2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
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Quietace
Dtone
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
amugs wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that's true aha I'm certainly not trying to diminish the severity, I was just saying that because to me, this isn't as comparable to Sandy. The Northeast doesn't experience nearly the frequency of such strong storm/wind events as they do, so I think that is an unfair comparison, in my humble opinion, of course lol
Fair point in this respect. 75-85 mph winds in Cork with 100 mph gusts incoming. Pretty severe for this place but they will somehow make it into a fun event.
We will see just how high the recorded wind speeds actually make it. That said I want to be in the pub with them for the party.
sroc4- Admin
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
wwell 18z gfs lr is interesting.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
def been a storm signal from 26th to 30th, looks like might partly come from tropics.amugs wrote:
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
Post Tropical Ophelia wind gusts:
Fastnet Island, Ireland: 119 mph
Roches Point, Ireland: 97 mph
Aberdaron, Wales: 86 mph
Waterford, Ireland: 85 mph
Sherkin Island, Ireland: 84 mph
Capel Curig, Wales: 82 mph
RAF Valley, Wales: 79 mph
Cork, Ireland: 78 mph
Shannon, Ireland: 76 mph
West Freugh, Scotland: 71 mph
St. Mary's Island, United Kingdom: 70 mph
Oak Park, Ireland: 69 mph
Dublin, Ireland: 65 mph
Malin Head, Ireland: 65 mph
High Bradfield, England: 64 mph
Loftus, England: 64 mph
Gurteen, Ireland: 63 mph
Pembry, United Kingdom: 60 mph
Drew enough dust from the Sahara northward to turn the UK skies orange.
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2017-10-17-storm-ophelia-ireland-united-kingdom-impacts
Fastnet Island, Ireland: 119 mph
Roches Point, Ireland: 97 mph
Aberdaron, Wales: 86 mph
Waterford, Ireland: 85 mph
Sherkin Island, Ireland: 84 mph
Capel Curig, Wales: 82 mph
RAF Valley, Wales: 79 mph
Cork, Ireland: 78 mph
Shannon, Ireland: 76 mph
West Freugh, Scotland: 71 mph
St. Mary's Island, United Kingdom: 70 mph
Oak Park, Ireland: 69 mph
Dublin, Ireland: 65 mph
Malin Head, Ireland: 65 mph
High Bradfield, England: 64 mph
Loftus, England: 64 mph
Gurteen, Ireland: 63 mph
Pembry, United Kingdom: 60 mph
Drew enough dust from the Sahara northward to turn the UK skies orange.
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2017-10-17-storm-ophelia-ireland-united-kingdom-impacts
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
00z GFS has a big storm originating from tropics around same time frame I said earlier, CMC and Euro also hint at it, GFS had a rather comparable TRACK to a certain storm in 2012. May be something to watch may not. I think Al even eluded to a strorm signal around end of month, wether it comes from tropics or not looks like sopmething may brew for end of next week into the following week. Jeeze brings widespead 10-13 inches of rain to the area, why can't it be snow (we actually I guess it would be a bad think possibly if it was snow this early)!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
12z CMC, though an outlier, is a bit worrisome
jwalsh- Posts : 60
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
jwalsh wrote:12z CMC, though an outlier, is a bit worrisome
Every model has the storm but weaker than the CMC
Should be interesting to follow
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
Wow I guess I've been busy to miss that lol
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
Next weekend's storm looks like a big nor-easter to me
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
Looks like a trough of LP and a tropical system gets pulled up and they phase? Can we get this in winter please?Snow88 wrote:Next weekend's storm looks like a big nor-easter to me
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
Well, well, and who in 2012 began development in nearly the same spot and same day? Not saying that will happen but that deep trough and this meeting up could be bad news. 50% chance in the 5 day.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2017 General Tropical Cyclone Discussion Thread
You guys thought that earlier video of Maria in PR was crazy, these guys are downright nuts and this caught a lot more of the destruction the island caught, crazzzzzzyyyyyy!!!!!!!!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8LdLvgDarLI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8LdLvgDarLI
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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