Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

aiannone wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

amugs wrote:



Remember sleet and zr are counted on these maps as snow - this is for NNJ and NYC

540 line is way up in Albany in that picture what altitude is the model you posted depicting those upper level temps? Shows heavy snow in the HV but how with the 540 line so far north?

540 line isn't always the r/s line. There is also an 850mb 0c line. Stormvista shows it nicely

Alex as depicted above what altitude are the lines depicting there? Usually it says whether it's 850 which I believe is 5,000 feet or 700, 925 etc.

I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.

Lnda23 wrote:I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.

Well you're lying because that's your 12th post.

Meant to say too much.

That is exactly why I don't post often. Lol

You can already see how areas with the heavier snow cover are staying much cooler than the areas that have lesser snow cover despite Warm Air Advection.

Lnda23 wrote:That is exactly why I don't post often. Lol

14 you're on a roll. Don't stop now.

Lnda23 wrote:I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.

Hey neighbor!

Up to a quarter of an inch is possible, but I think it will be mostly to our west. Maybe we can get a tenth of an inch.

Ice is concerning. Dangerous on many levels and all you can do is melt it or wait for it to melt

CP my man I don't go up to steal the Hudson Valleys snow because mom and dads house is not in the Hudson Valley. They are in the Catskills. Ha!!!! About a 12 inch snowpack up here at the house with another foot coming tomorrow. Going to really help out the reservoir for the spring

12 inch snow pack here too buddy however you are in a much better spot for tomorrow. I think we will be sitting right on the snow sleet border for much of this. If I get 6 inches out of this it will be all good, anymore will be a gift. Ace said I'd get a foot, from his mouth to Gods ears.

Enjoy and if you somehow make out on both ends with this, in other words when you get to LI tomorrow night if somehow it becomes heavy snow there as the storm strengthens off the coast never speak to me again.

Frank_Wx wrote:

Lnda23 wrote:I don't post on here but I have to say I am very concerned about the ice.

Hey neighbor!

Up to a quarter of an inch is possible, but I think it will be mostly to our west. Maybe we can get a tenth of an inch.

Fingers crossed! I have to ref a few games in Maplewood between 1 & 4pm.

Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

aiannone wrote:Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

Are you suggesting  the snow line should be moved down just a bit for tomorrow

Scullybutcher wrote:

aiannone wrote:Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

Are you suggesting  the snow line should be moved down just a bit for tomorrow

Don't bet on it but don't be surprised if areas north of 495 on LI see an inch or two. Snow pack can do wonderful things. Things models cannot detect.

Upton: Minor adjustments made based on latest observations. Noted some
colder air dropping southward across the Connecticut Valley with
reading already into the upper 20s and lower 30s in northern
CT. The HRRR and RAP show some colder air working across CT and
LI overnight, colder than currently forecast. This will have to
be watched.

sroc4 wrote:

Scullybutcher wrote:

aiannone wrote:Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

Are you suggesting  the snow line should be moved down just a bit for tomorrow

Don't bet on it but don't be surprised if areas north of 495 on LI see an inch or two. Snow pack can do wonderful things. Things models cannot detect.

This may unfortunately be the case for me yet again here.....

Math23x7 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

Scullybutcher wrote:

aiannone wrote:Warm front has been stuck over extreme SW LI/NYC for hours. Cold air resistance holding it up. Hence temps near 50 in central NJ and SW LI and central and eastern LI on north and east in the mid 30s..... hmmmm

Are you suggesting  the snow line should be moved down just a bit for tomorrow

Don't bet on it but don't be surprised if areas north of 495 on LI see an inch or two. Snow pack can do wonderful things. Things models cannot detect.

This may unfortunately be the case for me yet again here.....

I guess I am sitting pretty in Stony Brook...........Maybe

I was thinking the same thing Joe

Barring any last second cooling, it looks like I'll spending most of the time watching it rain at 33 or 34 degrees.

SNowpack for the third time do wonderful things for our boundary layer and skew teh temps. Again it was to be 50 and rain tomorrow - now it is mid/upper 20's to freezing. HRRR picking up on this with each run.



NAM PARA - has been hot this winter = colder check out the latest SV

850s




Recipe for Ice

Thresh hold for ice storm warning is .25 for NNJ and up

Judging by the lack of post i can tell there are few of us that are in orange puntam and dutchess county and north

JMAN wind event - WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA here

Red Sox Suck blizzard watch 12-18" expected. F me

syosnow94 wrote:Red Sox Suck blizzard watch 12-18" expected. F me

MillerB's they jackpot - we usually get minor effects compared.

I know. Still. F Red Sox Suck