BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
nowhere do I see where I said that nothing is off table as sroc said do not panic still in wiper mode go see fluxes till at least tomorrow. Who knows this could end up b a total nowcast.track17 wrote:So what jman are we discounting the other models now and going with that?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
amugs wrote:I think so it rides the convection and frontAl boundary layer. Para NAM has been golden this winter. Mush better res and nwere algorithms to boot. Old Nam should be retired IMO.Grselig wrote:But is the regular NAM wrong?
Is it possible not going to to ally discount but it's on its own and is fighting with its newer sibling.
This is not modeling favoring just seeing this dynamic set up.
Exactly amugs the para was correcting itself and is one step away from a big hit.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
It is not a trend rjb your wrong actually all the runs other then the nam improved for the coast
track17- Posts : 454
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
Why are people saying we are discount other models no one said that chill guts mugs may b right but also euro is all snow gfs is get better nam is worst I would not b too concerned yet but do keep some possibility of a changeover. Pro meta are lean away from tgat so that's music to my ears.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
Wow that nam isn't even the whole storm either right?
mikeypizano- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
ABSOLUTELY. PLEASE PEEPS.sroc4 wrote:crippo84 wrote:skinsfan1177 wrote:Many others discounting the nam and saying para nam is right for what its worth.
Sounds like a bit of wishcasting no?
This isnt wish casting until it has support from other models. As of now 12K NAM is on its own with that soln. Beware the windsheild wipers. No one panic
THIS ISN'T A TREND AT ALL. AT THIS POINT. IF 12Z SUITE COMES IN WITH SUCH THEN YES.
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
either way i hope the shores etc are preparing..watching TWC they are saying the coastal damage could be huge
don't get me wrong we all will be blasted lol
don't get me wrong we all will be blasted lol
Last edited by RJB8525 on Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:06 am; edited 2 times in total
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
best most positive post from u tracktrack17 wrote:It is not a trend rjb your wrong actually all the runs other then the nam improved for the coast

jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
anywhere from.coastal nj and inland maybe 25 miles to nyc to ct my have quite severe winds. Ocean will b ripping.RJB8525 wrote:either way i hope the shores etc are preparing..watching TWC they are saying the coastal damage could be huge
don't get me wrong we all will be blasted lol
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
Well it is the truth jman other then the nam the gfs even had me at the jersey shore at like 10 huge improvement so I don't think one model is a trend lol.
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
jmanley32 wrote:anywhere from.coastal nj and inland maybe 25 miles to nyc to ct my have quite severe winds. Ocean will b ripping.RJB8525 wrote:either way i hope the shores etc are preparing..watching TWC they are saying the coastal damage could be huge
don't get me wrong we all will be blasted lol
what i'm most interested in at this point is to see how early NWS puts out watches and warnings
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
I suggest we all stay away from the board if we are going to live and die by individual runs today. As I mentioned earlier late trends are possible since the main energy in the arctic and the Pac energy isnt onshore until late tonight. A trend is not a trend until multiple models show the same thing for multiple runs. We CANNOT discount what the 12K NAM showed right now, but should not be bickering about it.
If the Pac/southern energy is too strong and or phases with the N energy it raises heights too quick and becomes a coastal hugger. This is entirely plausable. Our very own Ray/Rb has been quitely alluding to this possibility for some time. Just because we may not like it doesnt mean we should ignore it. That said I personally dow not buy this soln at this time.
Patience is a virtue. I think it was Nutz or Soul but one of them said the tension for each model today will be ratcheted up more and more, so every one chill
If the Pac/southern energy is too strong and or phases with the N energy it raises heights too quick and becomes a coastal hugger. This is entirely plausable. Our very own Ray/Rb has been quitely alluding to this possibility for some time. Just because we may not like it doesnt mean we should ignore it. That said I personally dow not buy this soln at this time.
Patience is a virtue. I think it was Nutz or Soul but one of them said the tension for each model today will be ratcheted up more and more, so every one chill
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
I don't expect b4 tomorrow. My guess is blizzard watches and either WA or hww.RJB8525 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:anywhere from.coastal nj and inland maybe 25 miles to nyc to ct my have quite severe winds. Ocean will b ripping.RJB8525 wrote:either way i hope the shores etc are preparing..watching TWC they are saying the coastal damage could be huge
don't get me wrong we all will be blasted lol
what i'm most interested in at this point is to see how early NWS puts out watches and warnings
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
I know things are changeing with our snow amounts and its early to see if we will get 1 to 2 ft + of snow but I can imagine our snow drifts will be so high because of the winds we can probably see 3 ft or more of snow drifts if I am wrong just like the last year blizzard and so on
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
The wobbles are going to happen everyone sit tight this has a chance to make history.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
I will sign for the Nam right now for my area!! But its one model run and no need to panic for others what to see trends into Sunday morning!
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
In the end sroc what happens happens and there ain't nothing we can do about it. Serenity prayer. Of course we all hope for the same thing.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
230 people online now.....with days to go. Wow
Taffy- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
jmanley32 wrote:I don't expect b4 tomorrow. My guess is blizzard watches and either WA or hww.RJB8525 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:anywhere from.coastal nj and inland maybe 25 miles to nyc to ct my have quite severe winds. Ocean will b ripping.RJB8525 wrote:either way i hope the shores etc are preparing..watching TWC they are saying the coastal damage could be huge
don't get me wrong we all will be blasted lol
what i'm most interested in at this point is to see how early NWS puts out watches and warnings
i'd bet a buck those people up north get one before us lol
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
rb924119 wrote:10:1
We might see bare ground by July if this verifies!! That's easily over 3' with ratios
This is a great run for the interior but am I buying? No.
So many runs yet to go so take them all with a grain of salt. Everyone does remember the Euro showed 40 inches on Cape Cod yesterday and this morningss run showed 6 inches on Cape Cod. If the people on Cape Cod are taking this to seriously they all hung themselves this morning.
You'll drive yourself nuts looking at each model and each run of every model. I said it last night and I reiterate today. I for one am taking the day off and won't be around until tonight 0Z's. I need to for my own sanity, I think many others here need to also.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
yea Taffy its big!! This might be out last chance this winter and to see this storm of what it could be is exciting.
jimv45- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th
New thread.
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