Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
OMG IT STALLS OVER THE SOUTH FORK lmao
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Woah, if this plays out we in a new ballgame here.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
I guess no one is going to bed early tonight??
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Eastern LI getting close to 10" of rain
Sanchize06- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
do you have a map of rain fall amounts?Sanchize06 wrote:Eastern LI getting close to 10" of rain
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma
Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
LI is up to 9 inches rain LOL, A lotof people on here get into a swath of 64+ kt 850mb winds for a long duration, heaviest wind on western side odd.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
rb924119 wrote:aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma
Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha
So true. I have a sinus infection and took some nyquil right before these crazy NAM frames. It's up to the makers of nyquil to whether or not i make it to the GFS lol
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
weatherwatchermom wrote:do you have a map of rain fall amounts?Sanchize06 wrote:Eastern LI getting close to 10" of rain
Around 4-5" for Monmouth county
Sanchize06- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
thanks I was not sure what to look for!Sanchize06 wrote:weatherwatchermom wrote:do you have a map of rain fall amounts?Sanchize06 wrote:Eastern LI getting close to 10" of rain
Around 4-5" for Monmouth county
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
This will surely be a test of me getting to my new job on time, 80+ kt winds (probably hurricane gusts verbatim) over a very large area. I am taking train now and above ground MTA does not run with sustained winds over 35 mph.
Last edited by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:54 pm; edited 1 time in total
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
aiannone wrote:rb924119 wrote:aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma
Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha
So true. I have a sinus infection and took some nyquil right before these crazy NAM frames. It's up to the makers of nyquil to whether or not i make it to the GFS lol
1. Oh man, that stinks :/ hope you feel better in time for this storm!!! 2. Been nice knowing you, bud ahaha you're a goner lmfaoooooo that stuff is no joke at putting you down lmaoooo
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
HI Res Nam woahhh!!
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
3k NAM is a big hit too. Even a tick west of 12k
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Yea I'm not optimistic haharb924119 wrote:aiannone wrote:rb924119 wrote:aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma
Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha
So true. I have a sinus infection and took some nyquil right before these crazy NAM frames. It's up to the makers of nyquil to whether or not i make it to the GFS lol
1. Oh man, that stinks :/ hope you feel better in time for this storm!!! 2. Been nice knowing you, bud ahaha you're a goner lmfaoooooo that stuff is no joke at putting you down lmaoooo
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
I will be driving home tuesday and will be home through Sunday. Should be fun!
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
oh boy hope you feel better!! Night night...you prob won't make it...aiannone wrote:rb924119 wrote:aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma
Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha
So true. I have a sinus infection and took some nyquil right before these crazy NAM frames. It's up to the makers of nyquil to whether or not i make it to the GFS lol
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
NAM basically depicts what the storms do when the transition to extra tropical once they hit the coldee water up at this latitude. They go KABOOM The wind field can be up to 250 miles out from its center.
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
aiannone wrote:I will be driving home tuesday and will be home through Sunday. Should be fun!
Watch it trend further west and put the core of the winds back at Binghamton ahahahahahaha it would be both of our lucks, as I'm currently progged to be that swath of high 850s ahaha
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
I am smack in the 80-90 kt area, dayumm, I will be in a basement office though which kinda stinks as I will not be able to watch it, thats if I can even get in IF this were to verify, looks like worst starts very wee hrs of Wed morning well into midday.amugs wrote:HI Res Nam woahhh!!
Last edited by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:59 pm; edited 1 time in total
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
lets see what they say at 11 on the news about this...
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
With my luck, wouldn't doubt itrb924119 wrote:aiannone wrote:I will be driving home tuesday and will be home through Sunday. Should be fun!
Watch it trend further west and put the core of the winds back at Binghamton ahahahahahaha it would be both of our lucks, as I'm currently progged to be that swath of high 850s ahaha
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
Alex feel better and c u all in da morning. Rb bring it home kid. Can u imagine if he does actually do a UKIE track??
Euro will be interesting tonight.
Euro will be interesting tonight.
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
I guess NHC isnt taking NAm in consideration moved cone quite aq bit east but keeps him a hurricane longer.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
NHC really likes the GFS and those hurricane models lol
Sanchize06- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?
amugs wrote:Alex feel better and c u all in da morning. Rb bring it home kid. Can u imagine if he does actually do a UKIE track??
Euro will be interesting tonight.
This run better not verify verbatim or I'll be so mad; literally 25 miles away from a landfall lol if Ima miss, at least let me miss by a respectable amount; this 25-mile thing would be like hanging a pizza from a fishing pole attached to my back while on a treadmill and do nothing but add insult to injury ahahaha
rb924119- Meteorologist
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