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Tracking Hurricane Irma

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Post by mikeypizano Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:32 pm

Gfs running!
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Post by Joe Snow Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:36 pm

Out to 30 hours............
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Post by Sanchize06 Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:36 pm

No real differences thru hr 30 so far

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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:39 pm

Man, my heart is with Antigua & Barbuda right now. News sources report roofs already blowing off houses. Eyewall will soon move thru and I can't imagine what it'll look like tomorrow.
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Post by aiannone Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:44 pm

looks like the gfs is going to continue with the northern camp of the guidance. We will see if euro follows suit.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:45 pm

Trough is a bit more deeper at hr 54.
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Post by Sanchize06 Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:45 pm

Still no real big differences thru hr 54. Trough still hanging around. Would think this will be east like 18z

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Post by Joe Snow Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:45 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Man, my heart is with Antigua & Barbuda right now. News sources report roofs already blowing off houses. Eyewall will soon move thru and I can't imagine what it'll look like tomorrow.

Total devastation I imagine, those poor souls. Possibly the strongest storm in the Atlantic basin ever.
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Post by CyphaPSU Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:47 pm

@Joe Snow wrote:Barbuda:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CawG7IBm8p8

This was an older clip of a tornado, not Irma in Barbuda today.


Right now the electricity has intentionally been turned off on the island country and folks have batten down the hatches for the night. Say a prayer for them. I was just listening to a live radio broadcast from Saint John's, but the feed went dead.


Last edited by CyphaPSU on Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:48 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Sanchize06 Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:47 pm

Slightly south at hr 60 likely because the ridge is a tad stronger. Trough also a bit deeper though

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Post by aiannone Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:52 pm

Not looking good for EFL this run. My guess here is a landfall north of miami on this run
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Post by Sanchize06 Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:53 pm

Should start the north turn soon at hr 78. Ridge backing off, also the ridge building around Texas should try and keep this east as well

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Post by Sanchize06 Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:57 pm

Atlantic Ridge pushed it a bit further SW than 18z, but north turn beginning now at hr 96

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Post by Joe Snow Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:01 am

@108 Miami takes a beating and I mean a full blown beating
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:02 am

But not landfall yet...
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Post by Joe Snow Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:03 am

True, but wow it will be a beast, looks like the Carolinas will get the brunt
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Post by Sanchize06 Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:05 am

Looks like it's east of 12z but west of 18z. Should be a GA/SC landfall coming up

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Post by Sanchize06 Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:11 am

Landfall in SC at hour 138

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 34 Gfs_mslp_wind_seus_24

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Post by Joe Snow Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:12 am

@138 South Carolina with the hit and here comes Jose.............
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Post by Joe Snow Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:24 am

CMC is way east off the coast of Florida.
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Post by Radz Wed Sep 06, 2017 5:05 am

5AM 185mph, 914mb, heading west/northwest at 16mph...
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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Sep 06, 2017 5:36 am

Sorry on mobile, 5am advisory. With the size of her, all of Florida is in for it

https://i.servimg.com/u/f11/18/63/15/28/20390610.jpg

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Post by rb924119 Wed Sep 06, 2017 6:03 am

Ladies and gents, with the overnight runs, we're back in the game :/

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Post by Snow88 Wed Sep 06, 2017 6:08 am

The east shifts might be real
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Sep 06, 2017 6:40 am

There's definitely significant shifts East and today they should start sending warnings to South Carolina Georgia North Carolina area
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