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Rocktober Obs/Discussions

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Post by amugs Sat Sep 30, 2017 8:32 am

Starts tomorrow and night time lows are about average but daytime highs will be above for this upcoming week, the 1st week of October. Huge a Quebec HP moving in.
If this were D-F it would be the opposite, cold, very cold.
One can only hope for such with some liquid come D-F.

Discuss this month and share pics of nature's beauty.

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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Sep 30, 2017 8:49 am

Not much beauty here, trees dropping ugly leaves, no color yet. We have a sugar maple at work that usually gets a brilliant red, but leaves almost gone already

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Sep 30, 2017 3:06 pm

Tornado today in Suffolk county no one on here saw it?
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Post by brownie Sat Sep 30, 2017 3:22 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:Not much beauty here, trees dropping ugly leaves, no color yet. We have a sugar maple at work that usually gets a brilliant red, but leaves almost gone already

My neighbor's tree, which blooms with pink flowers in the spring, currently has no leaves but is blooming again as of this morning.  It looks very strange.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Sep 30, 2017 4:49 pm

We are in Cambridge Ma this weekend visiting Harvard..my son's number one choice...he's only 12 but if he keeps up the good work who knows...he loved the area and the campus...but it was a bit chilly..and misted all day..the temp is 48* and we heard on radio going to be in 30's tonight... some trees are changing here....
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Post by amugs Sat Sep 30, 2017 5:22 pm

Areas of NE PA under frost advisories

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Post by dkodgis Sun Oct 01, 2017 4:08 am

With the first frost, the crabgrass goes away (yeah!). This morning at 4:05 am, it is 42 degrees here. Plants will have to come inside in a few weeks. Just about 30 days to Halloween. I remember a few years where there was snow a week or two before. We had gone to an indoor water park in PA and drove home in two feet of snow on the day after Halloween. It melts quickly but it makes things interesting.
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Post by docstox12 Sun Oct 01, 2017 5:49 am

38.1 here right now, 89% 30.12R

No rain now for a while.Not liking this mild -dry pattern and hope this does not portend that pattern for the coming winter.
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Post by Quietace Sun Oct 01, 2017 8:04 am

33*F @ K1P1 in Plymouth.

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Post by sroc4 Sun Oct 01, 2017 8:06 am

@jmanley32 wrote:Tornado today in Suffolk county no one on here saw it?

Jman I was driving with my wife heading west on Rt 25A and said to my wife, "look at the way those clouds look. It looks like rotation almost like a tornado" My wife rolled her eyes as she usually does when weather stuff comes out of my mouth (LOL) and I left it at that. Interesting. Now I wish I had snapped a picture.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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Post by docstox12 Mon Oct 02, 2017 5:18 am

35.9 degrees.Second morning now in the 30's.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 02, 2017 6:26 am

Woke up yesterday in Ma to 38* this morning back home it's 45*
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Post by rb924119 Mon Oct 02, 2017 10:19 am

30° yesterday morning here at my parents' house in the boondocks of NE PA as reported by them. This morning, 28° observed by my own eyes. Ahhhhhhhh it feels so good!!! Smells like Autumn, looks like Autumn......'BOUT DARN TIME!! Lol counting the days until the most glorious season of all <3

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Oct 02, 2017 10:39 am

Temp departures from normal will be running mainly positive this week. By the end of week into the weekend, they could be as much as +10 above average. Outside of some showers on Thursday, it looks dry too.

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Post by amugs Tue Oct 03, 2017 8:48 am

Patterns transitions next week as the trough in the plains pushes out the HP in east and GOM moisture gets tapped. Good we fricking need it!!

Rocktober Obs/Discussions Ecmwf-ens_z500a_us_8.thumb.png.ee4ab424357b056b0b9b11c36b5246cf


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Post by amugs Tue Oct 03, 2017 8:50 am

@amugs wrote:Patterns transitions next week as the trough in the plains pushes out the HP in east and GOM moisture gets tapped. Good we fricking need it!!

Rocktober Obs/Discussions Ecmwf-ens_z500a_us_8.thumb.png.ee4ab424357b056b0b9b11c36b5246cf


This is all due to the breakdown of the HP over the Gulf of Alaska that will retrograde west and allow the Aleutian trough to establish itself and pump a PNA spike in teh west so teh models show. A sign??

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Post by billg315 Wed Oct 04, 2017 9:37 pm

I look forward to the first freeze. Not because it portends the coming snow season, but because it portends the end of the mosquitos and gnats who ruin my enjoyment of the outdoors from May to October.
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Post by frank 638 Sun Oct 08, 2017 4:40 pm

I just want to make sure we are on the right month this is October not August lol. Wow it is so humid outside I had to put up my air conditioner back on the window because I cannot take this crap anymore boy I cannot wait till it get cool and cold I'd rather deal with that then deal with this crap it is so bad out that you came breed

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Post by HectorO Sun Oct 08, 2017 6:22 pm

Well cooler weather looks like it makes a return, to only run away again and we'll probably see 80s next weekend again. My a.c. is out and staying out. I'll just suffer a little. I refuse to put it on in October, ridiculous.
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Post by amugs Sun Oct 08, 2017 8:09 pm

UGGGLYY Set up!!

Rocktober Obs/Discussions DLpHRMzW0AE_dTO

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Post by rb924119 Sun Oct 08, 2017 9:32 pm

As Scott pointed out earlier in another thread, we can all thank the incredibly persistent +SOI for this nearly continuous ridging in the East. However, until we see that begin to reverse, tropical threats remain a threat for southern regions of the U.S., in addition to continued warmer than normal temperatures from the Mississippi eastward.

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Post by algae888 Mon Oct 09, 2017 5:37 am

@amugs wrote:UGGGLYY Set up!!

Rocktober Obs/Discussions DLpHRMzW0AE_dTO
Mugs if this was December with that setup we'd all be jumping off the cliffs what a horrible pattern  we are in. hopefully we can get rid of this relatively soon
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Post by Snow88 Mon Oct 09, 2017 10:24 am


Terrible for October.

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Post by docstox12 Mon Oct 09, 2017 2:37 pm

A ridiculous 79.1 degrees, 85% 29.57 F

This storm underperformed up here, only .65 inch and its almost over
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Post by amugs Mon Oct 09, 2017 8:59 pm

Something peeps have to note with this warmth that is so abnormal we have had this massive deep LP systems that have sucked up and transported all of the latent deep heat that Atlantic Ocan has been storing and pumped it up this way. They have helped transport all of the moist,  humid air and brought low heights to the North Atlantic thus eroding the blockiness we had. Also, the sun was very active with medium to high level.flares and Coronal Holes with ejections. Now it has started to sudside so this should help as we move forward.
One thing that is big cancelled out which I can't find an answer to is that the MJO which has a medium strength to strong KW is in phase 5 to 6 which would mean a colder east moving forward but the SE ridge seems to be ovwrrising this with the AL LP which was forecasted to retrograde West and erode the pattern.
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