Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
UKMET looks like GFS. Maybe a hair west.
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
looks to be like a Nor'easter that can still cause damage along coast, but we seen many of these.
jimv45- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Frank you have windfield map of cmc since I can't see on cmc. Precip looks like could b heavy at times on cmc.
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skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
NAVY CRUSGES THE COAST !!
Also this is going extra tropical once it hits the colder waters at about 45* which will make the percip and wind field grow.
The is teh GFS - that is one windy set up if yuo ask me!!

Also this is going extra tropical once it hits the colder waters at about 45* which will make the percip and wind field grow.
The is teh GFS - that is one windy set up if yuo ask me!!
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
@Frank_Wx wrote:@jmanley32 wrote:Is that west of 00z? I can't compare as tt frozen.
Looks east to me@carbomb31 wrote:Franks any change to ur thoughts or still feel this will just skirt the coast? Southern Monmouth county guy asking
Still thinking no landfall. Will come close enough to bring some impact. Heavy rain, wind, beach erosion. Typical Fall Nor'easter I guess you can say. But stronger. We'll see exactly how close he gets.
ur a genlteman thanks Frank!
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
National weather service for Tuesday has tropical storm conditions for NYC
frank 638- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Through 84 euro a little east and a tad less ridge to the NE compared to 00z. Lets see how it finishes up
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
EURO is close - Stalls it then it pushes east with the trough hmmmm


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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
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This made a jog west from yesterday 12 Z
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
South of the DelMarVa latitude 12z Euro today is a tad east of 00z, but north of that they pretty much are exactly the same and end up in the same position. A def consensus is forming on the track but with still 4-5days until impacting the area there is still a cone of uncertainty of at least 50-75miles each way.
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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
WTH??? 2 canes in the east coast


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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Looks like a FujiWhara dance between Jose and Lee going to happen after 204 hr on the euro
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Still possible landfall or just close at this pt? My local forecast also says ts conditions possible Tues. Nhc has briefings put already for area.@sroc4 wrote:
South of the DelMarVa latitude 12z Euro today is a tad east of 00z, but north of that they pretty much are exactly the same and end up in the same position. A def consensus is forming on the track but with still 4-5days until impacting the area there is still a cone of uncertainty of at least 50-75miles each way.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Rb did elude to a dangerous ec threat from Lee with the setup. I.mean it's like rapid fire tropical systems lol. I'm only follow one at a time plus possible Lee way to far out.@sroc4 wrote:Looks like a FujiWhara dance between Jose and Lee going to happen after 204 hr on the euro
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Recon is finding 68 kt winds at the surface
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
@frank 638 wrote:National weather service for Tuesday has tropical storm conditions for NYC
"Possible" tropical storm conditions. I read the NHC briefing for our area. 1-2" of rain (maximum way east) possible and 30-40 mph winds. Sounds like another 10 days tracking a moderate at best nor-Easter.


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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Hurricane Jose at 5:00pm. 75mph
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Is the 18z NAM not even running? lol No idea what's going on with these models today
Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
18z full run out. West of 12z close to obx huge.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
You never know syo it's still 5 days out of course NYC go play it calm it's way too early. I'm surprised they even saying thst. But yes also winter yay.syosnow94 wrote:@frank 638 wrote:National weather service for Tuesday has tropical storm conditions for NYC
"Possible" tropical storm conditions. I read the NHC briefing for our area. 1-2" of rain (maximum way east) possible and 30-40 mph winds. Sounds like another 10 days tracking a moderate at best nor-Easter.![]()
Winter can't come soon enough.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
I couldn't agree more James unless there's a direct landfall near our area this is a big yawn think about it 13 tropical systems this year zero impact for our area. Bring on winter at least we have a chance there there's no chance with hurricanessyosnow94 wrote:@frank 638 wrote:National weather service for Tuesday has tropical storm conditions for NYC
"Possible" tropical storm conditions. I read the NHC briefing for our area. 1-2" of rain (maximum way east) possible and 30-40 mph winds. Sounds like another 10 days tracking a moderate at best nor-Easter.![]()
Winter can't come soon enough.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Huh no chance? I recall having been in quite a few. All up here. Rare yes. No chance not true.@algae888 wrote:I couldn't agree more James unless there's a direct landfall near our area this is a big yawn think about it 13 tropical systems this year zero impact for our area. Bring on winter at least we have a chance there there's no chance with hurricanessyosnow94 wrote:@frank 638 wrote:National weather service for Tuesday has tropical storm conditions for NYC
"Possible" tropical storm conditions. I read the NHC briefing for our area. 1-2" of rain (maximum way east) possible and 30-40 mph winds. Sounds like another 10 days tracking a moderate at best nor-Easter.![]()
Winter can't come soon enough.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Come on John you know what I mean I'm talking about storms that impact our area hurricanes. That's probably less than 1% chance of that happening here. Tropical storms we have them every year many in fact only thing we call them nor'easters@jmanley32 wrote:Huh no chance? I recall having been in quite a few. All up here. Rare yes. No chance not true.@algae888 wrote:I couldn't agree more James unless there's a direct landfall near our area this is a big yawn think about it 13 tropical systems this year zero impact for our area. Bring on winter at least we have a chance there there's no chance with hurricanessyosnow94 wrote:@frank 638 wrote:National weather service for Tuesday has tropical storm conditions for NYC
"Possible" tropical storm conditions. I read the NHC briefing for our area. 1-2" of rain (maximum way east) possible and 30-40 mph winds. Sounds like another 10 days tracking a moderate at best nor-Easter.![]()
Winter can't come soon enough.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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