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Post by amugs Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:47 pm

There are 5 waves on the gfs holds onto the block

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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:49 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:GFS has another mothrazilla looking event next friday, wow

Guess I am never going to start mowing this year... Sad
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:50 pm

@amugs wrote:Okay who wants to cry for this solution? ?

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 39 Lol.png.ae8bda8f0366587abdf729a3a0bac6d5
Wish this was Friday's storm...
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Post by frank 638 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:52 pm

This is getting very excited I wish this storm would happen in Fri to

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:01 pm

FWIW, hearing the 18z NAVGEM is on board for a biggie as well.
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Post by Guest Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:06 pm

Again I'm excited but. Hello..... does no one want to acknowledge that it's bad to be in the bullseye 6 days out.

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:09 pm

The northern hemispheric pattern has one of the best looks of the winter, but I want to see it hold for another 48 hours at least. Everything from the jet streak in the Gulf, to the +PNA, -NAO, strong upper energy, etc etc

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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:15 pm

More and more waves holy mother of god
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:18 pm

The storm Tuesday at the 500mb level looks like a triple phaser

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:25 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:The storm Tuesday at the 500mb level looks like a triple phaser
That sounds like some kinda mega weapon LOL, thats crazy wow.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:27 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:The northern hemispheric pattern has one of the best looks of the winter, but I want to see it hold for another 48 hours at least. Everything from the jet streak in the Gulf, to the +PNA, -NAO, strong upper energy, etc etc
And your confidence of this holding as of this morning is 20%?
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:29 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Again I'm excited but. Hello.....  does no one want to acknowledge that it's bad to be in the bullseye 6 days out.
I did if you look up back some posts. I do not think that cecissarily holds for EVERY system we just have to wait and see, no one jump off the edge if this goes pfff over the next few days can easily come back, but I have a good feeling about this one not wavering a whole lot, and syo b-day and blizzard of 93 to the date just says something to me.
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 08, 2017 6:43 pm

When was the last triple phase storm in this area?
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Post by SENJsnowman Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:48 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@SENJsnowman wrote:
Help me out Frank...where is the R/S line here. Is it the 32 line, the lighter, thinner solid blue line, the last dotted blue line ...or somewhere in between?  Thanks...

I prefer using the 850mb isotherm. Solid thin light blue line.

Thank you very much!!

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:50 pm

@mikeypizano wrote:When was the last triple phase storm in this area?
Dunno about the last but according to this website and awesome retro graphic the blizzard of 1993...on what date? March 14th : )

http://greatlakes.salsite.com/maps/superstorm1993.gif
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:51 pm

full view

http://greatlakes.salsite.com/maps/mar1214_1993_500_loop.gif
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 08, 2017 7:59 pm

What comes after MADDONE?!
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:03 pm

@mikeypizano wrote:What comes after MADDONE?!
Never heard frank say anything higher lol, not saying this is a redux of 1993, but it seems like it could be a analog no yes anyone? 1993 my wife got 46 inches in rochester NY, the city only saw a foot according to wiki. This looks like it could, and i say could bring a lot more than a foot.
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:04 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@mikeypizano wrote:What comes after MADDONE?!
Never heard frank say anything higher lol, not saying this is a redux of 1993, but it seems like it could be a analog no yes anyone?

If it is a 93 again, I will say many things...
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:06 pm

Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.
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Post by Guest Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:06 pm

I got between 27 and 30 inches in '93. So this storm can definitely be that again.

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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:08 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.

According to my blog entries, we got maybe 2 inches form that one here.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:12 pm

@mikeypizano wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.

According to my blog entries, we got maybe 2 inches form that one here.
I got 21 inches from 12/27/10, where are you at? Most of the area saw at least a foot and a half if not more.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:13 pm

@TheAresian wrote:I got between 27 and 30 inches in '93. So this storm can definitely be that again.
The only difference looks to be that this won't effect so much well inland areas like 1993 did.
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 08, 2017 8:32 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@mikeypizano wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.

According to my blog entries, we got maybe 2 inches form that one here.
I got 21 inches from 12/27/10, where are you at?  Most of the area saw at least a foot and a half if not more.

Between Wilkes-Barre and Scranton PA, in the Wyoming Valley not to far from AVP.
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