February 2017 Pattern Change - Video Part 2

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 29, 2017 8:48 pm

I hope everyone had a nice weekend. Here is part 2 of my video.

https://youtu.be/f721RI771Ow

Best,

Frank

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Jan 29, 2017 8:59 pm

Thank you Frank..great video and as always great music!! Hope you had a good weekend..and a safe drive to work tom!! and here is to late night tracking... Smile

by **Isotherm** Sun Jan 29, 2017 8:59 pm

Great update Frank. I just made a post about my continued interest in potential follow-up w2. I think the potential for -NAO/AO mid Feb onward is increasing. My only disagreement is I don't expect feb 1-15 to be significantly or modestly below normal. I'd lean near to slightly below normal, with increasing cold by mid month relative to normal. I also believe the higher risk for a big event is following the potential w2 strat disruption in mid+ feb.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 29, 2017 9:01 pm

Thanks Joanne.

Tom, thank you. We've been largely in sync this winter. I stated in the LR thread I expect 1st half of February to finish around -1. Not too cold.

by **Armando Salvadore** Sun Jan 29, 2017 9:06 pm

Great video frank. You and Tom have done very well with recent updates and calling of the pattern. Think we're all just about on the same page. Best potential yet for snow production with respect to intensity. Will be interesting to see how much of a reversal can happen with the SPV. Euro today did show a split followed by a wave 2. The indication makes sense given the tropical forcing that'll errupt in early Feb. Cheers!