minutes went from light to kod to heavy YIPPPEEEEE. Got love this from where we were at this time yesterday. SO many throwing in the towel.  And I love that new chat room Frank. Paisan u know who stayed steafast on tis and what about the gfs? Sucks and these Miller A conext I've systems. Too complex for it like trig and calc, can only do Alg uno and dos. 
STJ for the win.

The GFS needs to be shutdown. It is a disgraceful model.

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