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Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations

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Post by frank 638 Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:18 pm

Thank you guys hopefully we will have a get together soon I can't wait to meet u guys

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Post by docstox12 Sat Aug 26, 2017 6:21 am

First night in the 40's of the coming Fall season! Al hit the nail on the HEAD calling for this last week. 45.5 degrees right now.Looks like a nice sunny stretch with mid to late September weather.

91%, 30.03 R
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Post by ak926 Sat Aug 26, 2017 10:21 am

Walpack, NJ 44 degrees this morning.

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Post by Quietace Sat Aug 26, 2017 10:31 pm

Cool night tonight. Fall is around the corner. Miss being down here during the fall. Hopefully next year I'll be back.

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Post by amugs Sat Aug 26, 2017 10:44 pm

Doc you will go down to those tempd levels the rest of the week possibly through earky Sept.

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Post by frank 638 Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:55 am

61* a nice cool crisp morning

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Post by ak926 Sun Aug 27, 2017 8:41 am

51 * the morning low in Rockaway.

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Post by amugs Sun Aug 27, 2017 9:27 am

Well now EPS saying second week of set cool BN as well now. So 1st two weeks of Sept as Aug rolls into it are going to be like we are experincing now but temps a few degrees cooler as a trough sets up shop over the GL/NE at the 500mb level. Hope this pattern can hold through DJF!!
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Img_2056Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Img_2056

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Post by algae888 Sun Aug 27, 2017 3:13 pm

Yes mugs very impressive cool down again the zero degrees Celsius on the 850s make it into Upstate New York and New Hampshire there looks to be another one following that
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Post by algae888 Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:00 am

And October like day coming late this week as mugs has pointed out hopefully this pattern can last through winter and something that RB has been harping on since early summer.
Nws disco

The upper trough becomes cut-off over northeastern New England and southeastern Canada Friday and moves slowly into the North Atlantic Saturday. This sets up a deep NNW flow and allows a cool high pressure system to build over the region. 850 mb temperature anomalies on the GEFS and EPS means range from -6C to -10C degrees below climatology for this time of year translating to an early autumn like day on Friday. Highs in the upper 60s inland to the lower 70s near the coast are forecast with nighttime temperatures falling well into the 40s inland and into the 50s near the coast. Only slight moderation in temperatures expected on Saturday with readings in the lower and middle 70s.
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Post by algae888 Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:00 pm

all I k now is that as scott would say is giggity over the blue on the map. CAN'T WAIT FOR WINTER!!!!!
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_16
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Post by algae888 Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:06 pm

Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Gfs_T850_us_17
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Gfs_T850_us_49
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf_T850_us_5
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf_T850_us_10
here is more. these are maps for late October not early september
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:43 pm

@algae888 wrote:Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Gfs_T850_us_17
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Gfs_T850_us_49
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf_T850_us_5
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Ecmwf_T850_us_10
here is more. these are maps for late October not early september
At least the kids will not be sweating to death going back to school Very Happy
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Post by dkodgis Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:51 pm

Who among us is closing the pool this weekend?
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:59 pm

@dkodgis wrote:Who among us is closing the pool this weekend?
nope few more weeks
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Post by Quietace Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:34 pm

Based on radar interpolation and recent HRRR runs 8-10am looks good for precip to reach I-195. HRRR/HRRX brings heavier banding into JS/SNJ by mid afternoon as the low makes its progression NE. Based on how the precip shield is distributed and heavier banding limited to the coast there will probably be a sharp gradient in total accumulated precip. NW areas could see less than .25", while coastal areas, specifically SE NJ and ELI could see .5-1.00" precip. Even so, a overcast showery day, with steady easterly flow is on tap for tomorrow.

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Post by amugs Tue Aug 29, 2017 8:42 am

Alot of.moisture heading north how far it makes it is now casting time. Good work Rb on this storm
Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Inxr1kdova_h

Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Inxr1Knyca_h

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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:45 am

Temp 68° winds at 12-15 with gusts to 30 and light rain in Seaside Park. I'm going to wait to go see the ocean, winds due to pick up later...

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Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
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Post by frank 638 Tue Aug 29, 2017 2:30 pm

66* with light rain

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:06 pm

Just another dreary day, when will things ever get exciting LOL, glad your trip not ruined zoo.
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Post by frank 638 Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:15 pm

Another thing to it does not feel like late August it has been a strange summer this year

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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:18 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Just another dreary day, when will things ever get exciting LOL, glad your trip not ruined zoo.

I would rather save the excitement for winter! party

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
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Post by Math23x7 Tue Aug 29, 2017 8:14 pm

Joanne, this is for you:

Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 Coolau10

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Post by amugs Tue Aug 29, 2017 8:16 pm

Dog days of AUGUST Discussions/Observations - Page 4 DIbuZ8FUIAEEh2Q

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Fededle22 Tue Aug 29, 2017 8:42 pm

I'm seeing reports that remnants of Harvey will be here in NJ for both Saturday and Sunday delivering tropical moisture. Is this realistic? Will it stay south and go more out to sea? Just trying to get the expert opinions from here to see if our end of summer weekend is going to be ruined.
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