NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

September OBS/Discussions

+12
jmanley32
sroc4
CPcantmeasuresnow
weatherwatchermom
dkodgis
Frank_Wx
frank 638
Dunnzoo
Radz
Dtone
docstox12
amugs
16 posters

Page 2 of 2 Previous  1, 2

Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 24, 2017 2:07 pm

@frank 638 wrote:89*with  a real feel of 90* Mad Shocked enough already we should had this in aug not now

I totally agree!!!!! currently 89* real feel 93!!! AHHHHHHHHHHHHHH...Hate this weather..and decorating for fall and being in the mood for pumpkin spice...just seems wrong when it feels like 93*
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2950
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 57
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by RJB8525 Mon Sep 25, 2017 10:11 am

too hot past 2 days lol. can't wait for that cold front to come. skipped out on apple picking yesterday
RJB8525
RJB8525
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1970
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 35
Location : Hackettstown, NJ

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by amugs Mon Sep 25, 2017 11:01 am

Relief is on the way peeps!
For Rocktober
Karent Sea Yuuuuugge Block and it will propogare towards Greenland setting up the comfy temp map below it

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 IMG_20170925_092314.thumb.jpg.819b2dffa49aad47ab5c851c25ebab36

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 IMG_20170925_092310.thumb.jpg.9a465fcc22c89db380beebd581c01450

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12203
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 26, 2017 8:10 am

This weekend does look cooler. Possibly not getting out of the 60's on Saturday. It will feel absolutely refreshing.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by aiannone Tue Sep 26, 2017 2:14 pm

89 Degrees at 2:15pm here in Binghamton, NY. Crazy for this time of year!
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4257
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by amugs Wed Sep 27, 2017 10:35 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:This weekend does look cooler. Possibly not getting out of the 60's on Saturday. It will feel absolutely refreshing.

Yup then the ridge returns - possibly record breaking heat - this will absolutely suck!!
August in Rocktober - bite me!!

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 DKt9PLZXUAA1cok

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12203
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 27, 2017 1:53 pm

It may not get as warm as you think. The position of the ridge is more west than south. While temps will be above normal, I am thinking in the 70's. Depends where that ridge sets up. This week its been in the 80's and kinda humid because of the tropical systems in the Atlantic.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by frank 638 Wed Sep 27, 2017 3:09 pm

85 *hot humid crappy yucky weather .it so sad that we are not having a normal fall or spring weather Everytime we get into fall we have spring weather global warming sucks I hope we make this up by this coming winter with tons of Godzilla or rodzilla

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2334
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by sroc4 Wed Sep 27, 2017 3:44 pm

@amugs wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:This weekend does look cooler. Possibly not getting out of the 60's on Saturday. It will feel absolutely refreshing.

Yup then the ridge returns - possibly record breaking heat - this will absolutely suck!!
August in Rocktober - bite me!!

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 DKt9PLZXUAA1cok

Here is what I was talking about Mugs.  Check out the current 500mb set up and the source regions for our air mass.  Deep tropics and GOM.  Noce the current dew points as well upper 60's and low 70's...GROSS!

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_71
September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_70
September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_72

Now look at the 500mb set up for the time frame of the image you show above.  Pac and Canadian air mass.  500mb flow over our area is more W or even WNW rather than from the SW or SE.  A much different air mass as you can see.  

Here are the two warmest days on the euro over the next 10days.  70's and low to mid 80's.  BUT notice the corresponding dew points for those two days...50's to low 60 at worst.  So despite a few days of warm day time temps overall it should feel quite pleasant; especially at night with low dew points.  So if we are going to be a little above avg temp wise maybe the silver lining is found?? Maybe??

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_78
September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_76
September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_73
September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_74
September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_77
September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Ecmwf_75

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6888
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by jmanley32 Wed Sep 27, 2017 5:46 pm

This is insane near 90 hot humid almost October prolly go last till Nov or Dec lol. Usually a signal to a warm snowless winter hate to say it. Lots rain and noreaster. To totally non scientific but please someone turn the oven off
 I have no ac at work and it's dreadful.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by frank 638 Wed Sep 27, 2017 5:58 pm

Jman I feel ur pain by now  we should have cool crisp morning I love having my window open at night just be under the blankets but no I had to put my AC back on because it is so freaking hot and humid and I am w

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2334
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by frank 638 Wed Sep 27, 2017 6:00 pm

Sorry I meant I am working at the new parking garage in lag airport with this nasty heat and humidity drinking crazy water

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2334
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by jmanley32 Wed Sep 27, 2017 6:09 pm

Water doesn't make it cooler lol.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by amugs Wed Sep 27, 2017 8:10 pm

@Scott thanks and I was just thinking about this and read this that allmo dB the massive and deep tropical cyclones are huge heat transfer vehicles and have pumped the SE CAN HP as you point out that sinks. I got a mind block here with this looking at the package jet gift and looking at the warm water N of Hawaii in the PAC saying oh no.

This is something we all need to remember and I can remember Floyd and how tropical is was for days after he hit. These massivery tropical cyclones have pulled the intense warmth oUT of the ocean and go and sent it up this way.

Here is something of note
NYC had its 6th COOLEST SEPT 1-10 period on record and the COOLEST such period in over 100 YEARS!!!!!

NYC will have had its WARMEST SEPT 20-30 period on record to counter balance the other time frame.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12203
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by frank 638 Wed Sep 27, 2017 8:24 pm

Any sign of rain because it has been very dry lately

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2334
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 37
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 27, 2017 9:03 pm

@frank 638 wrote:Any sign of rain because it has been very dry lately

Nope. Any rain that falls over the next 10 days will amount to virtually zero.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20010
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Morris Plain, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Sep 27, 2017 9:26 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@frank 638 wrote:Any sign of rain because it has been very dry lately

Nope. Any rain that falls over the next 10 days will amount to virtually zero.

Frank we are going to Cambridge this weekend...do you see it raining up there at all on Saturday?? TIA
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2950
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 57
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by amugs Fri Sep 29, 2017 8:36 am

47* tis morning!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12203
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Sep 30, 2017 6:39 am

54° this morning a real fall feeling
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

September OBS/Discussions  - Page 2 Empty Re: September OBS/Discussions

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 2 Previous  1, 2

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum