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Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:45 pm

OMG IT STALLS OVER THE SOUTH FORK lmao

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:45 pm

Woah, if this plays out we in a new ballgame here.

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 17 Nam3km10

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:45 pm

I guess no one is going to bed early tonight??
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:46 pm

Eastern LI getting close to 10" of rain

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:47 pm

Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:48 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:Eastern LI getting close to 10" of rain
do you have a map of rain fall amounts?
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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:49 pm

aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma

Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:49 pm

LI is up to 9 inches rain LOL, A lotof people on here get into a swath of 64+ kt 850mb winds for a long duration, heaviest wind on western side odd.

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 17 Namcon15
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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:50 pm

rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma

Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha

So true. I have a sinus infection and took some nyquil right before these crazy NAM frames. It's up to the makers of nyquil to whether or not i make it to the GFS lol

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:52 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:Eastern LI getting close to 10" of rain
do you have a map of rain fall amounts?

Around 4-5" for Monmouth county

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 17 Namconus_apcpn_neus_26

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:53 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:Eastern LI getting close to 10" of rain
do you have a map of rain fall amounts?

Around 4-5" for Monmouth county

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 17 Namconus_apcpn_neus_26
thanks I was not sure what to look for! Smile
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:53 pm

This will surely be a test of me getting to my new job on time, 80+ kt winds (probably hurricane gusts verbatim) over a very large area. I am taking train now and above ground MTA does not run with sustained winds over 35 mph.

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 17 Nam3km12


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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:54 pm

aiannone wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma

Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha

So true. I have a sinus infection and took some nyquil right before these crazy NAM frames. It's up to the makers of nyquil to whether or not i make it to the GFS lol

1. Oh man, that stinks :/ hope you feel better in time for this storm!!! 2. Been nice knowing you, bud ahaha you're a goner lmfaoooooo that stuff is no joke at putting you down lmaoooo

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:54 pm

HI Res Nam woahhh!!

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 17 59bf347bd8eef

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:54 pm

3k NAM is a big hit too. Even a tick west of 12k

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:55 pm

rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma

Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha

So true. I have a sinus infection and took some nyquil right before these crazy NAM frames. It's up to the makers of nyquil to whether or not i make it to the GFS lol

1. Oh man, that stinks :/ hope you feel better in time for this storm!!! 2. Been nice knowing you, bud ahaha you're a goner lmfaoooooo that stuff is no joke at putting you down lmaoooo
Yea I'm not optimistic haha

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:55 pm

I will be driving home tuesday and will be home through Sunday. Should be fun!

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:56 pm

aiannone wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:Could this be right at all lol. I mean the NAM was decent with Irma

Hence why I said what I said earlier about more crazy runs with the new data; this is only the first run so to see yet another solution now means we have another one to mark down as "plausible" and add to the headache ahaha

So true. I have a sinus infection and took some nyquil right before these crazy NAM frames. It's up to the makers of nyquil to whether or not i make it to the GFS lol
oh boy hope you feel better!! Night night...you prob won't make it...
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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:57 pm

NAM basically depicts what the storms do when the transition to extra tropical once they hit the coldee water up at this latitude. They go KABOOM The wind field can be up to 250 miles out from its center.

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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:57 pm

aiannone wrote:I will be driving home tuesday and will be home through Sunday. Should be fun!

Watch it trend further west and put the core of the winds back at Binghamton ahahahahahaha it would be both of our lucks, as I'm currently progged to be that swath of high 850s ahaha

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:57 pm

amugs wrote:HI Res Nam woahhh!!

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 17 59bf347bd8eef
Shocked Shocked Shocked I am smack in the 80-90 kt area, dayumm, I will be in a basement office though which kinda stinks as I will not be able to watch it, thats if I can even get in IF this were to verify, looks like worst starts very wee hrs of Wed morning well into midday.


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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:58 pm

lets see what they say at 11 on the news about this...
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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:58 pm

rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:I will be driving home tuesday and will be home through Sunday. Should be fun!

Watch it trend further west and put the core of the winds back at Binghamton ahahahahahaha it would be both of our lucks, as I'm currently progged to be that swath of high 850s ahaha
With my luck, wouldn't doubt it

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:59 pm

Alex feel better and c u all in da morning. Rb bring it home kid. Can u imagine if he does actually do a UKIE track??
Euro will be interesting tonight.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:01 pm

I guess NHC isnt taking NAm in consideration moved cone quite aq bit east but keeps him a hurricane longer.
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:01 pm

NHC really likes the GFS and those hurricane models lol

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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:03 pm

amugs wrote:Alex feel better and c u all in da morning. Rb bring it home kid. Can u imagine if he does actually do a UKIE track??
Euro will be interesting tonight.

This run better not verify verbatim or I'll be so mad; literally 25 miles away from a landfall lol if Ima miss, at least let me miss by a respectable amount; this 25-mile thing would be like hanging a pizza from a fishing pole attached to my back while on a treadmill and do nothing but add insult to injury ahahaha

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