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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 28, 2017 6:09 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Most members of the euro ensembles also on board

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 IMG_8640.PNG.3683e0fe61851d79619792d6ff4e4e5b

Did you look at the ensemble H5?????? Not gonna lie, what they depict is an exact analog to all of our big ticket storms - a triple phase (yes, I said triple) and H5 completely and rapidly closing off over approximately Virginia. As I said, if the modeling continues to hold, I expect a solution like what the GEM suite has been very consistent with, which is a track well west of where the EURO suite still has it based on the NH configuration, and I think it might be trying to go to that idea now. Either way, assuming the current depiction continues to remain relatively unchanged, ( big assumption, I know lol) expect the cluster to shift further west with members continuing to increase support. Just my two cents though lol but I do suggest you look at the H5 evolution......I think it's worthy of the "M" word lmao

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Post by jake732 Thu Dec 28, 2017 6:53 am

I didn’t want to say this a week out but it looks very rainy for the coast. Would hammer everyone else.
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Post by jake732 Thu Dec 28, 2017 6:53 am

I didn’t want to say this a week out but it looks very rainy for the coast. Would hammer everyone else.
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Post by Quietace Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:33 am

@jake732 wrote:I didn’t want to say this a week out but it looks very rainy for the coast. Would hammer everyone else.
Are you certain of this?

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:53 am

Anything related to the snow for this Saturday please put in the December thread. We will not start a thread for that event while focus remains on what could be a big storm January 4th.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:19 am

Major CAVE on the GFS to look like the EURO for the January 4th storm. It almost had a triple phase - which may have produced a Roidzilla for the area.

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Gfs_z500_vort_us_27

Look how close she gets

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_27

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:32 am

GFS slams New England, but this is the potential if timing comes together right for us.

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Gfs_snow_Ku_acc_neng_32.png.a249444d5e692277195765f405a433c3

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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:34 am

GFS has a Roidzilla for New England. Trough catches the storm a bit too late for us. This has triple phase potential. Be careful what you wish for though. Often triple phasers are coastal huggers or inland runners. This setup is similar to the superstorm of 93 in some respects.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:41 am

Frank other than the March 2001 debacle, I don't recall a Miller A ever taking a track like that. If this event were to happen, I would expect the low to take a more conventional up the coast route.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:06 pm

CMC gives us a glancing blow with next weeks coastal.
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Post by Carter bk Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:25 pm

I think euro might show something nice

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:31 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:CMC gives us a glancing blow with next weeks coastal.

Good, the last place I want to be is in the bullseye 7 days out, that's always the KOD no matter who's in it.
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Post by jimv45 Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:35 pm

yea cp let New England have the bullseye 7 days out.

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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:30 pm

Think the EURO is boutta drop the hammer

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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:35 pm

OH. MY. GOD. Forget dropping the hammer, it just threw everything it had at us including the kitchen sink!!

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Post by mikeypizano Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:37 pm

@rb924119 wrote:OH. MY. GOD. Forget dropping the hammer, it just threw everything it had at us including the kitchen sink!!

Post it or get off the site! Laughing
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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:41 pm

EURO shows a textbook triple phaser.
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Post by Guest Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:45 pm

Snow maps for the northeast or it doesn't count.

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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:46 pm

10:1

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Img_1323

Ratios:

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Img_1324

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Post by amugs Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:46 pm

HOLY SHTTTTTTTTTTT KING EURO!!!!!!!!

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Ecmwf_apcp_f162_ne.thumb.png.268aa2d853a9c7c3546df07b2383c3ea

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Ecmwf_apcp_f168_ne.thumb.png.3ce79bf770f43a1d48461c33b2c9f535

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Ecmwf_apcp_f174_ne.thumb.png.d1fae9ea4ffd84aeb50cc100d713125b

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Post by jimv45 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:47 pm

No don't show anything yet, like this weekend lets not jinx it.

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Post by amugs Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:47 pm

Still going like teh energizer by=unny!!!

Long Range Thread 15.0  - Page 41 Ecmwf_apcp_f180_ne.thumb.png.31b751ab8d18fda84e721bd6417c8ef3

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Post by Guest Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:49 pm

I hope you guys jackpot cause it would be nice for somebody to get some snow from all of this cold and that somebody sure as hell ain't gonna be me.

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Post by rb924119 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:49 pm

This run has a very strong similarity to Feb 22-26 2010

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Post by jimv45 Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:50 pm

boy with ratios that's 2 feet plus for area!! sign me up.

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