Re: February 2017 Observations & Discussions

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Feb 04, 2017 10:28 am

low this morning was 20* currently 27* 18 rf winds nw @12 mph

by **billg315** Sat Feb 04, 2017 10:31 am

27* and sunny here. Was very chilly with a cold wind walking around to a couple bars up in Morristown last night. Actually winter-like for a change.

by **jmanley32** Sat Feb 04, 2017 6:27 pm

Is there any merit to accuwx showing 64 mph gusts on wed?! Headline says high winds with frequent gusts past 50mph.

by **jmanley32** Sat Feb 04, 2017 6:46 pm

Holy jeeze according to euro yep. 972mb lp cutting not to for n Orth of ny state.

by **Radz** Sat Feb 04, 2017 8:59 pm

Well, was in Pittsburgh working for two weeks... not much has changed pattern wise i see, promising Super Bowl storm and Feb 8-10th time frame have gone by the wayside... another powerful cutter seems imminent _ Jan 21st and 22nd high temp hit 65 out there!!! Freakin outrageous! Driving back i did have the pleasure of observing an 8-10" snow pack in the higher elevations about 100 miles NE of Pitt- side roads snow/sleet packed and temp was 16° yesterday morn around 10am... still holding out for one good snowstorm this season... as i see it about 6 weeks to go!

by **Radz** Sun Feb 05, 2017 7:08 am

21.4° Baro 29.71 wind calm, will Wednesday temps challenge the records?

by **Quietace** Sun Feb 05, 2017 7:48 am

Looks like we will be having a significant storm up here next week. 3-6" snow encased in .25-.5" of ice accretion.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sun Feb 05, 2017 9:14 am

13 straight days of solid snow cover here.

Testimony once again to the power of a 4 and half inch sleet storm. Any snow that's fallen since on top of it has melted but that sleet pack still isn't going anywhere.

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Feb 05, 2017 10:57 am

Hate when WU does this.. not reaching the ground.

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by **Quietace** Sun Feb 05, 2017 11:37 am

Can some one say Sleet/ Frz Rain fest
February 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Gfs_2017020512_066_K1P1

February 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Gfs_2017020512_072_K1P1

by **amugs** Sun Feb 05, 2017 12:07 pm

CNE onup is going to get a monster ice storm this week! jeez.

by Guest Sun Feb 05, 2017 1:56 pm

Heavy snow squall right now

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sun Feb 05, 2017 2:04 pm

amugs wrote:CNE onup is going to get a monster ice storm this week! jeez.

Hoping that doesn't come south it's the one form of winter precip. I can do without. Would rather have rain.

by **jmanley32** Sun Feb 05, 2017 5:49 pm

amugs wrote:CNE onup is going to get a monster ice storm this week! jeez.

go b a lot damage, some totals showing over an inch frz !

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 06, 2017 4:35 pm

Less then an inch of rain tomorrow. Start time 9am. End time after Midnight

by **rb924119** Mon Feb 06, 2017 11:29 pm

Forecast for Tuesday-Wednesday Wintry Event:
Start: 3-6am Tuesday
End: 5-9am Wednesday
Precipitation will begin overspreading the region pre-dawn tomorrow from west to east, mainly in the form sleet and freezing rain, with any snow confined to central and northern New England. That will gradually change to plain through the course of the event from west to east, as the heavier precipitation begins working in later tomorrow morning through tomorrow night. As this heavier precipitation moves through, it will become breezy, with occasional gusts near 25 mph. Expect warming temperatures during the day tomorrow and overnight into Wednesday morning, before a strong cold front comes through and begins to quickly drop the temperatures back toward normal values during the day. See the first image below for accumulation and change-over details.

The next event of interest then becomes a secondary wave on Thursday, as guidance is suggesting this COULD rapidly roll through our area, bringing the chance of significant winter weather with it. If it occurs, it would likely be a short event, with precipitation falling only for approximately 7-9 hours, but it COULD be high-impact because of its arrival for the morning rush. There is still considerable disagreement amongst the guidance, and although the large-scale pattern makes it even tougher to try to figure out what this system will do, I am issuing an outlook for it (second image), just to highlight the POTENTIAL impacts of this system if it verifies as I am currently thinking. By this time tomorrow, things should start becoming much clearer, as most of the pieces involved will be "on the field of play" and better understood. I will continue to monitor this event closely, and relay any updates as soon as possible.

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February 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Slide116

February 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Slide119

by **docstox12** Tue Feb 07, 2017 6:52 am

28.9, 90%, 29.66 F

Freezing drizzle, light ice accretion.Calm winds.

by **Radz** Tue Feb 07, 2017 7:43 am

Little slick out there, but up to 32° now...

by **jmanley32** Tue Feb 07, 2017 9:18 am

Frank I see you added a 11th event? Where is this discussed?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Feb 07, 2017 12:24 pm

Anyone else still getting freezing rain?

30.8 here and some of the rain freezing on the trees, roads are fine though.

by **docstox12** Tue Feb 07, 2017 12:32 pm

CP, had freezing rain all morning, a good glaze out there.I'm up to 34.1 here, warmer air coming your way.LOL, my rain gauge finally unfroze, I'm showing .07 right now.A little while ago it was 0.

by **amugs** Thu Feb 09, 2017 11:29 am

Peeps BUCKLE UP for a refresher pack Saturday
RGEM

February 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 SN_024-048_0000

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:06 pm

2.5 mm is about 1 inch

I don't think I will start a thread for Saturday. Let's just use this one to report observations. Also, do not be shocked, especially out on Long Island, to see snow showers tomorrow with possible minor accumulations. Remnant upper energy and a negative trough may set-up a norlun-type feature.

For Saturday, I would say a C to 1"

by Guest Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:09 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:2.5 mm is about 1 inch

I don't think I will start a thread for Saturday. Let's just use this one to report observations. Also, do not be shocked, especially out on Long Island, to see snow showers tomorrow with possible minor accumulations. Remnant upper energy and a negative trough may set-up a norlun-type feature.

For Saturday, I would say a C to 1"

Typo Frank. It's 2.5 cm, not mm.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:11 pm

TheAresian wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:2.5 mm is about 1 inch

I don't think I will start a thread for Saturday. Let's just use this one to report observations. Also, do not be shocked, especially out on Long Island, to see snow showers tomorrow with possible minor accumulations. Remnant upper energy and a negative trough may set-up a norlun-type feature.

For Saturday, I would say a C to 1"

Typo Frank. It's 2.5 cm, not mm.

The map mugs posted shows mm

by Guest Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:12 pm

I know that, but the conversion is 2.5 cm to 1 inch.

by **sroc4** Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:28 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
TheAresian wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:2.5 mm is about 1 inch

I don't think I will start a thread for Saturday. Let's just use this one to report observations. Also, do not be shocked, especially out on Long Island, to see snow showers tomorrow with possible minor accumulations. Remnant upper energy and a negative trough may set-up a norlun-type feature.

For Saturday, I would say a C to 1"

Typo Frank. It's 2.5 cm, not mm.

The map mugs posted shows mm

(not 2.5mm) 25mm=1"=2.5cm Frank gets a pass given all the work he put in over the last 48hrs. lol

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