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Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

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Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 11, 2017 1:14 pm

Thanks Alex. That looks pretty similar to 00z map.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 1:20 pm

The winds behind the system on euro are abput ad impressive as the noreaster where we rained. 50 to 65mph. Maybe overdone but Def go cause issues especially if there is ice but so far frz maps only show in northern jersey into pa. Some excessive amounts like rgem had 0.6 on nj pa border. Rb feels there will b ice in all his shaded areas so we will see.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 11, 2017 1:30 pm

May try to put a map out layer today

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 1:43 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:The winds behind the system on euro are abput ad impressive as the noreaster where we rained. 50 to 65mph. Maybe overdone but Def go cause issues especially if there is ice but so far frz maps only show in northern jersey into pa. Some excessive amounts like rgem had 0.6 on nj pa border. Rb feels there will b ice in all his shaded areas so we will see.

Not all of us rained from that nor'easter.

Aren't you serving a two weeks suspension about discussing any wind? Fear mongering for low totals from last storm, ring a bell?
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 1:43 pm

Well just got in from running errands and what do we have here hmmmmm...

Thanks for starting teh thread Frank on this and it looks to give N of I80 and decent thump and teh boys in the HV a very good thump.

My logical reasoning is coming to a head for you up in the HV - a good snowpack - temps went from 50 and rains in the NYC Metro to ice to rain and 30 reaching mid to uppers - that is what a Feb 7-10" snowpack can do - imagine now just imagine if it were what the snow maps Crapola were spitting out??? This would be a snowstorm north of I 80 and an umittingaing mess down to central NJ of ice and snow - a degree or two make a world o difference on this map for nyc metro!

Temps are an issue and BL will hang in tehre for some time - never underestimate the power of cold air with a snow pack at the surface!

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Ecmwf_t2m_nyc_5.thumb.png.846ee66b155f79a969cd4f91bc7dd387


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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 1:51 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:The winds behind the system on euro are abput ad impressive as the noreaster where we rained. 50 to 65mph. Maybe overdone but Def go cause issues especially if there is ice but so far frz maps only show in northern jersey into pa. Some excessive amounts like rgem had 0.6 on nj pa border. Rb feels there will b ice in all his shaded areas so we will see.

Not all of us rained from that nor'easter.

Aren't you serving a  two weeks suspension about discussing any wind?  Fear mongering for low totals from last storm, ring a bell?
umm no frank never confired that since when are u the king head honcho lol. All kidding aside I did not say anything until rb brought it up.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:00 pm

I've learned it's a waste of posts and images if I am the only one who thinks wind is go b a issue.
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Post by Quietace Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:03 pm

@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:05 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.
are u in nh? If so lucky!!!
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Post by Quietace Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:06 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Quietace wrote:
@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.
are u in nh? If so lucky!!!
Yes. 18" in the past week.....Looking at 15"+ with this system....If the Euro is right, then 30".

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:08 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:May try to put a map out layer today
Def think u should I like comparing if u or rb was closer. But both of u make excellent maps and majority of times they both verify for at least a large part of the area. Frank Alex posted the snow map with the k word in it. I think punishment is in need? Lol that map doesn't even make sense it actually shows more snow in nyc on the regular euro map.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:09 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@Quietace wrote:
@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.
are u in nh? If so lucky!!!
Yes. 18" in the past week.....Looking at 15"+ with this system....If the Euro is right, then 30".
I'm in all envy...your go see a epic blizzard if euro is right.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:09 pm

@Quietace wrote:
@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.

Finally Plymouth State may pay off big time. This is what you've been waiting for I hope it pans out for you
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Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:10 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:I've learned it's a waste of posts and images if I am the only one who thinks wind is go b a issue.

Jman, count me in on the wind issues.My prior home in Mahwah NJ where I lived for 35 years was surrounded by 100 plus tall old oak trees,and high winds were always on my mind for fear of the trees breaking off and damaging the house.Also, I stay inside with high winds, no need to risk injury from limbs falling.My suggestion here is that moderators give you a special spot on the site for wind predictions and implications and those interested can click on for more info.
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Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:12 pm

@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
@Quietace wrote:
@aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.

Finally Plymouth State may pay off big time. This is what you've been waiting for I hope it pans out for you  

CP, that's if this bombs out like this map shows up there.I'm skeptical right now on that.Looks like we have a shot at warning level by us.It will be a fun day!!!
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:14 pm

2-4" of snow and .10-.15" if ice manana - snowblower belt snapped in last storm 10 minutes into me clearing me driveway - thank god for a 17 and 15 yr old male offspring to help!
Just wish this was Sun. night late into Mon afternoon - selfish here but ehh I'll take it!!

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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:17 pm

@docstox12 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:I've learned it's a waste of posts and images if I am the only one who thinks wind is go b a issue.

Jman, count me in on the wind issues.My prior home in Mahwah NJ where I lived for 35 years was surrounded by 100 plus tall old oak trees,and high winds were always on my mind for fear of the trees breaking off and damaging the house.Also, I stay inside with high winds, no need to risk injury from limbs falling.My suggestion here is that moderators give you a special spot on the site for wind predictions and implications and those interested can click on for more info.

ME THREE!!!!

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:18 pm

The weather Channel app actually has Highland Mills for 5 to 8 inches tomorrow in an inch tomorrow night. 6 to 9 inch prediction for them is very aggressive for a storm like this. Hope that's not the kiss of death.
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Post by Grselig Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:19 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@docstox12 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:I've learned it's a waste of posts and images if I am the only one who thinks wind is go b a issue.

Jman, count me in on the wind issues.My prior home in Mahwah NJ where I lived for 35 years was surrounded by 100 plus tall old oak trees,and high winds were always on my mind for fear of the trees breaking off and damaging the house.Also, I stay inside with high winds, no need to risk injury from limbs falling.My suggestion here is that moderators give you a special spot on the site for wind predictions and implications and those interested can click on for more info.

ME THREE!!!!

Great idea. He is the Wind Dude.
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Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:19 pm

@amugs wrote:2-4" of snow and .10-.15" if ice manana - snowblower belt snapped in last storm 10 minutes into me clearing me driveway - thank god for a 17 and 15 yr old male offspring to help!
Just wish this was Sun. night late into Mon afternoon - selfish here but ehh I'll take it!!

AGREE!!

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Post by oldtimer Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:20 pm

Mugs Any chance for me 2-3?

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Post by Guest Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:23 pm

At exit 15 rest stop on NYS thruway. Heading up to mom and dads for the snowstorm tomorrow. They are under a WSW FOR 7"+. NWS POINT and click has them at 8-11". Driving home tomorrow night in the snow. Jman if I can do it with my family you can do it with a bunch of dudes from a casino. No need to cancel. Just drive my man.

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Post by Guest Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:25 pm

The 100 year old oak trees got that big and strong. because they can handle worse than what we are going to see boys.

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Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:27 pm

JMAN FOR YOU - start a seperate thread for the winds if you'd like

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
An amplifying short wave trough closes off just off the New
England Coast Monday. At the same time, high pressure will
build east from the Mississippi Valley. Thus, there is the
potential for high winds on the backside of the low late Sunday
night into Monday. Right now, we are looking at NW gusts up to
45 to 50 mph, but they could be stronger. An eventual Wind
Advisory at a minimum will be needed, but High Wind
Watches/Warnings are possible.

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:29 pm

@oldtimer wrote:Mugs   Any chance for me 2-3?

OT - thinking 2" maybe your max at this time.
Winds will be an issue.

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