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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Empty Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:49 pm

Yeah RGEN does leave out most from NYC and NW, I hope it can back NW a bit, that band is very narrow, maybe it can expand. So far rgem is the strongest.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:49 pm

@docstox12 wrote:
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@algae888 wrote:rgem for you central jersey and li folks and its still snowing...

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Rgem_asnow_neus_16

Don't like the looks of that, great for Skins but the move south and east is a little alarming if not drastic. Hope that's not a trend.

Me either, CP, but if it comes to fruition we still get 6 inches.I have been suspicious of all the maps showing the HV getting a foot because this S and E bias has been seen  so many times the last few years.When i see the  radar on Thursday  morning, we will know.

If we get 6 reserve my room, this will be one depressed camper. Every model showed 10-16 until that F'n RGEM.
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Post by algae888 Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:50 pm

18z gfs...
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Gfs_asnow_neus_10
10-1 ratios
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Post by frank 638 Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:51 pm

lee is on again and he likes the idea of raising his snow totals this is getting exciting

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:52 pm

Al ur right, I wasnt pay attention leading up to boxing day blizzard but it sure did come outta nowhere. U aint kidding frank sure is.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:53 pm

GFS came in with 10-12+ with 10:1 yaoo!
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:56 pm

Chills yall. Jesus Mary and St Joseph a 970 mb storm just on or east of the BM as the rgem shows will crush just about all on the forum except for far NY Albany area peeps. The rest get absolutely hammered and the ccb will roAR in off the ocean inland as it snow shield expands. The jet structure shows tjis on the NAM suites.
RGEM as well just gorgeous 
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 300mb_geopotential_height_winds_CONUS_hr048.png.1535d5172b8ff367be988721283bd599

Jake and Skins may have more tHan just snow to worry about, tidal flooding can be an issue as well.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:56 pm

Oy GFS dropped sig SE.
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:57 pm

Al but the BD had a west block overhead we don't have such, a 50/50 low to help slow it down  but not a true GB, NEXT WEEK'S MY MAN WE GET THAT WOOP WOOT!!

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Post by algae888 Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:57 pm

cp and doc last yrs blizzard I got 20". cpk less than 10 miles south and places 10 miles north were 27+". there are going to be areas that underperform so if you end up with 10" and skins and scott with 18" what can we do. it happens. I do not think you end up less than 8" att.


Last edited by algae888 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:59 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:59 pm

GFS tjis wet is Red Flad usually thebdrier of all models 

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Gfs_apcpn24_neus_6.png.d089305fb34ceb58986ab81d543fecba

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:00 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Oy GFS dropped sig SE.

Uh oh, Where's the cyanide?
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:03 pm

From 18z NAM, with ratios, jackpot hudson vally into NYC 12-15!! RGEM at this time is a outlier with its intensity, but is impressive.

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Namne_13


Last edited by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:05 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by track17 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:03 pm

How is the jersey shore not under a wsw based on these runs ?

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:04 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Oy GFS dropped sig SE.

Uh oh, Where's the cyanide?
Well the precip did anyways, dunno about the actual LP itself.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:08 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:From 18z NAM, with ratios, jackpot hudson vally into NYC 12-15!! RGEM at this time is a outlier with its intensity, but is impressive.

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Namne_13

It's not an outlier Jman Nam para was a huge hit also 3knam
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:09 pm

@track17 wrote:How is the jersey shore not under a wsw based on these runs ?
Dunno, I would guess they will be up if models continue to show snow there, earlier they were not. Maybe not enough confidence yet.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:10 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:From 18z NAM, with ratios, jackpot hudson vally into NYC 12-15!! RGEM at this time is a outlier with its intensity, but is impressive.

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Namne_13

It's not an outlier Jman Nam para was a huge hit also 3knam
I mean rgem and its intensity of 970mb and the intense band through LI, most other models look pretty similar to each other except this one, maybe im wrong.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:11 pm

I will not post the 4km NAM with ratios, its terrible, hopefully a outlier.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:12 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:I will not post the 4km NAM with ratios, its terrible, hopefully a outlier.


How about Nam para jman
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Post by algae888 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:13 pm

here you gocp and doc 12z para gfs...
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Gfsp_asnow_us_11
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:14 pm

I posted it pages back, areawide godzilla, 12+
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Post by algae888 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:15 pm

better view..
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Gfsp_asnow_neus_11
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:15 pm

@algae888 wrote:here you gocp and doc 12z para gfs...
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th - Page 24 Gfsp_asnow_us_11
You know TT snow map is easier to read the color code than wxbell, the pinks all look so similar its hard to tell the diff.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:23 pm

http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Briefings/CoastalStormBriefing.pdf

winds are going to play a factor at least at the coast and mention blizzard conditions at the coast for now.
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