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February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm

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February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 12 Empty Re: February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm

Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:17 am

And just like that, the CMC folds too. Awaiting further maps, but the precipitation shield is definitely further northwest versus prior runs.

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Post by SNOW MAN Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:18 am

Rb will you be updating your map ?
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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:21 am

@SoulSingMG wrote:GERMANY  What a Face

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 12 Img_2714

WHAT JUST HAPPENED???? Ahaha

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Post by RJB8525 Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:22 am

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 12 Snow178654

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 12 Snowasgsfd

for us Mt Holly peeps NWS
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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:23 am

@SNOW MAN wrote:Rb will you be updating your map ?

Very high probability I will adjust it, but I haven't figured out how yet lol I want to do some deeper analysis later today. I'm leery of these super totals still given the (lack of a true) moisture source, but I'll look into it.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:24 am

@SoulSingMG wrote:GERMANY  What a Face

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 12 Img_2714

Don't know the last time we used the German or it's relaibility but that is pure joy.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:27 am

The German and UKIE models are coming in HUGE. 30-40MM of ALL SNOW for much of the area.

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Post by amugs Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:27 am

HOLY CRAP JUST LOOKED AT THE GFS!!! WTH??

995MB TO 978MB in 24 HOURS.

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Post by SNOW MAN Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:28 am

@mikeypizano wrote:
@SNOW MAN wrote:
@mikeypizano wrote:
@SNOW MAN wrote:HOLY CRAP !!! I've got a blister on my finger from hitting refresh. I'm going to need a new mouse after this storm because this one will be worn out.

That is why I use a Thinkpad, I can replace mouse and keyboard at the same time!

I'm at work using really old crap. I'm not even suppose to be on here. But sometimes you've just got to say WTF !

COLONEL HOGAN PLEEEEASE! I KNOW NOOOOTHING!

lol! lol! lol!
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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:28 am

With the GFS closing off, that gets my attention. A Godzilla is all but certain now with an increasingly stronger system and expanding shield. Is it possible to see isolated areas of Roidzilla amounts Frank?
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Post by amugs Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:29 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:GERMANY  What a Face

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 12 Img_2714

Don't know the last time we used the German or it's relaibility but that is pure joy.

Along with the NAM suiet tehy were teh first see this!!

Also peeps -we do not have the data from teh ROAB - teh fn Canadians did not launch the balloon this morning in teh area where our northern stream is - CANT MAKE THIS SHT UP !!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:29 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:With the GFS closing off, that gets my attention. A Godzilla is all but certain now with an increasingly stronger system and expanding shield. Is it possible to see isolated areas of Roidzilla amounts Frank?

At this time, no.

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Post by amugs Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:31 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:With the GFS closing off, that gets my attention. A Godzilla is all but certain now with an increasingly stronger system and expanding shield. Is it possible to see isolated areas of Roidzilla amounts Frank?

Nuts beat me to it - this sucker showing the B potential here - I aint saying it but just point out teh fact of this beast. Also it s NW precip shield should be further west and the dynamics expand as well - MADONNE thi isht is getting real just as fast as yesterdays run!

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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:31 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:The German and UKIE models are coming in HUGE. 30-40MM of ALL SNOW for much of the area.
Frank where is all this moisture coming from? I thought we were in a progressive pattern. That's Roidzilla numbers!!!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:34 am

@Grselig wrote:If I get 10 I will be thrilled.  Even then, all goes as predicted, our first true winter storm.   Winter is saved!!!!   Still a little fearful a model showed a SE trend.  Never happy till the deal is done.

Good move all, throwing in the towel last week.  Had to make a difference.

An excellent point and duly noted. Next year we should remember this and two thirds of the form should throw in the towel around mid November.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:35 am

With the UKIE coming in on steroids, I wonder what the EURO will show. Shocked
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:36 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:With the UKIE coming in on steroids, I wonder what the EURO will show. Shocked

OTS? lol!
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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:38 am

@SoulSingMG wrote:
@nutleyblizzard wrote:With the UKIE coming in on steroids, I wonder what the EURO will show. Shocked

OTS? lol!
With the way this winter has gone, I wouldn't discount it.
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Post by Guest Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:40 am

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@Grselig wrote:If I get 10 I will be thrilled.  Even then, all goes as predicted, our first true winter storm.   Winter is saved!!!!   Still a little fearful a model showed a SE trend.  Never happy till the deal is done.

Good move all, throwing in the towel last week.  Had to make a difference.

An excellent point and duly noted. Next year we should remember this and two thirds of the form should throw in the towel around mid November.

....................THIS WINTER OF 2017/2018 SUCKS!!!!!!!! IT'S OVER! DONE. I QUIT!!!!!

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Post by dsix85 Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:41 am

James- I PM'd you. Please check.

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Post by Dtone Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:42 am

syosnow94 wrote:
@devsman wrote:I need a percentage of how possible is it that NYC schools will be closed. I got people attacking me at work over this. That Rgem made it way more likely. It was a thing of beauty.

0% Devsman.  sorry.  I wish you would but they won't.  

Yeah usually next to no chance, if anything it'll be open with very low attendance..but this setup leaves the door slightly open.
The final snow totals doesn't mean that much. The conditions in the morning are what really matter. You need an all out raging blizzard during the early am

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Post by amugs Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:44 am

@amugs wrote:
@nutleyblizzard wrote:With the GFS closing off, that gets my attention. A Godzilla is all but certain now with an increasingly stronger system and expanding shield. Is it possible to see isolated areas of Roidzilla amounts Frank?

Nuts beat me to it - this sucker showing the B potential here - I aint saying it but just point out teh fact of this beast. Also it s NW precip shield should be further west and the dynamics expand as well - MADONNE thi isht is getting real just as fast as yesterdays run!

IF and a big IF we get a tropopause fold from Bergen County to LI COULD be a Blizz for them.

"Mixing between stratospheric and tropospheric air can occur most readily in deep intrusions of stratospheric air into the troposphere, such as tropopause folds (Danielsen 1968). They occur because of the ageostrophic circulation at the jet entrance (Hoskins 1982) and coincide with the frontal zone beneath the jet. Deep folds can extend down to the top of the boundary layer (Browell et al. 1987; Vaughan et al. 1994), while smaller folds, extending only into the upper troposphere, are ubiquitous around the polar jet stream (e.g. Vaughan et al. 2001). They also occur beneath the subtropical jet stream (Gouget et al. 1996), where it has been suggested that mixing between the subtropical fold and tropospheric air promotes the generation of new aerosol particles (Zahn et al. 2000). Turbulence within folds can result from shear instability beneath the jet (Pepler et al. 1998; Hartjenstein 2000) or from convection extending up from the boundary layer (Browning and Reynolds 1994)."

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Post by larryrock72 Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:48 am

Would 2-3" down in southern ocean county be on target? That's what they are calling for but I see a trend for higher numbers?

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Post by amugs Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:49 am

@nutleyblizzard wrote:With the UKIE coming in on steroids, I wonder what the EURO will show. Shocked

TUCKED BOOOMMMM!!!! I LOVE THE BRITS!!!!!!!!!!


February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 12 GZ_D5_PN_030_0000.thumb.gif.f0039053e460f7e44073d40723e921a8

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 08, 2017 11:50 am

UKMET DEFINITELY BEEN USING THE ROIDS. HOLYYYYYYYY (passes out and drops to the floor)

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