2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

[Quietace]

Go.
TC's that pose significant impact to the area usually get their own thread.

Enjoy the tracking, and may our area not be impacted.

[Frank_Wx]

Your forecast is one of the best I've read so far.

[jmanley32]

http://www.noaa.gov/media-release/above-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-is-most-likely-year

[jmanley32]

The Euro is def sniffing out some LR activity around day 8-10 crossing FL into atlantic. Something to watch for first system of season. Hurricane season starts in 50 min. LOL

[amugs]

HAPPY HURRICANE SEASON EVERYONE!!

[GreyBeard]

And so it begins...

[amugs]

Western Gulf

[amugs]

https://t.co/hgOhwO1iJw

[amugs]

Ukie has come in hot

[amugs]

From Levi Cowan 
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/2017/06/02/outlook-for-the-2017-atlantic-hurricane-season/

[amugs]

Ventrice says whear is going to dampen this possible trop cyclone

[amugs]

[jmanley32]

BEatrize is now a remnant low, do not see much coming from this but we will see. Hearing even in western atlantic there SAL, thats pretty far from africa damn.

[jmanley32]

NHC watching two areas in atlantic, if the one to the east develops it would only be the 4th time in June in history according to Levi in his latest video.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIEZC1wGGco

[gigs68]

Should I be concerned? Heading on cruise out of Miami on June 25th. It is going to Puerto Rico 6/27, St Thomas 6/28 St Maarten 6/29

[jmanley32]

Should I be concerned? Heading on cruise out of Miami on June 25th.  It is going to Puerto Rico 6/27, St Thomas 6/28 St Maarten 6/29

no nothing is shown to move in the diection other than normsl tropucal weather down there. tge gulf system is coming together and now has a 90% chance develope in 5 day and is 93L. looks like we could see heavy remnant rains in a week or two if it tracks to central gulf coast and inland then pushed ne.

[jmanley32]

We have our first "tropical cyclone 2" formerly termed "invest", this is a bit concerning as this is now only the 4th time in history a cape verde storm has formed in June. It jumped from 20% to 70% to 1st advisory (I believe it is a depression now as there is a full advisory in less than half a day wow, not a impressive system by nay means but it was progged to diminish completely....

[Frank_Wx]

Looks like parts of the Gulf Coast will get slammed with heavy rain. Otherwise, this tropical invest is pretty weak and should not produce damaging winds or surge.

[amugs]

The 18z guidance has trop depression hitting g coast and then possibly affecting us this weekend UUUUGGHHHH!

[amugs]

Latest saying may strengthen to a TS

[jmanley32]

They actually have Cindy as a post TD still coming off the delmarva wow, and a small are of 5% chance of TS force winds, I really hope that this Saturday is okay cuz we are having a huge moving sale.

[jmanley32]

Might be something brewing in the long range that could threaten east coast if GFS is right. Thats at least 10 days away though and as of right now NHC has nothing in the 5 day. Interesting the CMC does not have a system at all and the GFS Euro do. Something to watch.

[weatherwatchermom]

Might be something brewing in the long range that could threaten east coast if GFS is right.  Thats at least 10 days away though and as of right now NHC has nothing in the 5 day.  Interesting the CMC does not have a system at all and the GFS Euro do.  Something to watch.

Txt Jman....Will keep an eye out for your posts we don't get home till the 12th..so will follow your posts

[jmanley32]

Well holy crap GFS!! Long ways off but GFS has been on this system since middle of last week.

[jmanley32]

Okay my bad the NHC has taken note of the system in the atlantic currently 10/40 chance development, this is the system the GFS blows up. Long tracker too and from a area that is not normal for beginning of July. If this does develop it will moisten the air for many more to form with less obstacles.

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