NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

+34
brownie
Dtone
billg315
algae888
dkodgis
gigs68
Vinnydula
skinsfan1177
snow247
Math23x7
Scullybutcher
Lnda23
2004blackwrx
frank 638
sroc4
Quietace
amugs
Grselig
Dunnzoo
Radz
oldtimer
jmanley32
Snow88
RJB8525
nutleyblizzard
docstox12
CPcantmeasuresnow
SoulSingMG
rb924119
Joe Snow
hyde345
jimv45
aiannone
Frank_Wx
38 posters

Page 3 of 14 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 8 ... 14  Next

Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by aiannone Sat Feb 11, 2017 11:06 am

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16508510

aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4598
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by aiannone Sat Feb 11, 2017 11:09 am

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510

aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4598
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by hyde345 Sat Feb 11, 2017 11:14 am

Thanks Alex. That looks pretty similar to 00z map.
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1053
Reputation : 48
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 11:20 am

The winds behind the system on euro are abput ad impressive as the noreaster where we rained. 50 to 65mph. Maybe overdone but Def go cause issues especially if there is ice but so far frz maps only show in northern jersey into pa. Some excessive amounts like rgem had 0.6 on nj pa border. Rb feels there will b ice in all his shaded areas so we will see.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 19873
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Frank_Wx Sat Feb 11, 2017 11:30 am

May try to put a map out layer today

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20971
Reputation : 327
Join date : 2013-01-04
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 11:43 am

jmanley32 wrote:The winds behind the system on euro are abput ad impressive as the noreaster where we rained. 50 to 65mph. Maybe overdone but Def go cause issues especially if there is ice but so far frz maps only show in northern jersey into pa. Some excessive amounts like rgem had 0.6 on nj pa border. Rb feels there will b ice in all his shaded areas so we will see.

Not all of us rained from that nor'easter.

Aren't you serving a two weeks suspension about discussing any wind? Fear mongering for low totals from last storm, ring a bell?
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7077
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 102
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 11:43 am

Well just got in from running errands and what do we have here hmmmmm...

Thanks for starting teh thread Frank on this and it looks to give N of I80 and decent thump and teh boys in the HV a very good thump.

My logical reasoning is coming to a head for you up in the HV - a good snowpack - temps went from 50 and rains in the NYC Metro to ice to rain and 30 reaching mid to uppers - that is what a Feb 7-10" snowpack can do - imagine now just imagine if it were what the snow maps Crapola were spitting out??? This would be a snowstorm north of I 80 and an umittingaing mess down to central NJ of ice and snow - a degree or two make a world o difference on this map for nyc metro!

Temps are an issue and BL will hang in tehre for some time - never underestimate the power of cold air with a snow pack at the surface!

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Ecmwf_t2m_nyc_5.thumb.png.846ee66b155f79a969cd4f91bc7dd387


_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 14678
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 53
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 11:51 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:The winds behind the system on euro are abput ad impressive as the noreaster where we rained. 50 to 65mph. Maybe overdone but Def go cause issues especially if there is ice but so far frz maps only show in northern jersey into pa. Some excessive amounts like rgem had 0.6 on nj pa border. Rb feels there will b ice in all his shaded areas so we will see.

Not all of us rained from that nor'easter.

Aren't you serving a  two weeks suspension about discussing any wind?  Fear mongering for low totals from last storm, ring a bell?
umm no frank never confired that since when are u the king head honcho lol. All kidding aside I did not say anything until rb brought it up.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 19873
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:00 pm

I've learned it's a waste of posts and images if I am the only one who thinks wind is go b a issue.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 19873
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Quietace Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:03 pm

aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3683
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:05 pm

Quietace wrote:
aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.
are u in nh? If so lucky!!!
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 19873
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Quietace Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:06 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Quietace wrote:
aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.
are u in nh? If so lucky!!!
Yes. 18" in the past week.....Looking at 15"+ with this system....If the Euro is right, then 30".
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3683
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:May try to put a map out layer today
Def think u should I like comparing if u or rb was closer. But both of u make excellent maps and majority of times they both verify for at least a large part of the area. Frank Alex posted the snow map with the k word in it. I think punishment is in need? Lol that map doesn't even make sense it actually shows more snow in nyc on the regular euro map.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 19873
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by jmanley32 Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:09 pm

Quietace wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Quietace wrote:
aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.
are u in nh? If so lucky!!!
Yes. 18" in the past week.....Looking at 15"+ with this system....If the Euro is right, then 30".
I'm in all envy...your go see a epic blizzard if euro is right.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 19873
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:09 pm

Quietace wrote:
aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.

