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2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

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Quietace
Dtone
freezerburn
EnyapWeather
Sanchize06
jake732
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jwalsh
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sroc4
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2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Empty Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread

Post by sroc4 Mon Oct 16, 2017 11:19 am

amugs wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Well that's true aha I'm certainly not trying to diminish the severity, I was just saying that because to me, this isn't as comparable to Sandy. The Northeast doesn't experience nearly the frequency of such strong storm/wind events as they do, so I think that is an unfair comparison, in my humble opinion, of course lol

Fair point in this respect. 75-85 mph winds in Cork with 100 mph gusts incoming. Pretty severe for this place but they will somehow make it into a fun event.

We will see just how high the recorded wind speeds actually make it. That said I want to be in the pub with them for the party. party

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Irish-drinking-songs-inside

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:18 pm

wwell 18z gfs lr is interesting.

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Post by amugs Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:56 pm

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 IMG_0377.thumb.PNG.e85ce5a92865f2a1248c3fcde5262269

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 16, 2017 9:18 pm

amugs wrote:2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 IMG_0377.thumb.PNG.e85ce5a92865f2a1248c3fcde5262269
def been a storm signal from 26th to 30th, looks like might partly come from tropics.
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Post by Dtone Tue Oct 17, 2017 8:30 am

Post Tropical Ophelia wind gusts:

Fastnet Island, Ireland: 119 mph
Roches Point, Ireland: 97 mph
Aberdaron, Wales: 86 mph
Waterford, Ireland: 85 mph
Sherkin Island, Ireland: 84 mph
Capel Curig, Wales: 82 mph
RAF Valley, Wales: 79 mph
Cork, Ireland: 78 mph
Shannon, Ireland: 76 mph
West Freugh, Scotland: 71 mph
St. Mary's Island, United Kingdom: 70 mph
Oak Park, Ireland: 69 mph
Dublin, Ireland: 65 mph
Malin Head, Ireland: 65 mph
High Bradfield, England: 64 mph
Loftus, England: 64 mph
Gurteen, Ireland: 63 mph
Pembry, United Kingdom: 60 mph

Drew enough dust from the Sahara northward to turn the UK skies orange.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2017-10-17-storm-ophelia-ireland-united-kingdom-impacts

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Oct 17, 2017 11:13 am

00z GFS has a big storm originating from tropics around same time frame I said earlier, CMC and Euro also hint at it, GFS had a rather comparable TRACK to a certain storm in 2012.  May be something to watch may not. I think Al even eluded to a strorm signal around end of month, wether it comes from tropics or not looks like sopmething may brew for end of next week into the following week. Jeeze brings widespead 10-13 inches of rain to the area, why can't it be snow (we actually I guess it would be a bad think possibly if it was snow this early)!
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Post by jwalsh Mon Oct 23, 2017 5:39 pm

12z CMC, though an outlier, is a bit worrisome2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Img_52102017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Img_52122017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Img_5211
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Post by Snow88 Mon Oct 23, 2017 9:34 pm

jwalsh wrote:12z CMC, though an outlier, is a bit worrisome2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Img_52102017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Img_52122017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Img_5211

Every model has the storm but weaker than the CMC

Should be interesting to follow
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Oct 23, 2017 10:05 pm

Wow I guess I've been busy to miss that lol
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Post by Snow88 Tue Oct 24, 2017 8:28 am

Next weekend's storm looks like a big nor-easter to me
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Oct 24, 2017 9:12 pm

Snow88 wrote:Next weekend's storm looks like a big nor-easter to me
Looks like a trough of LP and a tropical system gets pulled up and they phase?  Can we get this in winter please?
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Oct 24, 2017 9:32 pm

Well, well, and who in 2012 began development in nearly the same spot and same day? Not saying that will happen but that deep trough and this meeting up could be bad news. 50% chance in the 5 day.

2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread - Page 19 Two_at10
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Oct 24, 2017 11:28 pm

You guys thought that earlier video of Maria in PR was crazy, these guys are downright nuts and this caught a lot more of the destruction the island caught, crazzzzzzyyyyyy!!!!!!!!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8LdLvgDarLI
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