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2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

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2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Empty 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by Quietace Fri May 12, 2017 4:17 pm

Go.
TC's that pose significant impact to the area usually get their own thread.

Enjoy the tracking, and may our area not be impacted.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri May 12, 2017 6:50 pm

Your forecast is one of the best I've read so far.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue May 30, 2017 9:31 pm

http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/above-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-is-most-likely-year
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Post by jmanley32 Wed May 31, 2017 11:10 pm

The Euro is def sniffing out some LR activity around day 8-10 crossing FL into atlantic. Something to watch for first system of season. Hurricane season starts in 50 min. LOL
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Post by amugs Thu Jun 01, 2017 9:26 am

HAPPY HURRICANE SEASON EVERYONE!!

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Post by GreyBeard Thu Jun 01, 2017 1:51 pm

And so it begins...

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Post by amugs Thu Jun 01, 2017 3:16 pm

Western Gulf

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread DBPaSY3XUAApEkl

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread DBPaS5sXYAAPtAE



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Post by amugs Thu Jun 01, 2017 3:20 pm

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread DBPoMwyUMAAV-nj

https://t.co/hgOhwO1iJw

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Post by amugs Thu Jun 01, 2017 10:08 pm

Ukie has come in hot

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Img_2053

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Post by amugs Thu Jun 01, 2017 10:11 pm

From Levi Cowan 
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/2017/06/02/outlook-for-the-2017-atlantic-hurricane-season/

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Post by amugs Fri Jun 02, 2017 7:40 am

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread DBUCxm7XkAAZoA6

Ventrice says whear is going to dampen this possible trop cyclone

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Post by amugs Fri Jun 02, 2017 4:15 pm

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Img_2054

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jun 02, 2017 5:39 pm

BEatrize is now a remnant low, do not see much coming from this but we will see. Hearing even in western atlantic there SAL, thats pretty far from africa damn.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jun 16, 2017 12:19 am

NHC watching two areas in atlantic, if the one to the east develops it would only be the 4th time in June in history according to Levi in his latest video.

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Two_at10

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIEZC1wGGco
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Post by gigs68 Sun Jun 18, 2017 5:57 am

Should I be concerned? Heading on cruise out of Miami on June 25th. It is going to Puerto Rico 6/27, St Thomas 6/28 St Maarten 6/29
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jun 18, 2017 2:57 pm

@gigs68 wrote:Should I be concerned? Heading on cruise out of Miami on June 25th.  It is going to Puerto Rico 6/27, St Thomas 6/28 St Maarten 6/29
no nothing is shown to move in the diection other than normsl tropucal weather down there. tge gulf system is coming together and now has a 90% chance develope in 5 day and is 93L. looks like we could see heavy remnant rains in a week or two if it tracks to central gulf coast and inland then pushed ne.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jun 18, 2017 5:15 pm

We have our first "tropical cyclone 2" formerly termed "invest", this is a bit concerning as this is now only the 4th time in history a cape verde storm has formed in June. It jumped from 20% to 70% to 1st advisory (I believe it is a depression now as there is a full advisory in less than half a day wow, not a impressive system by nay means but it was progged to diminish completely....

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread 20594710

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jun 19, 2017 8:22 am

Looks like parts of the Gulf Coast will get slammed with heavy rain. Otherwise, this tropical invest is pretty weak and should not produce damaging winds or surge.

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_6

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Post by amugs Mon Jun 19, 2017 8:03 pm

The 18z guidance has trop depression hitting g coast and then possibly affecting us this weekend UUUUGGHHHH!
2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Img_2056

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Post by amugs Mon Jun 19, 2017 8:15 pm

Latest saying may strengthen to a TS

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Img_2057

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:54 pm

They actually have Cindy as a post TD still coming off the delmarva wow, and a small are of 5% chance of TS force winds, I really hope that this Saturday is okay cuz we are having a huge moving sale.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jun 29, 2017 10:02 pm

Might be something brewing in the long range that could threaten east coast if GFS is right. Thats at least 10 days away though and as of right now NHC has nothing in the 5 day. Interesting the CMC does not have a system at all and the GFS Euro do. Something to watch.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Jun 30, 2017 10:02 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Might be something brewing in the long range that could threaten east coast if GFS is right.  Thats at least 10 days away though and as of right now NHC has nothing in the 5 day.  Interesting the CMC does not have a system at all and the GFS Euro do.  Something to watch.

Txt Jman....Will keep an eye out for your posts we don't get home till the 12th..so will follow your posts
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jul 01, 2017 7:16 pm

Well holy crap GFS!! Long ways off but GFS has been on this system since middle of last week.

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Gfs_ms10
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jul 01, 2017 7:26 pm

Okay my bad the NHC has taken note of the system in the atlantic currently 10/40 chance development, this is the system the GFS blows up. Long tracker too and from a area that is not normal for beginning of July. If this does develop it will moisten the air for many more to form with less obstacles.

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread Two_at10
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