Finally Plymouth State may pay off big time. This is what you've been waiting for I hope it pans out for you
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7077
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 102
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:10 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I've learned it's a waste of posts and images if I am the only one who thinks wind is go b a issue.

Jman, count me in on the wind issues.My prior home in Mahwah NJ where I lived for 35 years was surrounded by 100 plus tall old oak trees,and high winds were always on my mind for fear of the trees breaking off and damaging the house.Also, I stay inside with high winds, no need to risk injury from limbs falling.My suggestion here is that moderators give you a special spot on the site for wind predictions and implications and those interested can click on for more info.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8142
Reputation : 221
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by docstox12 Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:12 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Quietace wrote:
aiannone wrote:Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 16602510
Hi.

Finally Plymouth State may pay off big time. This is what you've been waiting for I hope it pans out for you  

CP, that's if this bombs out like this map shows up there.I'm skeptical right now on that.Looks like we have a shot at warning level by us.It will be a fun day!!!
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8142
Reputation : 221
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:14 pm

2-4" of snow and .10-.15" if ice manana - snowblower belt snapped in last storm 10 minutes into me clearing me driveway - thank god for a 17 and 15 yr old male offspring to help!
Just wish this was Sun. night late into Mon afternoon - selfish here but ehh I'll take it!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 14678
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 53
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:17 pm

docstox12 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:I've learned it's a waste of posts and images if I am the only one who thinks wind is go b a issue.

Jman, count me in on the wind issues.My prior home in Mahwah NJ where I lived for 35 years was surrounded by 100 plus tall old oak trees,and high winds were always on my mind for fear of the trees breaking off and damaging the house.Also, I stay inside with high winds, no need to risk injury from limbs falling.My suggestion here is that moderators give you a special spot on the site for wind predictions and implications and those interested can click on for more info.

ME THREE!!!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6287
Reputation : 193
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 31
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:18 pm

The weather Channel app actually has Highland Mills for 5 to 8 inches tomorrow in an inch tomorrow night. 6 to 9 inch prediction for them is very aggressive for a storm like this. Hope that's not the kiss of death.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7077
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 102
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Grselig Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:19 pm

rb924119 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:I've learned it's a waste of posts and images if I am the only one who thinks wind is go b a issue.

Jman, count me in on the wind issues.My prior home in Mahwah NJ where I lived for 35 years was surrounded by 100 plus tall old oak trees,and high winds were always on my mind for fear of the trees breaking off and damaging the house.Also, I stay inside with high winds, no need to risk injury from limbs falling.My suggestion here is that moderators give you a special spot on the site for wind predictions and implications and those interested can click on for more info.

ME THREE!!!!

Great idea. He is the Wind Dude.
Grselig
Grselig
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1388
Reputation : 139
Join date : 2013-03-04
Age : 53
Location : Wayne NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by rb924119 Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:19 pm

amugs wrote:2-4" of snow and .10-.15" if ice manana - snowblower belt snapped in last storm 10 minutes into me clearing me driveway - thank god for a 17 and 15 yr old male offspring to help!
Just wish this was Sun. night late into Mon afternoon - selfish here but ehh I'll take it!!

AGREE!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6287
Reputation : 193
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 31
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by oldtimer Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:20 pm

Mugs Any chance for me 2-3?

oldtimer
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1099
Reputation : 14
Join date : 2013-01-16
Age : 77
Location : Port Jefferson Station Suffolk County

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Guest Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:23 pm

At exit 15 rest stop on NYS thruway. Heading up to mom and dads for the snowstorm tomorrow. They are under a WSW FOR 7"+. NWS POINT and click has them at 8-11". Driving home tomorrow night in the snow. Jman if I can do it with my family you can do it with a bunch of dudes from a casino. No need to cancel. Just drive my man.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Guest Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:25 pm

The 100 year old oak trees got that big and strong. because they can handle worse than what we are going to see boys.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:27 pm

JMAN FOR YOU - start a seperate thread for the winds if you'd like

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
An amplifying short wave trough closes off just off the New
England Coast Monday. At the same time, high pressure will
build east from the Mississippi Valley. Thus, there is the
potential for high winds on the backside of the low late Sunday
night into Monday. Right now, we are looking at NW gusts up to
45 to 50 mph, but they could be stronger. An eventual Wind
Advisory at a minimum will be needed, but High Wind
Watches/Warnings are possible.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 14678
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 53
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by amugs Sat Feb 11, 2017 12:29 pm

oldtimer wrote:Mugs   Any chance for me 2-3?

OT - thinking 2" maybe your max at this time.
Winds will be an issue.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 14678
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 53
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump - Page 3 Empty Re: Sunday February 12th Possible Front-End Snow Thump

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 3 of 14 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 8 ... 14  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum