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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 8:43 am

Thread the needle event again but lets see if we can make this 3x a charm.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:17 am

@skinsfan1177 wrote:I'll sign right now500mbPossible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 58981410

me too skins!!
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Post by rb924119 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:41 am

OH MY NAM!!!!

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:47 am

I know its early for temps but is it looking like snow to the coast on latest model runs
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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:52 am

@rb924119 wrote:OH MY NAM!!!!
Yes nam is 6"-9" area wide in a very short period of time wow!!!
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Post by Guest Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:04 am

This entire forum is like a warm bottle of champagne that has been shook and the wire is just being undone. One more set of model runs and snowfall maps and the cork comes off and this place literally explodes. Area-wide mothrazilla is the cure for the pent UP frustration

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:15 am

@amugs wrote:SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 SREFNE24Precip09084.thumb.gif.8e56691cc69a40a0eca5c8f458c1eefe

Posted 10 hours ago

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Post by jake732 Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:16 am

Skinns it looks like we are a little to south to see the heavy stuff, do u think that will change and give us the 6-10 as well?
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:21 am

syosnow94 wrote:This entire forum is like a warm bottle of champagne that has been shook and the wire is just being undone. One more set of model runs and snowfall maps and the cork comes off and this place literally explodes. Area-wide mothrazilla is the cure for the pent UP frustration

If this storm materializes your seasonal snowfall will be above average. Madonne you would think you're at 2 inches of snow.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:23 am

700mb VVs are impressive. Would be an inch per hour snow rates.

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 5898927de2210_ScreenHunter_282Feb_0610_10.png.fc512eb0858b653db38bfab6062c19b6

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:49 am

GFS looks fantastic

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 58989aed04012

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:50 am

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 58989b2ddf2c7

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:55 am

@jake732 wrote:Skinns it looks like we are a little to south to see the heavy stuff, do u think that will change and give us the 6-10 as well?

I think its a close call right now for us
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 10:55 am

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 IMG_0457.PNG.44bec835e9f1041be9b3255bddbdd518

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Post by Guest Mon Feb 06, 2017 11:40 am

Frank it seems like I am at only 2" instead of 19.5" because it all has melted within a day!

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Post by jake732 Mon Feb 06, 2017 11:44 am

Frank am I wrong, each gfs run is warmer then the previous one , looking to be rain cnj and south
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:07 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Frank it seems like I am at only 2" instead of 19.5" because it all has melted within a day!

You can't have it work both ways all the time. Those are special winters.

@jake732 wrote:Frank am I wrong, each gfs run is warmer then the previous one , looking to be rain cnj and south

Temp profiles look incorrect on the GFS. Would like to see where things stands 24 hours from now. Without a deepening LP off the coast, the JS could be warm at times. But we'll see.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:12 pm

The GEFS and the UKMET look amazing..

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 5898aa44b1818

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Post by Grselig Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:19 pm

Nice. Some parts have a hazardous statement.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1051 AM EST MON FEB 6 2017

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ068>075-078>081-176>179-071400-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1051 AM EST MON FEB 6 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER STORM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR PLOWABLE SNOW IS INCREASING AND THERE IS
THE POSSIBILITY FOR 6 OR MORE INCHES.

UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS STORM IS HIGH AS THE ATMOSPHERE DYNAMICS THAT
WILL POTENTIALLY CAUSE THE STORM TO DEVELOP ALONG OUR COAST ARE
STILL OUT OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS STORM, IF IT DOES DEVELOP,
SHOULD BE A FAST MOVER AND BE OUT TO SEA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:26 pm

Wow, so I was right when I said last night this could be a downpour of snow in like 6-12 hrs, would be intense and a terrible morning commute for sure. PS BRING IT ON!!
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:29 pm

Do not like look of individual GEFS snow maps for coast, most show all inland, I hope the coast can become cold enough.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 06, 2017 12:54 pm

The NAM literally dumps for 8-9 hrs than shuts off quick, wow this will be awesome to see if it does pan out.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 06, 2017 1:00 pm

syosnow94 wrote:This entire forum is like a warm bottle of champagne that has been shook and the wire is just being undone. One more set of model runs and snowfall maps and the cork comes off and this place literally explodes. Area-wide mothrazilla is the cure for the pent UP frustration

lol! lol!
tempering excitement and will not breath a word to anyone....
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 06, 2017 1:13 pm

We have a north and south battle. Euro is south while gfs is north.

Here's euro today

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 5898bb5d604f4

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 06, 2017 1:20 pm

DR. FRIGGIN NO EURO !!!

GEFS ARE BEAUTY!!

Going to post here what Steve the Cop who is a Met Student at Millersville and a neighbor of mine as well.
Two pieces of energy in the equation fro our storm either a 12-4" or 6" plus.
Another day before the get sampled.

Lets see what EPS has to say, and teh UKIE.

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 3 5898b7af47b3e_ScreenHunter_283Feb_0612_48.thumb.png.0f2f84d60de6784afeaf7e77da41895a

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