BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th

like none of us are getting anything done   ...and if I do not get up from my desk .and set my crock pot. there will be no dinner tonight...well maybe I will get up after the gfs comes out..

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Joanne, talk about getting nothing done, I am still in my pj's! Took the day off to go to LI which was cancelled, so just hanging watching the snow and the models....

amugs wrote:Not Necessarily peeps on the changeover - coast issues yes not inland - you have a banana high driving cold air down from a  very cold air source.
Get it to A/C and the CCB just blows us up.

GFS looks better if you can believe this

I hope not I font want any rain especially after snow it'll b all gone.

HOLY MOMMA"S!

Here she comes on the 12z GFS

12z coming in hot! Still very close to coast.

docstox12 wrote:

weatherwatchermom wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

amugs wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Frank wow the Nam already gping negative it surely would show a beast. If JB is right hold onto ur hats literally. This might b one for the snow goggles if going out.

JB is pumped about this storm and he is GREAT with the big ones- ala Sandy, Nemo, Juno, 2010 Snowmedagon etc.
NAMS have been excellent with our winter storms this year.

Still snowing moderately here, almost 5 inches so far and I can't enjoy the moment because I'm so obsessed with Tuesday.

Things could be worse.

like none of us are getting anything done   ...and if I do not get up from my desk .and set my crock pot. there will be no dinner tonight...well maybe I will get up after the gfs comes out..

.

LOL, Mom, you are  dangerously close to snowcoholism.I recognize the symptoms, I've had them since 1960. Get a grip ,Mom, and get those chores moving,LOL.

Doc, what makes us like this ?

Frank_Wx wrote:

I'll say it for u madonne!!!

Way too early for the exact track.I'm glad the storm is solidly there at this juncture.

docstox12 wrote:Way too early for the exact track.I'm glad the storm is solidly there at this juncture.

Exactly!!!

Eww it's over nj not go look good for coast or pretty well inland did not wanna see ot come further west.

But I guess it's ok.cuz often they head further east then back west in the middle somewhere. The wind is insane on this run.

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

I'll say it for u madonne!!!

Jersey coast in a tough spot on that run but the HV may as well say goodbye to civilization as we know it.

INTERIOR FRANKZILLA ON THE GFS OVER 24" AT 10:1!!!!! OMG!!!

rb924119 wrote:INTERIOR FRANKZILLA ON THE GFS OVER 24" AT 10:1!!!!! OMG!!!

A Frankzilla is 36" and some places on that run in the interior may surpass that.

rb924119 wrote:INTERIOR FRANKZILLA ON THE GFS OVER 24" AT 10:1!!!!! OMG!!!

don't gloat yet lol if I see 6 inches and 25 to 50 miles north sees 24 plus I may just keel over. Glad this isn't sunday.

Okay before coastal folks freak teh freak and Jman as well - looka this map fromanoterh poster - says it all - GFS to far west in this set up with so much confluence over head

jmanley32 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:INTERIOR FRANKZILLA ON THE GFS OVER 24" AT 10:1!!!!! OMG!!!

don't gloat yet lol if I see 6 inches and 25 to 50 miles north sees 24 plus I may just keel over. Glad this isn't sunday.

no problem with that

4" rates plus per hour !!

amugs wrote:Okay before coastal folks freak teh freak and Jman as well - looka this map fromanoterh poster - says it all - GFS to far west in this set up with so much confluence over head

I want everyone to cash in which I don't see as super hard it's here just need iron out exact track gfs still outlier

amugs wrote:Okay before coastal folks freak teh freak and Jman as well - looka this map fromanoterh poster - says it all - GFS to far west in this set up with so much confluence over head

Disagree, Mugsy, respectfully, of course haha while yes it is there, the orientation is such that it will help slow the northward progression, not western. I think the GFS is actually on track with this, and this ends up as a coastal hugger, or thereabouts. If you wanted a more offshore track, the ridging would need to be stronger over the central CONUS, not the western Atlantic like we have. Just my humble opinion.

Right now focus on the strength and dynamics of the system not its exact track. Btw, how many times do we see a storm (especially tropical or coastals) forecast to come right up the Delmarva and into NJ only to jog east closer to the event. I've seen it more often than not. I think this stays offshore, at or just in the BM.

THIS IS STILL A TREMENDOUS HIT

rb924119 wrote:

amugs wrote:Okay before coastal folks freak teh freak and Jman as well - looka this map fromanoterh poster - says it all - GFS to far west in this set up with so much confluence over head

Disagree, Mugsy, respectfully, of course haha while yes it is there, the orientation is such that it will help slow the northward progression, not western. I think the GFS is actually on track with this, and this ends up as a coastal hugger, or thereabouts. If you wanted a more offshore track, the ridging would need to be stronger over the central CONUS, not the western Atlantic like we have. Just my humble opinion.

not what I wanna hear but it will b what it will hopefully I can squeeze out at least a foot. I'm about 15 miles inland but on that run doesn't look like that's far enough inland. Wouldn't a stronger lp keep warm air out and mske own cold?

amugs wrote:THIS IS STILL A TREMENDOUS HIT

it is looks like about 12 to 18 just north of city.