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April 2017 Observations & Discussions

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Post by Radz Tue Apr 04, 2017 7:29 am

48.6°, 99% heaviest rain pushed east 1.06" thus far, maybe a T-storm in the mix later
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Apr 04, 2017 7:44 am

Looks like storm pushed through sooner than anticipated. Lots of flooding around. I fear it will only get worse. Thursday looks downright nasty. Latest NAM

2pm Thursday

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 58e386bdda09f

5pm Thursday

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 58e386f6aeed3

More flooding.......

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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Apr 04, 2017 8:00 am

Almost 1.5" here from the overnight, we'll see what else we get later.

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Apr 04, 2017 11:13 pm

Total today 1.66"

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
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Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by billg315 Wed Apr 05, 2017 7:46 pm

Ground is saturated and rivers running high. That bodes not well for tomorrow.
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Post by frank 638 Wed Apr 05, 2017 7:53 pm

Will this end the drought we had so much rain lately

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Post by amugs Wed Apr 05, 2017 8:30 pm

Euro soaks us

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Euro_r10

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Apr 05, 2017 9:52 pm

Everything points to over 2 inches of rain tomorrow. Heaviest between Noon and 5pm. Here's the NAM

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 58e59b7511fdb

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 58e59f44ccfad

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Post by Math23x7 Wed Apr 05, 2017 11:29 pm

Frank, looking at 0Z short range guidance, the 3-km NAM gives portions of Northern NJ and the Hudson Valley 2"+ of rain, the RGEM gives an isolated spot on western LI 2"+ of rain, and the 12-km NAM gives nobody 2"+ of rain and even has portions of SW NJ under a half inch. We'll see which one is right.

Regardless, a good soaking should pretty much end drought conditions, if they haven't ended already.

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 0z3kmn10

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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Apr 06, 2017 6:24 am

Radar this morning is currently unimpressive. Could be an issue with dry slotting. At least it will make my morning commute easier. Still believe radar fills in later on this morning and afternoon. That's when we'll see the heavier rains.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Apr 06, 2017 7:59 am

Yeah I'm not impressed with radar. Totals may bust
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Post by mikeypizano Thu Apr 06, 2017 10:17 am

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Yeah I'm not impressed with radar. Totals may bust

Right now my main concern is NY, as NWS says river will crest at 22 feet which is technically just at flood stage...

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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Apr 06, 2017 11:03 am

Ahh...anyone else looking at radar rn? There's a narrow slug of rain over e PA moving NNE and outside of that, nothing at all for nyc metro. What happened to our wind-blown rainy day?!
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Post by mikeypizano Thu Apr 06, 2017 11:22 am

@SoulSingMG wrote:Ahh...anyone else looking at radar rn? There's a narrow slug of rain over e PA moving NNE and outside of that, nothing at all for nyc metro. What happened to our wind-blown rainy day?!

Its raining here, I will trade you... Laughing
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Post by Math23x7 Thu Apr 06, 2017 12:00 pm

Question: Seeing that all the heavy rain is in EPA, does this mean that an inverted trough is over that region at the moment?

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Post by sroc4 Thu Apr 06, 2017 12:34 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Ahh...anyone else looking at radar rn? There's a narrow slug of rain over e PA moving NNE and outside of that, nothing at all for nyc metro. What happened to our wind-blown rainy day?!

Looks like primary surface LP is redeveloping further SE.  The heaviest precip is still SW of the area. This will likely rotate through the area as the trough swings through probably mid-late afternoon through early eve.  Trough is already negative.  There is always the risk of dry slot with transferring systems.  

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Usa_None_anim
April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Pmsl
April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 500mb_sf

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Apr 06, 2017 2:45 pm

Incoming

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Apr 06, 2017 3:16 pm

I'm going to need to get a lot more rain to get the amounts forecasted currently .32 inches
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Apr 06, 2017 4:11 pm

Getting a lot now, thunderstorm and heavy rain. Looks like we could easily see 1-1.5" here today.

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by frank 638 Thu Apr 06, 2017 4:16 pm

heavy rain with lighting and thunder

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Post by frank 638 Thu Apr 06, 2017 5:04 pm

just got threw with a great lighting show but still getting heavy rain i wont be surprise if we get 2 inches of rain

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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Apr 06, 2017 5:13 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:Ahh...anyone else looking at radar rn? There's a narrow slug of rain over e PA moving NNE and outside of that, nothing at all for nyc metro. What happened to our wind-blown rainy day?!

Looks like primary surface LP is redeveloping further SE.  The heaviest precip is still SW of the area. This will likely rotate through the area as the trough swings through probably mid-late afternoon through early eve.  Trough is already negative.  There is always the risk of dry slot with transferring systems.  

April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Usa_None_anim
April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 Pmsl
April 2017 Observations & Discussions - Page 2 500mb_sf

You were right lol. It's coming DOWN in Westchester/Fairfield Counties right now
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Post by dkodgis Thu Apr 06, 2017 8:07 pm

Truly it rained here from 11 to 6 as if Noah's Ark was coming around the corner. Pouring rain, heavy. My gosh we had to have had three inches or a bit more. I have to check the rain gauge and the weather station. The stream was a trickle in the fall. Today it is about 30 feet wide and about four feet deep. One storm my chocolate lab got caught in the undertow of the drain pipe and got sucked under only to be blown out on the other side of the road. He gave one bark as he imitated the cow jumping over the moon. Today is not as bad as that but if it keeps raining tonight and tomorrow like that, flooding will occur and be bad up here.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Apr 06, 2017 8:27 pm

.89" here by me and mugs

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Guest Fri Apr 07, 2017 7:50 am

A wonderful light snow is falling outside. That makes this a good morning.

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