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Tracking Hurricane Irma

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Post by EnyapWeather Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:16 pm

Is it possible that of these started to trend more north, we could see some type of hurricane up here? Or is that off the table now?
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:17 pm

Soul absolutely. I have been sitting here watching and occasionally posting. There are a lot of mechanisms that are at play. As stated from Fla to NE must be on guard and if in Fla to NC you need to take preparations or at least start to.

I borrowed my friends generator. Getting cash out, cash rules peeps, and doing some shopping tomorrow for water and some other goods. I said this before the set up in the PAC we will see better by this time tomorrow and even better by Thursday. Heck if i do use my supplies I still have them!

AND lastly if she stays out over the bath tub waters of the Caribbean she may get down to low 900 levels, what is going to stop her?? So HEY MON model is nuts (862) but GFS may not be far off 89?.
No one is out of the woods yet and the models have been erratic. Juse watch her chug along and she is the most powerful site I have ever laid eyes, weather wise, my wife is 1st!!!


Last edited by amugs on Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:23 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by EnyapWeather Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:22 pm

Hmmm That would be crazy if this became an even more powerful Sandy... I’m guessing that’s pretty unlikely though.
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Post by rb924119 Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:24 pm

Officially 917!!!!

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 32 Img_1216

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Post by amugs Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:26 pm

HUMINA HUMINA JEUSUSUSUS!!!!!!!!!!

Irma down to 917 MB


RNT12 KWBC 052302
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL112017
A. 05/22:45:25Z
B. 17 deg 07 min N
060 deg 08 min W
C. NA
D. 137 kt
E. 255 deg 9 nm
F. 331 deg 138 kt
G. 252 deg 11 nm
H. 917 mb
I. 14 C / 2447 m
J. 24 C / 2454 m
K. 18 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. CO20-45
N. 12345 / NA
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. NOAA2 1011A IRMA OB 12
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND AND MAX FL WIND 156 KT 060 / 13 NM 22:48:32Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 080 / 05 KTS

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Post by mikeypizano Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:27 pm

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 32 21271304_510169119321652_2751404019323924057_n

Need some humor anyone?
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:28 pm

WTFFFFFFFFFFFFF??????

Nw eye wall at 906mb so maybe just a few hundred feet up 186kts so 212 mph!!. NE eye wall pass coming up soon gotta be near 220-230

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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:29 pm

@mikeypizano wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:According to the actual graph it looks like it's down to approximately 917-918mb

If this keeps up, I am going to wear the trackpad out on my laptop... affraid

I had my husband give me a second screen on my desk..he has a screen wall for all the work he does...so he gave me one...lol
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Post by amugs Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:30 pm

196kt a few hundred feet off the ground. 223 mph ne eye wall!


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Post by rb924119 Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:32 pm

@amugs wrote:

196kt a few hundred feet off the ground. 223 mph ne eye wall!


And you know as well as I do those winds are mixing down to the surface at times

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Post by amugs Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:34 pm

190mph sustained winds measured at the surface

Ties the record - come on you BIAG we have come this far you need to break this!!

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by rb924119 Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:40 pm

@amugs wrote:190mph sustained winds measured at the surface

Ties the record - come on you BIAG we have come this far you need to break this!!

Wilma's record?!!!!

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Post by mikeypizano Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:41 pm

amugs where do you see 906mb and 196kt winds?
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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:45 pm

Unreal!!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Feb 7th 6"
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Post by Radz Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:49 pm

8pm advisory kept 185mph...
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:57 pm

Wow just checking in. Things with Irma change by the minute. If solutions like we had last week start again oh boy.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 05, 2017 7:59 pm

@mikeypizano wrote:amugs where do you see 906mb and 196kt winds?

I second this question

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by rb924119 Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:06 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@mikeypizano wrote:amugs where do you see 906mb and 196kt winds?

I second this question

I..........third(?) this question.......? Is that grammatically acceptable? Lmao we have any English teachers here that can settle this matter??? Ahaha

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Post by aiannone Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:08 pm

Ok I left for classes at 3:30, came back just now and I see the 18z GFS and i'm scratching my head. WTF
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:15 pm

@rb924119 wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:
@mikeypizano wrote:amugs where do you see 906mb and 196kt winds?

I second this question

I..........third(?) this question.......? Is that grammatically acceptable? Lmao we have any English teachers here that can settle this matter??? Ahaha

You would say "I also second this"....(not a teacher)
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Post by Guest Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:19 pm

I third this

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Post by Guest Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:20 pm

18z GFS gives me a renewed sense of hope.

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Post by Dis2cruise Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:27 pm

Is it safe to say we might get a Long Island hit?

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Post by aiannone Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:29 pm

@Dis2cruise wrote:Is it safe to say we might get a Long Island hit?

While it can't be completely ruled out at this time, it is extremely unlikely. Probably 15% or less
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Post by jake732 Tue Sep 05, 2017 8:29 pm

lets not all go crazy from the 18z gfs...its one model let Alone 1 run. Even on that run it heads nw after the carolinas and keeps us in the clear.
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